Prediction 1431
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 53.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 30.0 | 86.0 | 125.0 | 153.0 | 180.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 65.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 106.0 | 155.0 | 189.0 | 223.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 68.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 122.0 | 189.0 | 238.0 | 287.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 80.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 142.0 | 218.0 | 274.0 | 329.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 107.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 53.0 | 190.0 | 293.0 | 369.0 | 443.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 122.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 56.0 | 225.0 | 357.0 | 455.0 | 552.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 158.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 69.0 | 305.0 | 495.0 | 638.0 | 781.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 171.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 68.0 | 352.0 | 594.0 | 779.0 | 964.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 193.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 76.0 | 400.0 | 677.0 | 889.0 | 1101.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 204.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 77.0 | 436.0 | 751.0 | 993.0 | 1237.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 168.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 57.0 | 383.0 | 687.0 | 923.0 | 1164.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 174.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 44.0 | 469.0 | 921.0 | 1286.0 | 1664.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 395.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 31.0 | 123.0 | 941.0 | 1730.0 | 2352.0 | 2987.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 486.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 49.0 | 170.0 | 1082.0 | 1914.0 | 2560.0 | 3214.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 583.0 | 14.0 | 33.0 | 73.0 | 223.0 | 1227.0 | 2101.0 | 2770.0 | 3443.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 667.0 | 22.0 | 46.0 | 97.0 | 272.0 | 1350.0 | 2256.0 | 2944.0 | 3632.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 730.0 | 29.0 | 58.0 | 117.0 | 310.0 | 1438.0 | 2368.0 | 3068.0 | 3767.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 759.0 | 33.0 | 64.0 | 126.0 | 328.0 | 1480.0 | 2419.0 | 3126.0 | 3830.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 817.0 | 40.0 | 76.0 | 146.0 | 364.0 | 1560.0 | 2520.0 | 3238.0 | 3951.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 816.0 | 40.0 | 76.0 | 146.0 | 363.0 | 1559.0 | 2518.0 | 3235.0 | 3949.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 845.0 | 44.0 | 83.0 | 156.0 | 381.0 | 1599.0 | 2568.0 | 3291.0 | 4009.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 862.0 | 47.0 | 86.0 | 162.0 | 392.0 | 1622.0 | 2597.0 | 3323.0 | 4043.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 932.0 | 58.0 | 104.0 | 188.0 | 438.0 | 1719.0 | 2716.0 | 3455.0 | 4187.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 955.0 | 62.0 | 110.0 | 197.0 | 453.0 | 1750.0 | 2754.0 | 3497.0 | 4232.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 912.0 | 55.0 | 99.0 | 181.0 | 425.0 | 1691.0 | 2682.0 | 3418.0 | 4146.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 904.0 | 53.0 | 97.0 | 178.0 | 419.0 | 1680.0 | 2669.0 | 3403.0 | 4130.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 869.0 | 48.0 | 88.0 | 165.0 | 397.0 | 1632.0 | 2609.0 | 3336.0 | 4058.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 820.0 | 41.0 | 77.0 | 147.0 | 365.0 | 1564.0 | 2525.0 | 3243.0 | 3957.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 727.0 | 29.0 | 57.0 | 116.0 | 308.0 | 1435.0 | 2363.0 | 3063.0 | 3762.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 667.0 | 22.0 | 46.0 | 97.0 | 272.0 | 1349.0 | 2256.0 | 2943.0 | 3632.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 567.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 74.0 | 220.0 | 1184.0 | 2016.0 | 2653.0 | 3292.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 434.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 56.0 | 168.0 | 905.0 | 1542.0 | 2028.0 | 2517.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 317.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 45.0 | 129.0 | 645.0 | 1080.0 | 1411.0 | 1742.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 250.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 97.0 | 521.0 | 888.0 | 1169.0 | 1451.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 200.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 77.0 | 418.0 | 712.0 | 936.0 | 1162.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 165.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 60.0 | 356.0 | 619.0 | 822.0 | 1026.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 149.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 61.0 | 301.0 | 503.0 | 656.0 | 809.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 124.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 48.0 | 257.0 | 436.0 | 573.0 | 710.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 103.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 43.0 | 206.0 | 342.0 | 445.0 | 547.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 82.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 33.0 | 168.0 | 282.0 | 369.0 | 456.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 67.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 26.0 | 140.0 | 237.0 | 311.0 | 386.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 60.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 118.0 | 192.0 | 248.0 | 304.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 60.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 113.0 | 181.0 | 231.0 | 281.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 53.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 92.0 | 140.0 | 175.0 | 210.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 50.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 89.0 | 138.0 | 173.0 | 209.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 45.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 76.0 | 114.0 | 142.0 | 169.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 46.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 80.0 | 121.0 | 151.0 | 181.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 41.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 68.0 | 99.0 | 121.0 | 143.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 49.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 81.0 | 120.0 | 148.0 | 175.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 49.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 81.0 | 119.0 | 146.0 | 172.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 54.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 86.0 | 124.0 | 151.0 | 177.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 52.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | 87.0 | 128.0 | 159.0 | 188.0 |
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