Prediction 1432
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 86.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 36.0 | 56.0 | 126.0 | 169.0 | 200.0 | 229.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 102.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 145.0 | 193.0 | 226.0 | 257.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 103.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | 66.0 | 152.0 | 208.0 | 246.0 | 283.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 116.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 75.0 | 169.0 | 229.0 | 271.0 | 311.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 149.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 59.0 | 95.0 | 220.0 | 301.0 | 357.0 | 411.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 167.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 60.0 | 101.0 | 257.0 | 361.0 | 434.0 | 504.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 210.0 | 30.0 | 45.0 | 67.0 | 121.0 | 336.0 | 484.0 | 589.0 | 691.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 250.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | 68.0 | 134.0 | 421.0 | 627.0 | 776.0 | 921.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 286.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 80.0 | 155.0 | 477.0 | 708.0 | 874.0 | 1036.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 274.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 81.0 | 152.0 | 450.0 | 659.0 | 810.0 | 956.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 213.0 | 28.0 | 42.0 | 64.0 | 120.0 | 346.0 | 504.0 | 617.0 | 727.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 212.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 53.0 | 109.0 | 367.0 | 557.0 | 696.0 | 832.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 551.0 | 31.0 | 57.0 | 106.0 | 254.0 | 1030.0 | 1641.0 | 2096.0 | 2547.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 618.0 | 38.0 | 69.0 | 125.0 | 290.0 | 1139.0 | 1800.0 | 2290.0 | 2775.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 669.0 | 48.0 | 83.0 | 146.0 | 325.0 | 1205.0 | 1876.0 | 2370.0 | 2858.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 718.0 | 58.0 | 98.0 | 167.0 | 358.0 | 1269.0 | 1954.0 | 2456.0 | 2949.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 770.0 | 70.0 | 115.0 | 191.0 | 395.0 | 1335.0 | 2030.0 | 2537.0 | 3033.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 773.0 | 80.0 | 127.0 | 205.0 | 409.0 | 1312.0 | 1968.0 | 2443.0 | 2908.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 789.0 | 95.0 | 145.0 | 227.0 | 433.0 | 1307.0 | 1927.0 | 2374.0 | 2809.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 747.0 | 93.0 | 141.0 | 219.0 | 413.0 | 1230.0 | 1807.0 | 2222.0 | 2625.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 772.0 | 96.0 | 146.0 | 226.0 | 427.0 | 1272.0 | 1869.0 | 2298.0 | 2716.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 736.0 | 106.0 | 156.0 | 233.0 | 422.0 | 1181.0 | 1705.0 | 2079.0 | 2441.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 749.0 | 117.0 | 169.0 | 248.0 | 438.0 | 1183.0 | 1692.0 | 2053.0 | 2402.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 728.0 | 121.0 | 172.0 | 249.0 | 432.0 | 1138.0 | 1615.0 | 1953.0 | 2278.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 658.0 | 114.0 | 160.0 | 231.0 | 395.0 | 1021.0 | 1441.0 | 1737.0 | 2023.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 678.0 | 105.0 | 152.0 | 224.0 | 396.0 | 1072.0 | 1533.0 | 1860.0 | 2177.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 686.0 | 96.0 | 142.0 | 215.0 | 391.0 | 1105.0 | 1601.0 | 1955.0 | 2298.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 644.0 | 53.0 | 89.0 | 152.0 | 323.0 | 1133.0 | 1740.0 | 2184.0 | 2620.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 600.0 | 51.0 | 85.0 | 143.0 | 303.0 | 1052.0 | 1610.0 | 2018.0 | 2419.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 583.0 | 43.0 | 73.0 | 128.0 | 284.0 | 1048.0 | 1630.0 | 2058.0 | 2480.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 540.0 | 37.0 | 64.0 | 115.0 | 259.0 | 980.0 | 1535.0 | 1944.0 | 2348.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 474.0 | 30.0 | 54.0 | 97.0 | 224.0 | 870.0 | 1371.0 | 1741.0 | 2107.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 410.0 | 28.0 | 50.0 | 88.0 | 197.0 | 742.0 | 1158.0 | 1466.0 | 1769.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 341.0 | 32.0 | 52.0 | 85.0 | 176.0 | 588.0 | 891.0 | 1112.0 | 1329.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 308.0 | 30.0 | 49.0 | 80.0 | 161.0 | 526.0 | 791.0 | 984.0 | 1173.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 270.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | 70.0 | 141.0 | 461.0 | 694.0 | 863.0 | 1029.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 246.0 | 21.0 | 35.0 | 59.0 | 125.0 | 431.0 | 657.0 | 823.0 | 986.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 192.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 54.0 | 104.0 | 320.0 | 474.0 | 586.0 | 694.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 171.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 46.0 | 91.0 | 289.0 | 432.0 | 535.0 | 636.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 141.0 | 21.0 | 30.0 | 45.0 | 82.0 | 225.0 | 323.0 | 393.0 | 460.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 123.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 40.0 | 71.0 | 197.0 | 282.0 | 344.0 | 403.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 111.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 65.0 | 175.0 | 249.0 | 302.0 | 353.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 110.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 67.0 | 169.0 | 237.0 | 285.0 | 331.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 101.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 35.0 | 60.0 | 156.0 | 220.0 | 266.0 | 309.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 102.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 | 42.0 | 66.0 | 149.0 | 203.0 | 239.0 | 275.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 87.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 58.0 | 125.0 | 166.0 | 195.0 | 222.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 76.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 106.0 | 138.0 | 160.0 | 181.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 79.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 | 41.0 | 57.0 | 106.0 | 134.0 | 154.0 | 172.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 85.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | 63.0 | 111.0 | 139.0 | 157.0 | 174.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 82.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 | 41.0 | 58.0 | 111.0 | 142.0 | 163.0 | 182.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 78.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 54.0 | 109.0 | 142.0 | 164.0 | 185.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 82.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 55.0 | 116.0 | 153.0 | 179.0 | 203.0 |
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