Prediction 1433
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 66.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 34.0 | 114.0 | 173.0 | 215.0 | 257.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 59.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 96.0 | 139.0 | 169.0 | 199.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 54.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 30.0 | 88.0 | 129.0 | 158.0 | 187.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 67.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 35.0 | 116.0 | 174.0 | 217.0 | 259.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 79.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 44.0 | 130.0 | 190.0 | 233.0 | 275.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 92.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 46.0 | 165.0 | 254.0 | 320.0 | 385.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 106.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 51.0 | 191.0 | 298.0 | 376.0 | 454.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 113.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 51.0 | 212.0 | 339.0 | 434.0 | 527.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 118.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 55.0 | 220.0 | 349.0 | 445.0 | 540.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 105.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 48.0 | 197.0 | 315.0 | 403.0 | 490.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 74.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 32.0 | 142.0 | 230.0 | 296.0 | 362.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 74.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 32.0 | 144.0 | 234.0 | 302.0 | 370.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 158.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 44.0 | 86.0 | 263.0 | 390.0 | 482.0 | 571.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 198.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 111.0 | 322.0 | 470.0 | 576.0 | 679.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 240.0 | 37.0 | 54.0 | 80.0 | 141.0 | 379.0 | 542.0 | 657.0 | 769.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 277.0 | 30.0 | 47.0 | 75.0 | 148.0 | 468.0 | 698.0 | 865.0 | 1028.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 328.0 | 34.0 | 54.0 | 88.0 | 174.0 | 556.0 | 833.0 | 1033.0 | 1229.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 307.0 | 38.0 | 58.0 | 89.0 | 170.0 | 507.0 | 745.0 | 916.0 | 1083.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 348.0 | 47.0 | 70.0 | 106.0 | 196.0 | 565.0 | 823.0 | 1007.0 | 1186.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 323.0 | 40.0 | 61.0 | 95.0 | 179.0 | 530.0 | 778.0 | 956.0 | 1129.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 349.0 | 50.0 | 74.0 | 111.0 | 200.0 | 558.0 | 806.0 | 982.0 | 1153.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 359.0 | 72.0 | 98.0 | 137.0 | 224.0 | 541.0 | 748.0 | 893.0 | 1032.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 372.0 | 74.0 | 102.0 | 142.0 | 232.0 | 560.0 | 775.0 | 925.0 | 1069.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 321.0 | 52.0 | 75.0 | 109.0 | 189.0 | 502.0 | 714.0 | 864.0 | 1008.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 271.0 | 46.0 | 65.0 | 94.0 | 162.0 | 422.0 | 596.0 | 719.0 | 838.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 281.0 | 49.0 | 69.0 | 99.0 | 169.0 | 434.0 | 612.0 | 737.0 | 857.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 256.0 | 51.0 | 70.0 | 97.0 | 159.0 | 386.0 | 535.0 | 639.0 | 738.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 223.0 | 44.0 | 60.0 | 84.0 | 138.0 | 336.0 | 466.0 | 557.0 | 644.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 192.0 | 44.0 | 58.0 | 79.0 | 124.0 | 283.0 | 384.0 | 454.0 | 521.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 204.0 | 66.0 | 82.0 | 102.0 | 145.0 | 278.0 | 358.0 | 412.0 | 463.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 192.0 | 60.0 | 74.0 | 94.0 | 134.0 | 263.0 | 340.0 | 393.0 | 442.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 162.0 | 52.0 | 65.0 | 81.0 | 115.0 | 220.0 | 283.0 | 326.0 | 366.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 130.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 64.0 | 91.0 | 179.0 | 232.0 | 268.0 | 302.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 115.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | 59.0 | 83.0 | 156.0 | 199.0 | 228.0 | 255.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 104.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 68.0 | 152.0 | 205.0 | 242.0 | 277.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 100.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 36.0 | 61.0 | 153.0 | 215.0 | 258.0 | 299.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 84.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 53.0 | 125.0 | 172.0 | 205.0 | 237.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 74.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 48.0 | 110.0 | 150.0 | 177.0 | 204.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 65.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 41.0 | 95.0 | 130.0 | 154.0 | 178.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 56.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 88.0 | 126.0 | 153.0 | 179.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 60.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 95.0 | 137.0 | 166.0 | 195.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 59.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 36.0 | 91.0 | 128.0 | 154.0 | 178.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 66.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 109.0 | 160.0 | 197.0 | 233.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 72.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 38.0 | 120.0 | 179.0 | 222.0 | 263.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 71.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 39.0 | 118.0 | 174.0 | 215.0 | 254.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 69.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 110.0 | 159.0 | 195.0 | 228.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 61.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 98.0 | 142.0 | 173.0 | 203.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 59.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 101.0 | 151.0 | 188.0 | 224.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 59.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 95.0 | 138.0 | 168.0 | 198.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 56.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 30.0 | 94.0 | 140.0 | 174.0 | 206.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 58.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 94.0 | 137.0 | 168.0 | 197.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 54.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 30.0 | 87.0 | 127.0 | 155.0 | 182.0 |
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