Prediction 1435
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 198.0 | 22.0 | 35.0 | 55.0 | 107.0 | 332.0 | 493.0 | 609.0 | 722.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 204.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 50.0 | 105.0 | 354.0 | 538.0 | 672.0 | 803.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 214.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 42.0 | 100.0 | 398.0 | 631.0 | 803.0 | 975.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 222.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 77.0 | 496.0 | 880.0 | 1179.0 | 1481.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 247.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 81.0 | 571.0 | 1032.0 | 1392.0 | 1758.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 239.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 67.0 | 609.0 | 1160.0 | 1601.0 | 2054.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 232.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 74.0 | 550.0 | 1006.0 | 1364.0 | 1730.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 246.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 65.0 | 653.0 | 1270.0 | 1767.0 | 2280.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 254.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 69.0 | 655.0 | 1257.0 | 1739.0 | 2236.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 256.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 76.0 | 631.0 | 1180.0 | 1616.0 | 2062.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 196.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 61.0 | 468.0 | 860.0 | 1170.0 | 1486.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 144.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 42.0 | 356.0 | 669.0 | 918.0 | 1172.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 224.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 60.0 | 586.0 | 1132.0 | 1570.0 | 2022.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 238.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 66.0 | 609.0 | 1164.0 | 1607.0 | 2063.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 256.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 74.0 | 641.0 | 1208.0 | 1660.0 | 2124.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 288.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 87.0 | 700.0 | 1301.0 | 1777.0 | 2264.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 344.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 31.0 | 115.0 | 787.0 | 1413.0 | 1902.0 | 2398.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 396.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 35.0 | 131.0 | 914.0 | 1648.0 | 2223.0 | 2807.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 444.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 53.0 | 166.0 | 949.0 | 1638.0 | 2169.0 | 2703.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 478.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 60.0 | 183.0 | 1006.0 | 1721.0 | 2269.0 | 2820.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 544.0 | 15.0 | 34.0 | 73.0 | 215.0 | 1124.0 | 1902.0 | 2496.0 | 3092.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 623.0 | 27.0 | 53.0 | 105.0 | 270.0 | 1209.0 | 1973.0 | 2546.0 | 3117.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 664.0 | 32.0 | 61.0 | 118.0 | 294.0 | 1270.0 | 2054.0 | 2641.0 | 3224.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 698.0 | 40.0 | 73.0 | 135.0 | 322.0 | 1302.0 | 2073.0 | 2646.0 | 3213.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 668.0 | 40.0 | 72.0 | 132.0 | 310.0 | 1240.0 | 1968.0 | 2509.0 | 3044.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 764.0 | 50.0 | 88.0 | 158.0 | 363.0 | 1397.0 | 2197.0 | 2789.0 | 3373.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 760.0 | 53.0 | 92.0 | 162.0 | 366.0 | 1378.0 | 2155.0 | 2728.0 | 3294.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 822.0 | 75.0 | 122.0 | 203.0 | 421.0 | 1426.0 | 2169.0 | 2712.0 | 3243.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 778.0 | 77.0 | 124.0 | 202.0 | 408.0 | 1331.0 | 2005.0 | 2495.0 | 2974.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 824.0 | 84.0 | 134.0 | 217.0 | 434.0 | 1402.0 | 2105.0 | 2615.0 | 3115.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 830.0 | 108.0 | 163.0 | 249.0 | 464.0 | 1354.0 | 1978.0 | 2425.0 | 2860.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 824.0 | 102.0 | 155.0 | 240.0 | 455.0 | 1357.0 | 1996.0 | 2454.0 | 2901.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 740.0 | 86.0 | 133.0 | 209.0 | 403.0 | 1233.0 | 1825.0 | 2252.0 | 2668.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 702.0 | 72.0 | 115.0 | 185.0 | 371.0 | 1194.0 | 1792.0 | 2225.0 | 2649.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 662.0 | 75.0 | 116.0 | 184.0 | 358.0 | 1108.0 | 1645.0 | 2032.0 | 2411.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 584.0 | 91.0 | 131.0 | 193.0 | 341.0 | 924.0 | 1322.0 | 1605.0 | 1879.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 504.0 | 70.0 | 104.0 | 157.0 | 287.0 | 812.0 | 1176.0 | 1437.0 | 1689.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 470.0 | 50.0 | 79.0 | 126.0 | 250.0 | 795.0 | 1189.0 | 1474.0 | 1753.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 444.0 | 45.0 | 72.0 | 116.0 | 234.0 | 757.0 | 1137.0 | 1413.0 | 1683.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 428.0 | 52.0 | 80.0 | 124.0 | 236.0 | 705.0 | 1037.0 | 1276.0 | 1509.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 389.0 | 52.0 | 78.0 | 119.0 | 219.0 | 631.0 | 918.0 | 1123.0 | 1322.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 330.0 | 47.0 | 69.0 | 104.0 | 189.0 | 530.0 | 766.0 | 934.0 | 1096.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 333.0 | 56.0 | 79.0 | 115.0 | 198.0 | 518.0 | 734.0 | 886.0 | 1033.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 322.0 | 59.0 | 82.0 | 116.0 | 196.0 | 494.0 | 692.0 | 831.0 | 965.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 285.0 | 49.0 | 69.0 | 100.0 | 171.0 | 441.0 | 623.0 | 751.0 | 874.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 269.0 | 42.0 | 61.0 | 89.0 | 158.0 | 425.0 | 607.0 | 736.0 | 861.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 246.0 | 30.0 | 46.0 | 72.0 | 136.0 | 406.0 | 596.0 | 733.0 | 867.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 239.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 66.0 | 129.0 | 399.0 | 592.0 | 731.0 | 867.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 223.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 59.0 | 118.0 | 377.0 | 564.0 | 699.0 | 832.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 206.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 61.0 | 115.0 | 338.0 | 494.0 | 607.0 | 716.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 212.0 | 22.0 | 35.0 | 57.0 | 113.0 | 358.0 | 535.0 | 663.0 | 787.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 210.0 | 23.0 | 36.0 | 57.0 | 113.0 | 352.0 | 524.0 | 648.0 | 769.0 |
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