Prediction 1436
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 34.0 | 45.0 | 53.0 | 61.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 45.0 | 50.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 38.0 | 43.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 31.0 | 44.0 | 52.0 | 60.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 38.0 | 54.0 | 65.0 | 76.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 39.0 | 53.0 | 63.0 | 73.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 38.0 | 52.0 | 61.0 | 70.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 43.0 | 61.0 | 74.0 | 86.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 43.0 | 62.0 | 75.0 | 87.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 42.0 | 61.0 | 74.0 | 87.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 73.0 | 87.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 35.0 | 55.0 | 70.0 | 85.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 51.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 79.0 | 111.0 | 134.0 | 156.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 61.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 36.0 | 97.0 | 139.0 | 169.0 | 198.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 68.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 45.0 | 96.0 | 128.0 | 150.0 | 170.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 79.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 113.0 | 152.0 | 178.0 | 203.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 101.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 35.0 | 60.0 | 157.0 | 222.0 | 268.0 | 313.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 113.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 64.0 | 184.0 | 268.0 | 329.0 | 387.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 127.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 71.0 | 206.0 | 301.0 | 368.0 | 434.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 142.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 38.0 | 76.0 | 241.0 | 359.0 | 445.0 | 530.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 167.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | 47.0 | 91.0 | 278.0 | 412.0 | 508.0 | 602.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 200.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 51.0 | 104.0 | 342.0 | 516.0 | 642.0 | 766.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 238.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 55.0 | 119.0 | 420.0 | 646.0 | 812.0 | 974.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 261.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 48.0 | 118.0 | 496.0 | 797.0 | 1021.0 | 1245.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 266.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 40.0 | 110.0 | 534.0 | 889.0 | 1158.0 | 1427.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 305.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 51.0 | 132.0 | 592.0 | 967.0 | 1248.0 | 1529.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 335.0 | 20.0 | 36.0 | 66.0 | 155.0 | 621.0 | 986.0 | 1257.0 | 1525.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 357.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 64.0 | 159.0 | 682.0 | 1102.0 | 1416.0 | 1728.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 368.0 | 22.0 | 40.0 | 73.0 | 172.0 | 681.0 | 1079.0 | 1375.0 | 1667.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 354.0 | 29.0 | 49.0 | 83.0 | 177.0 | 624.0 | 960.0 | 1205.0 | 1446.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 379.0 | 39.0 | 63.0 | 101.0 | 201.0 | 643.0 | 964.0 | 1196.0 | 1423.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 365.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 113.0 | 207.0 | 590.0 | 856.0 | 1046.0 | 1231.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 307.0 | 41.0 | 62.0 | 94.0 | 173.0 | 498.0 | 724.0 | 885.0 | 1042.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 288.0 | 47.0 | 67.0 | 97.0 | 170.0 | 451.0 | 642.0 | 777.0 | 907.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 257.0 | 41.0 | 59.0 | 87.0 | 151.0 | 404.0 | 574.0 | 696.0 | 812.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 230.0 | 37.0 | 53.0 | 78.0 | 136.0 | 360.0 | 512.0 | 620.0 | 724.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 196.0 | 31.0 | 45.0 | 66.0 | 116.0 | 308.0 | 438.0 | 531.0 | 620.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 163.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 54.0 | 96.0 | 257.0 | 367.0 | 445.0 | 520.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 143.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 | 51.0 | 87.0 | 221.0 | 311.0 | 374.0 | 434.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 120.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 41.0 | 71.0 | 188.0 | 267.0 | 323.0 | 376.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 106.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 36.0 | 63.0 | 165.0 | 235.0 | 283.0 | 331.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 90.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 | 57.0 | 134.0 | 184.0 | 218.0 | 251.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 85.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 | 57.0 | 121.0 | 161.0 | 188.0 | 214.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 74.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 | 48.0 | 107.0 | 145.0 | 171.0 | 195.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 58.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 81.0 | 105.0 | 121.0 | 137.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 58.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 | 79.0 | 101.0 | 116.0 | 131.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 47.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 31.0 | 68.0 | 91.0 | 107.0 | 122.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 42.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 62.0 | 84.0 | 100.0 | 114.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 35.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 50.0 | 66.0 | 77.0 | 87.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 32.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 47.0 | 62.0 | 73.0 | 83.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 38.0 | 51.0 | 59.0 | 67.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 48.0 | 53.0 |
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