Prediction 1437
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 74.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 30.0 | 152.0 | 255.0 | 334.0 | 412.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 89.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 36.0 | 182.0 | 307.0 | 401.0 | 496.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 99.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 43.0 | 192.0 | 313.0 | 404.0 | 495.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 109.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 46.0 | 217.0 | 358.0 | 464.0 | 571.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 137.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 51.0 | 293.0 | 506.0 | 669.0 | 834.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 149.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 53.0 | 329.0 | 580.0 | 774.0 | 971.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 201.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 72.0 | 442.0 | 777.0 | 1036.0 | 1298.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 229.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 85.0 | 490.0 | 847.0 | 1121.0 | 1398.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 278.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 28.0 | 97.0 | 620.0 | 1097.0 | 1468.0 | 1843.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 346.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 27.0 | 109.0 | 821.0 | 1506.0 | 2044.0 | 2594.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 322.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 101.0 | 763.0 | 1399.0 | 1900.0 | 2410.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 297.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 24.0 | 94.0 | 703.0 | 1288.0 | 1748.0 | 2217.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 369.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 26.0 | 111.0 | 901.0 | 1678.0 | 2292.0 | 2921.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 450.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 41.0 | 151.0 | 1027.0 | 1843.0 | 2479.0 | 3126.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 558.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 67.0 | 209.0 | 1190.0 | 2053.0 | 2716.0 | 3385.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 649.0 | 20.0 | 43.0 | 92.0 | 262.0 | 1324.0 | 2223.0 | 2907.0 | 3592.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 816.0 | 40.0 | 76.0 | 146.0 | 363.0 | 1559.0 | 2518.0 | 3236.0 | 3949.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 977.0 | 66.0 | 116.0 | 206.0 | 467.0 | 1780.0 | 2791.0 | 3538.0 | 4276.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 1157.0 | 102.0 | 167.0 | 281.0 | 588.0 | 2020.0 | 3084.0 | 3862.0 | 4625.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 1336.0 | 144.0 | 226.0 | 362.0 | 713.0 | 2255.0 | 3367.0 | 4173.0 | 4959.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 1544.0 | 201.0 | 302.0 | 463.0 | 863.0 | 2522.0 | 3687.0 | 4523.0 | 5335.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 1746.0 | 263.0 | 383.0 | 567.0 | 1011.0 | 2778.0 | 3990.0 | 4853.0 | 5688.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 2028.0 | 360.0 | 505.0 | 721.0 | 1224.0 | 3131.0 | 4405.0 | 5304.0 | 6170.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 2250.0 | 444.0 | 607.0 | 848.0 | 1395.0 | 3405.0 | 4725.0 | 5651.0 | 6539.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 2318.0 | 470.0 | 640.0 | 887.0 | 1447.0 | 3487.0 | 4821.0 | 5754.0 | 6649.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 2442.0 | 520.0 | 700.0 | 961.0 | 1544.0 | 3638.0 | 4996.0 | 5944.0 | 6851.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 2459.0 | 527.0 | 709.0 | 971.0 | 1558.0 | 3660.0 | 5021.0 | 5971.0 | 6880.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 2277.0 | 454.0 | 620.0 | 864.0 | 1416.0 | 3437.0 | 4763.0 | 5692.0 | 6583.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 2022.0 | 358.0 | 502.0 | 718.0 | 1219.0 | 3123.0 | 4396.0 | 5295.0 | 6160.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 1804.0 | 282.0 | 407.0 | 598.0 | 1055.0 | 2851.0 | 4076.0 | 4947.0 | 5789.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 1536.0 | 199.0 | 299.0 | 459.0 | 857.0 | 2511.0 | 3674.0 | 4509.0 | 5320.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 1153.0 | 101.0 | 166.0 | 279.0 | 586.0 | 2015.0 | 3078.0 | 3855.0 | 4618.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 856.0 | 46.0 | 85.0 | 160.0 | 389.0 | 1615.0 | 2588.0 | 3313.0 | 4033.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 588.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 74.0 | 226.0 | 1234.0 | 2110.0 | 2780.0 | 3454.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 446.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 41.0 | 149.0 | 1022.0 | 1836.0 | 2472.0 | 3118.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 401.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 32.0 | 126.0 | 951.0 | 1744.0 | 2367.0 | 3003.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 310.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 84.0 | 805.0 | 1548.0 | 2145.0 | 2759.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 207.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 60.0 | 518.0 | 976.0 | 1341.0 | 1716.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 152.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 42.0 | 390.0 | 746.0 | 1031.0 | 1324.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 122.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 35.0 | 306.0 | 578.0 | 795.0 | 1017.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 25.0 | 240.0 | 461.0 | 639.0 | 821.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 24.0 | 211.0 | 401.0 | 552.0 | 707.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 75.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 24.0 | 177.0 | 322.0 | 435.0 | 551.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 21.0 | 150.0 | 272.0 | 368.0 | 465.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 62.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 137.0 | 240.0 | 320.0 | 401.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 138.0 | 241.0 | 322.0 | 403.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 59.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 124.0 | 210.0 | 277.0 | 343.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 58.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 119.0 | 200.0 | 262.0 | 324.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 61.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 131.0 | 227.0 | 300.0 | 374.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 62.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 133.0 | 230.0 | 304.0 | 379.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 67.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 27.0 | 136.0 | 228.0 | 298.0 | 368.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 72.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 28.0 | 148.0 | 250.0 | 327.0 | 405.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
