Prediction 1438
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 122.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 61.0 | 213.0 | 326.0 | 408.0 | 489.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 132.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 65.0 | 234.0 | 361.0 | 455.0 | 546.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 143.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 69.0 | 259.0 | 404.0 | 511.0 | 616.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 148.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 28.0 | 67.0 | 277.0 | 443.0 | 567.0 | 690.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 165.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 66.0 | 336.0 | 566.0 | 740.0 | 915.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 182.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 84.0 | 339.0 | 539.0 | 687.0 | 835.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 213.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 83.0 | 444.0 | 756.0 | 994.0 | 1234.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 246.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 91.0 | 531.0 | 922.0 | 1223.0 | 1527.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 305.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 31.0 | 108.0 | 678.0 | 1195.0 | 1597.0 | 2003.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 329.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 27.0 | 106.0 | 770.0 | 1400.0 | 1895.0 | 2400.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 306.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 28.0 | 102.0 | 701.0 | 1259.0 | 1695.0 | 2139.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 289.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 75.0 | 770.0 | 1501.0 | 2091.0 | 2700.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 510.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 55.0 | 183.0 | 1118.0 | 1961.0 | 2613.0 | 3272.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 584.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 74.0 | 224.0 | 1229.0 | 2103.0 | 2772.0 | 3446.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 670.0 | 22.0 | 47.0 | 98.0 | 274.0 | 1353.0 | 2261.0 | 2949.0 | 3638.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 729.0 | 29.0 | 58.0 | 116.0 | 309.0 | 1437.0 | 2366.0 | 3067.0 | 3766.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 799.0 | 38.0 | 72.0 | 140.0 | 352.0 | 1535.0 | 2489.0 | 3203.0 | 3914.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 855.0 | 46.0 | 85.0 | 160.0 | 388.0 | 1613.0 | 2586.0 | 3311.0 | 4030.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 928.0 | 57.0 | 103.0 | 187.0 | 435.0 | 1713.0 | 2709.0 | 3447.0 | 4178.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 1021.0 | 74.0 | 128.0 | 223.0 | 496.0 | 1839.0 | 2864.0 | 3618.0 | 4363.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 1129.0 | 96.0 | 159.0 | 268.0 | 569.0 | 1983.0 | 3039.0 | 3812.0 | 4571.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 1276.0 | 129.0 | 206.0 | 334.0 | 671.0 | 2176.0 | 3273.0 | 4069.0 | 4848.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 1447.0 | 173.0 | 266.0 | 414.0 | 792.0 | 2397.0 | 3538.0 | 4359.0 | 5160.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 1497.0 | 188.0 | 284.0 | 439.0 | 829.0 | 2462.0 | 3616.0 | 4445.0 | 5251.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 1555.0 | 204.0 | 306.0 | 468.0 | 870.0 | 2535.0 | 3703.0 | 4540.0 | 5353.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 1727.0 | 257.0 | 375.0 | 557.0 | 997.0 | 2754.0 | 3962.0 | 4823.0 | 5656.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 1666.0 | 238.0 | 350.0 | 525.0 | 952.0 | 2677.0 | 3870.0 | 4723.0 | 5549.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 1583.0 | 212.0 | 317.0 | 482.0 | 891.0 | 2571.0 | 3745.0 | 4586.0 | 5403.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 1576.0 | 211.0 | 315.0 | 479.0 | 886.0 | 2563.0 | 3736.0 | 4576.0 | 5392.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 1497.0 | 187.0 | 284.0 | 439.0 | 828.0 | 2461.0 | 3615.0 | 4444.0 | 5250.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 1441.0 | 172.0 | 264.0 | 412.0 | 788.0 | 2390.0 | 3530.0 | 4350.0 | 5150.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 1294.0 | 134.0 | 212.0 | 342.0 | 684.0 | 2200.0 | 3302.0 | 4100.0 | 4882.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 1036.0 | 77.0 | 132.0 | 229.0 | 506.0 | 1859.0 | 2888.0 | 3645.0 | 4391.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 900.0 | 53.0 | 96.0 | 176.0 | 417.0 | 1675.0 | 2662.0 | 3395.0 | 4121.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 769.0 | 34.0 | 66.0 | 130.0 | 334.0 | 1493.0 | 2437.0 | 3145.0 | 3851.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 668.0 | 22.0 | 46.0 | 97.0 | 273.0 | 1351.0 | 2258.0 | 2946.0 | 3634.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 567.0 | 13.0 | 30.0 | 69.0 | 214.0 | 1204.0 | 2072.0 | 2737.0 | 3407.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 436.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 58.0 | 171.0 | 906.0 | 1539.0 | 2021.0 | 2506.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 385.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 64.0 | 166.0 | 749.0 | 1224.0 | 1581.0 | 1937.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 309.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 61.0 | 143.0 | 574.0 | 911.0 | 1161.0 | 1409.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 265.0 | 20.0 | 35.0 | 60.0 | 131.0 | 472.0 | 730.0 | 920.0 | 1107.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 224.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 54.0 | 114.0 | 391.0 | 597.0 | 748.0 | 896.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 207.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 99.0 | 378.0 | 594.0 | 753.0 | 910.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 192.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 38.0 | 89.0 | 354.0 | 561.0 | 714.0 | 866.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 172.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 37.0 | 83.0 | 310.0 | 483.0 | 610.0 | 735.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 153.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 35.0 | 76.0 | 271.0 | 417.0 | 524.0 | 629.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 135.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 34.0 | 70.0 | 232.0 | 350.0 | 435.0 | 519.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 125.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 65.0 | 215.0 | 324.0 | 404.0 | 482.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 131.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 67.0 | 230.0 | 351.0 | 439.0 | 526.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 134.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 66.0 | 237.0 | 365.0 | 459.0 | 551.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 125.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 63.0 | 219.0 | 336.0 | 421.0 | 505.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 128.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 66.0 | 221.0 | 334.0 | 416.0 | 497.0 |
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