Prediction 1439
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 106.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 46.0 | 70.0 | 152.0 | 202.0 | 237.0 | 270.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 108.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 53.0 | 76.0 | 147.0 | 190.0 | 219.0 | 247.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 98.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 51.0 | 71.0 | 131.0 | 167.0 | 191.0 | 213.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 94.0 | 31.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 67.0 | 128.0 | 164.0 | 189.0 | 212.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 99.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 46.0 | 68.0 | 138.0 | 181.0 | 210.0 | 238.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 101.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 53.0 | 73.0 | 136.0 | 173.0 | 197.0 | 220.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 104.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 53.0 | 74.0 | 139.0 | 178.0 | 204.0 | 228.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 100.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 142.0 | 188.0 | 220.0 | 250.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 102.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 47.0 | 69.0 | 142.0 | 186.0 | 217.0 | 245.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 101.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 42.0 | 66.0 | 147.0 | 199.0 | 234.0 | 268.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 88.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 49.0 | 144.0 | 211.0 | 259.0 | 306.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 79.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 43.0 | 130.0 | 192.0 | 236.0 | 279.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 126.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 35.0 | 68.0 | 210.0 | 312.0 | 385.0 | 456.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 143.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 38.0 | 76.0 | 242.0 | 363.0 | 450.0 | 535.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 164.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 78.0 | 298.0 | 468.0 | 593.0 | 717.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 188.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 78.0 | 376.0 | 625.0 | 813.0 | 1001.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 235.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 86.0 | 511.0 | 890.0 | 1182.0 | 1477.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 262.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 83.0 | 621.0 | 1138.0 | 1544.0 | 1958.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 330.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 24.0 | 100.0 | 801.0 | 1487.0 | 2030.0 | 2585.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 379.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 31.0 | 122.0 | 890.0 | 1621.0 | 2195.0 | 2779.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 437.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 39.0 | 144.0 | 1008.0 | 1818.0 | 2451.0 | 3095.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 483.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 52.0 | 174.0 | 1056.0 | 1849.0 | 2462.0 | 3081.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 519.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 64.0 | 198.0 | 1096.0 | 1881.0 | 2482.0 | 3087.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 508.0 | 18.0 | 37.0 | 77.0 | 211.0 | 1016.0 | 1687.0 | 2195.0 | 2702.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 472.0 | 19.0 | 38.0 | 76.0 | 201.0 | 927.0 | 1523.0 | 1972.0 | 2420.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 582.0 | 33.0 | 60.0 | 111.0 | 267.0 | 1089.0 | 1738.0 | 2221.0 | 2699.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 633.0 | 46.0 | 79.0 | 138.0 | 307.0 | 1141.0 | 1777.0 | 2245.0 | 2707.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 635.0 | 49.0 | 84.0 | 144.0 | 314.0 | 1130.0 | 1746.0 | 2199.0 | 2644.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 629.0 | 51.0 | 85.0 | 146.0 | 314.0 | 1113.0 | 1713.0 | 2153.0 | 2586.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 640.0 | 58.0 | 94.0 | 157.0 | 328.0 | 1113.0 | 1694.0 | 2117.0 | 2533.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 621.0 | 66.0 | 104.0 | 167.0 | 331.0 | 1049.0 | 1568.0 | 1944.0 | 2311.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 621.0 | 55.0 | 90.0 | 151.0 | 316.0 | 1083.0 | 1652.0 | 2068.0 | 2477.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 556.0 | 42.0 | 71.0 | 124.0 | 272.0 | 995.0 | 1543.0 | 1946.0 | 2343.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 531.0 | 40.0 | 69.0 | 119.0 | 261.0 | 949.0 | 1470.0 | 1854.0 | 2231.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 496.0 | 34.0 | 60.0 | 106.0 | 239.0 | 898.0 | 1402.0 | 1774.0 | 2142.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 448.0 | 39.0 | 65.0 | 109.0 | 228.0 | 783.0 | 1195.0 | 1496.0 | 1791.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 417.0 | 41.0 | 66.0 | 107.0 | 218.0 | 715.0 | 1079.0 | 1343.0 | 1602.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 382.0 | 41.0 | 64.0 | 103.0 | 204.0 | 644.0 | 961.0 | 1191.0 | 1415.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 369.0 | 35.0 | 57.0 | 93.0 | 191.0 | 635.0 | 961.0 | 1198.0 | 1430.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 356.0 | 34.0 | 56.0 | 91.0 | 185.0 | 610.0 | 921.0 | 1146.0 | 1368.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 322.0 | 31.0 | 50.0 | 82.0 | 168.0 | 552.0 | 833.0 | 1037.0 | 1237.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 284.0 | 26.0 | 42.0 | 70.0 | 146.0 | 493.0 | 749.0 | 935.0 | 1118.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 273.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | 70.0 | 143.0 | 467.0 | 704.0 | 877.0 | 1045.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 273.0 | 26.0 | 42.0 | 69.0 | 141.0 | 469.0 | 710.0 | 885.0 | 1056.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 228.0 | 26.0 | 41.0 | 64.0 | 124.0 | 380.0 | 563.0 | 694.0 | 823.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 193.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 57.0 | 107.0 | 318.0 | 466.0 | 573.0 | 676.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 158.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 43.0 | 84.0 | 266.0 | 397.0 | 492.0 | 585.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 156.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 55.0 | 94.0 | 240.0 | 338.0 | 406.0 | 472.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 143.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 87.0 | 218.0 | 305.0 | 366.0 | 425.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 130.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 51.0 | 82.0 | 194.0 | 266.0 | 317.0 | 365.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 113.0 | 27.0 | 36.0 | 48.0 | 74.0 | 163.0 | 218.0 | 257.0 | 293.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 114.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 53.0 | 78.0 | 161.0 | 211.0 | 246.0 | 279.0 |
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