Prediction 1440
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 62.0 | 74.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 75.0 | 89.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 45.0 | 67.0 | 84.0 | 99.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 37.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 63.0 | 96.0 | 120.0 | 143.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 39.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 67.0 | 101.0 | 126.0 | 150.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 55.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | 94.0 | 142.0 | 177.0 | 211.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 62.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 108.0 | 165.0 | 207.0 | 248.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 69.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 33.0 | 127.0 | 199.0 | 253.0 | 305.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 73.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 36.0 | 130.0 | 201.0 | 253.0 | 304.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 70.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 34.0 | 127.0 | 197.0 | 249.0 | 301.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 56.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 98.0 | 150.0 | 188.0 | 225.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 49.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 108.0 | 190.0 | 253.0 | 317.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 170.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 47.0 | 437.0 | 838.0 | 1158.0 | 1488.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 185.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 52.0 | 473.0 | 901.0 | 1243.0 | 1595.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 195.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 57.0 | 488.0 | 920.0 | 1263.0 | 1615.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 179.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 52.0 | 449.0 | 848.0 | 1165.0 | 1490.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 196.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 64.0 | 455.0 | 823.0 | 1111.0 | 1404.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 188.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 63.0 | 432.0 | 776.0 | 1045.0 | 1318.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 204.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 77.0 | 435.0 | 749.0 | 990.0 | 1232.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 178.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 65.0 | 384.0 | 668.0 | 886.0 | 1107.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 185.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 73.0 | 382.0 | 647.0 | 849.0 | 1051.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 168.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 62.0 | 363.0 | 631.0 | 838.0 | 1047.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 160.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 70.0 | 308.0 | 501.0 | 645.0 | 788.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 137.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 63.0 | 254.0 | 404.0 | 515.0 | 626.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 120.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 55.0 | 224.0 | 358.0 | 458.0 | 556.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 119.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 60.0 | 209.0 | 319.0 | 399.0 | 478.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 103.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 48.0 | 192.0 | 305.0 | 388.0 | 471.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 92.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 45.0 | 166.0 | 258.0 | 325.0 | 392.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 76.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 37.0 | 137.0 | 213.0 | 269.0 | 324.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 75.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 37.0 | 132.0 | 203.0 | 255.0 | 306.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 68.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 34.0 | 119.0 | 183.0 | 230.0 | 276.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 58.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 100.0 | 152.0 | 189.0 | 226.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 45.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 81.0 | 126.0 | 159.0 | 191.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 44.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 77.0 | 116.0 | 145.0 | 174.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 40.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 68.0 | 100.0 | 124.0 | 147.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 36.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 62.0 | 93.0 | 115.0 | 137.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 35.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 62.0 | 96.0 | 121.0 | 146.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 31.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 55.0 | 84.0 | 106.0 | 127.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 29.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 50.0 | 76.0 | 95.0 | 114.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 46.0 | 72.0 | 90.0 | 108.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 41.0 | 62.0 | 77.0 | 92.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 22.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 39.0 | 61.0 | 77.0 | 92.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 38.0 | 56.0 | 70.0 | 82.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 34.0 | 50.0 | 61.0 | 72.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 30.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 | 65.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 54.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 52.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 42.0 | 49.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 | 66.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 | 49.0 | 57.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 31.0 | 47.0 | 58.0 | 70.0 |
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