Prediction 1441
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 44.0 | 54.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 28.0 | 39.0 | 50.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 54.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 39.0 | 53.0 | 68.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 22.0 | 41.0 | 56.0 | 71.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 43.0 | 62.0 | 83.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 51.0 | 66.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 51.0 | 67.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 40.0 | 56.0 | 72.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 41.0 | 58.0 | 76.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 29.0 | 39.0 | 49.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 52.0 | 66.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 22.0 | 38.0 | 51.0 | 63.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 23.0 | 41.0 | 55.0 | 69.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 46.0 | 65.0 | 83.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 54.0 | 76.0 | 99.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 47.0 | 65.0 | 83.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 47.0 | 65.0 | 85.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 29.0 | 63.0 | 92.0 | 122.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 53.0 | 74.0 | 96.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 33.0 | 65.0 | 90.0 | 116.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 35.0 | 69.0 | 98.0 | 127.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 31.0 | 63.0 | 89.0 | 116.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 38.0 | 82.0 | 119.0 | 158.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 31.0 | 64.0 | 91.0 | 119.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 32.0 | 70.0 | 101.0 | 135.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 31.0 | 62.0 | 88.0 | 115.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 73.0 | 108.0 | 145.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 36.0 | 77.0 | 111.0 | 146.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 41.0 | 95.0 | 141.0 | 191.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 56.0 | 130.0 | 194.0 | 262.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 67.0 | 152.0 | 225.0 | 303.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 59.0 | 152.0 | 236.0 | 327.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 58.0 | 129.0 | 190.0 | 254.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 52.0 | 111.0 | 160.0 | 212.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 50.0 | 115.0 | 171.0 | 231.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 38.0 | 76.0 | 107.0 | 140.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 43.0 | 85.0 | 118.0 | 153.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 39.0 | 75.0 | 104.0 | 133.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 30.0 | 63.0 | 90.0 | 118.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 44.0 | 86.0 | 121.0 | 157.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 43.0 | 83.0 | 116.0 | 150.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 40.0 | 71.0 | 95.0 | 120.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 31.0 | 53.0 | 70.0 | 87.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 49.0 | 66.0 | 82.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 29.0 | 56.0 | 78.0 | 100.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 55.0 | 77.0 | 100.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 48.0 | 64.0 | 81.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 61.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 39.0 | 48.0 |
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