Prediction 1442
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 44.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 40.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 62.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 51.0 | 76.0 | 102.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 34.0 | 72.0 | 103.0 | 136.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 35.0 | 80.0 | 118.0 | 160.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 64.0 | 97.0 | 131.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 44.0 | 93.0 | 132.0 | 174.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 55.0 | 120.0 | 175.0 | 233.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 85.0 | 187.0 | 273.0 | 364.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 117.0 | 285.0 | 433.0 | 592.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 160.0 | 391.0 | 594.0 | 812.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 52.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 239.0 | 611.0 | 946.0 | 1307.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 354.0 | 902.0 | 1393.0 | 1924.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 406.0 | 983.0 | 1489.0 | 2031.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 122.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 458.0 | 1060.0 | 1580.0 | 2134.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 144.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 | 502.0 | 1125.0 | 1656.0 | 2218.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 176.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 33.0 | 566.0 | 1218.0 | 1765.0 | 2339.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 187.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 36.0 | 587.0 | 1248.0 | 1800.0 | 2378.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 209.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 44.0 | 628.0 | 1306.0 | 1867.0 | 2452.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 208.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 43.0 | 626.0 | 1302.0 | 1862.0 | 2447.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 226.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 50.0 | 659.0 | 1349.0 | 1916.0 | 2507.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 190.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 37.0 | 592.0 | 1256.0 | 1808.0 | 2387.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 196.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 39.0 | 603.0 | 1271.0 | 1826.0 | 2407.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 174.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 32.0 | 561.0 | 1211.0 | 1757.0 | 2330.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 130.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 474.0 | 1084.0 | 1609.0 | 2165.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 366.0 | 921.0 | 1416.0 | 1949.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 334.0 | 871.0 | 1355.0 | 1881.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 299.0 | 813.0 | 1287.0 | 1803.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 227.0 | 692.0 | 1139.0 | 1635.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 244.0 | 722.0 | 1176.0 | 1677.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 119.0 | 486.0 | 879.0 | 1335.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.0 | 145.0 | 232.0 | 326.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.0 | 143.0 | 232.0 | 329.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 91.0 | 145.0 | 205.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 55.0 | 87.0 | 121.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 46.0 | 71.0 | 98.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 40.0 | 56.0 | 73.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 39.0 | 62.0 | 86.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 63.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 36.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 35.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 |
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