Prediction 1444
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 33.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 61.0 | 97.0 | 124.0 | 151.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 31.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 62.0 | 103.0 | 134.0 | 165.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 29.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 56.0 | 91.0 | 117.0 | 143.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 66.0 | 113.0 | 148.0 | 184.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 85.0 | 157.0 | 213.0 | 270.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 79.0 | 144.0 | 195.0 | 247.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 93.0 | 178.0 | 247.0 | 318.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 80.0 | 153.0 | 212.0 | 272.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 69.0 | 127.0 | 173.0 | 220.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 58.0 | 103.0 | 138.0 | 174.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 33.0 | 54.0 | 69.0 | 85.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 48.0 | 65.0 | 81.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 38.0 | 68.0 | 92.0 | 116.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 21.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 40.0 | 65.0 | 83.0 | 102.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 41.0 | 73.0 | 99.0 | 125.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 46.0 | 79.0 | 105.0 | 131.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 56.0 | 110.0 | 153.0 | 198.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 70.0 | 137.0 | 191.0 | 247.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 78.0 | 153.0 | 215.0 | 278.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 69.0 | 131.0 | 181.0 | 232.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 79.0 | 142.0 | 192.0 | 242.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 73.0 | 135.0 | 185.0 | 235.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 84.0 | 150.0 | 202.0 | 254.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 85.0 | 147.0 | 194.0 | 242.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 41.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 86.0 | 147.0 | 194.0 | 241.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 47.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 102.0 | 177.0 | 235.0 | 293.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 51.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 101.0 | 168.0 | 218.0 | 268.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 49.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 95.0 | 155.0 | 200.0 | 244.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 45.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 84.0 | 133.0 | 170.0 | 206.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 54.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 102.0 | 163.0 | 208.0 | 253.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 60.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 105.0 | 160.0 | 201.0 | 240.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 63.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 32.0 | 110.0 | 168.0 | 211.0 | 253.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 61.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 109.0 | 169.0 | 214.0 | 258.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 57.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 105.0 | 166.0 | 212.0 | 257.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 61.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 29.0 | 113.0 | 178.0 | 227.0 | 275.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 56.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 24.0 | 108.0 | 177.0 | 229.0 | 280.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 52.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 102.0 | 166.0 | 214.0 | 262.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 109.0 | 193.0 | 259.0 | 325.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 59.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 126.0 | 219.0 | 290.0 | 362.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 58.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 118.0 | 197.0 | 258.0 | 318.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 54.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 110.0 | 185.0 | 241.0 | 298.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 123.0 | 227.0 | 309.0 | 394.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 49.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 108.0 | 189.0 | 252.0 | 315.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 52.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 104.0 | 172.0 | 223.0 | 275.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 51.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 100.0 | 163.0 | 210.0 | 257.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 45.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 92.0 | 155.0 | 202.0 | 250.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 37.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 75.0 | 124.0 | 161.0 | 198.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 44.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 90.0 | 149.0 | 195.0 | 240.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 89.0 | 156.0 | 208.0 | 260.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 92.0 | 162.0 | 217.0 | 271.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 70.0 | 121.0 | 160.0 | 199.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 35.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 70.0 | 116.0 | 151.0 | 186.0 |
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