Prediction 1446
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-07 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 43.0 | 62.0 | 75.0 | 89.0 |
| 2024-10-14 | 33.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 53.0 | 76.0 | 92.0 | 107.0 |
| 2024-10-21 | 37.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 61.0 | 89.0 | 109.0 | 129.0 |
| 2024-10-28 | 45.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 72.0 | 106.0 | 129.0 | 152.0 |
| 2024-11-04 | 50.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 88.0 | 133.0 | 166.0 | 199.0 |
| 2024-11-11 | 67.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 121.0 | 189.0 | 239.0 | 288.0 |
| 2024-11-18 | 87.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 39.0 | 164.0 | 263.0 | 337.0 | 410.0 |
| 2024-11-25 | 111.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 44.0 | 227.0 | 382.0 | 500.0 | 618.0 |
| 2024-12-02 | 118.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 41.0 | 263.0 | 466.0 | 623.0 | 782.0 |
| 2024-12-09 | 134.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 50.0 | 286.0 | 493.0 | 653.0 | 813.0 |
| 2024-12-16 | 99.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 42.0 | 194.0 | 320.0 | 414.0 | 508.0 |
| 2024-12-23 | 86.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 45.0 | 148.0 | 222.0 | 277.0 | 330.0 |
| 2024-12-30 | 155.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 62.0 | 319.0 | 538.0 | 704.0 | 871.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 171.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 68.0 | 352.0 | 596.0 | 781.0 | 967.0 |
| 2025-01-13 | 194.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 34.0 | 86.0 | 373.0 | 604.0 | 776.0 | 948.0 |
| 2025-01-20 | 214.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 42.0 | 99.0 | 398.0 | 633.0 | 807.0 | 980.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 233.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 46.0 | 108.0 | 432.0 | 686.0 | 874.0 | 1060.0 |
| 2025-02-03 | 246.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 53.0 | 119.0 | 446.0 | 696.0 | 881.0 | 1064.0 |
| 2025-02-10 | 248.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 61.0 | 127.0 | 431.0 | 655.0 | 819.0 | 980.0 |
| 2025-02-17 | 243.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 67.0 | 131.0 | 405.0 | 602.0 | 744.0 | 882.0 |
| 2025-02-24 | 248.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 74.0 | 138.0 | 404.0 | 590.0 | 723.0 | 853.0 |
| 2025-03-03 | 249.0 | 47.0 | 65.0 | 92.0 | 153.0 | 378.0 | 527.0 | 632.0 | 732.0 |
| 2025-03-10 | 255.0 | 41.0 | 59.0 | 86.0 | 150.0 | 401.0 | 571.0 | 692.0 | 808.0 |
| 2025-03-17 | 262.0 | 41.0 | 59.0 | 87.0 | 153.0 | 414.0 | 591.0 | 717.0 | 839.0 |
| 2025-03-24 | 245.0 | 38.0 | 55.0 | 81.0 | 143.0 | 388.0 | 554.0 | 673.0 | 787.0 |
| 2025-03-31 | 255.0 | 40.0 | 58.0 | 85.0 | 150.0 | 401.0 | 571.0 | 692.0 | 808.0 |
| 2025-04-07 | 258.0 | 46.0 | 64.0 | 92.0 | 156.0 | 398.0 | 559.0 | 673.0 | 782.0 |
| 2025-04-14 | 245.0 | 40.0 | 57.0 | 83.0 | 144.0 | 383.0 | 545.0 | 659.0 | 770.0 |
| 2025-04-21 | 238.0 | 44.0 | 62.0 | 87.0 | 146.0 | 364.0 | 508.0 | 610.0 | 707.0 |
| 2025-04-28 | 234.0 | 42.0 | 59.0 | 84.0 | 142.0 | 359.0 | 503.0 | 604.0 | 701.0 |
| 2025-05-05 | 215.0 | 40.0 | 56.0 | 79.0 | 132.0 | 329.0 | 459.0 | 550.0 | 638.0 |
| 2025-05-12 | 206.0 | 43.0 | 58.0 | 80.0 | 130.0 | 308.0 | 424.0 | 505.0 | 582.0 |
| 2025-05-19 | 173.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 59.0 | 102.0 | 271.0 | 385.0 | 465.0 | 543.0 |
| 2025-05-26 | 149.0 | 26.0 | 37.0 | 53.0 | 90.0 | 229.0 | 323.0 | 388.0 | 452.0 |
| 2025-06-02 | 123.0 | 21.0 | 30.0 | 44.0 | 74.0 | 190.0 | 267.0 | 321.0 | 374.0 |
| 2025-06-09 | 108.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 63.0 | 171.0 | 245.0 | 297.0 | 348.0 |
| 2025-06-16 | 84.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 50.0 | 130.0 | 184.0 | 222.0 | 259.0 |
| 2025-06-23 | 72.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 42.0 | 113.0 | 161.0 | 195.0 | 229.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 60.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 95.0 | 137.0 | 166.0 | 195.0 |
| 2025-07-07 | 51.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 29.0 | 82.0 | 119.0 | 145.0 | 170.0 |
| 2025-07-14 | 44.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 72.0 | 105.0 | 129.0 | 152.0 |
| 2025-07-21 | 40.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 64.0 | 92.0 | 113.0 | 132.0 |
| 2025-07-28 | 41.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 65.0 | 93.0 | 113.0 | 132.0 |
| 2025-08-04 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 55.0 | 77.0 | 92.0 | 107.0 |
| 2025-08-11 | 38.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 58.0 | 82.0 | 99.0 | 115.0 |
| 2025-08-18 | 31.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 47.0 | 66.0 | 80.0 | 92.0 |
| 2025-08-25 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 44.0 | 64.0 | 79.0 | 94.0 |
| 2025-09-01 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 37.0 | 54.0 | 65.0 | 77.0 |
| 2025-09-08 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 41.0 | 60.0 | 74.0 | 87.0 |
| 2025-09-15 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 40.0 | 58.0 | 71.0 | 83.0 |
| 2025-09-22 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 44.0 | 66.0 | 82.0 | 98.0 |
| 2025-09-29 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 58.0 | 66.0 |
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