Prediction 1470

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model GHR Model 2025
Author Chloe Fletcher
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 1 - CE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 111.0 23.00 29.00 42.9 70.00 187.25 309.2 423.05 480.77
2022-10-16 118.0 21.48 28.95 40.0 73.00 194.25 313.7 437.65 568.62
2022-10-23 113.0 22.00 27.00 35.0 64.75 194.50 333.3 428.15 526.50
2022-10-30 109.5 21.95 28.00 41.9 64.00 181.00 314.1 404.10 515.35
2022-11-06 121.5 19.00 30.90 41.0 73.00 196.25 324.1 433.05 544.73
2022-11-13 135.0 23.00 29.00 42.0 74.00 240.00 363.6 467.10 647.12
2022-11-20 144.0 20.95 33.90 50.9 81.75 245.50 394.4 519.25 646.00
2022-11-27 150.0 26.48 37.00 50.9 88.75 259.25 413.3 535.30 651.05
2022-12-04 139.0 25.00 30.95 47.0 80.75 244.00 376.7 551.15 641.27
2022-12-11 135.0 18.48 26.00 41.0 73.00 225.25 334.1 403.25 525.77
2022-12-18 123.0 23.48 31.95 43.0 74.75 219.25 354.1 445.05 580.00
2022-12-25 142.0 25.00 35.00 46.9 79.00 250.00 385.2 447.05 509.68
2023-01-01 153.0 20.48 26.95 41.0 82.00 242.75 378.4 491.20 603.55
2023-01-08 184.0 31.48 39.00 60.0 99.00 298.25 501.5 671.00 759.05
2023-01-15 222.0 46.85 61.00 81.0 128.00 358.00 539.2 700.50 925.30
2023-01-22 252.0 46.42 60.80 83.9 135.00 437.25 702.0 911.40 1140.20
2023-01-29 224.5 47.95 64.85 87.9 134.00 389.50 632.9 800.35 979.10
2023-02-05 241.5 42.38 59.95 74.9 132.75 443.00 691.6 947.15 1068.05
2023-02-12 280.0 49.95 67.95 93.9 152.00 456.25 752.4 1001.20 1243.15
2023-02-19 326.0 62.48 84.80 117.6 190.75 551.25 881.4 1116.40 1294.60
2023-02-26 334.0 58.00 81.90 120.8 203.00 594.25 1039.2 1315.50 1547.75
2023-03-05 403.5 64.47 90.95 127.7 225.00 685.25 1056.2 1372.70 1724.42
2023-03-12 398.5 61.48 89.00 144.3 248.00 702.50 1096.2 1399.10 1606.72
2023-03-19 432.0 78.42 95.95 143.0 253.75 801.50 1184.1 1461.05 1803.25
2023-03-26 494.5 96.47 133.70 180.0 290.00 854.00 1325.2 1622.75 2090.10
2023-04-02 539.0 91.42 130.85 170.6 301.75 1001.00 1494.3 2018.05 2591.18
2023-04-09 546.0 112.47 139.00 205.7 330.25 1028.75 1600.2 2118.20 2716.78
2023-04-16 674.5 119.85 168.00 249.5 383.75 1122.00 1864.6 2222.85 2783.30
2023-04-23 692.5 132.00 191.90 260.8 431.25 1156.25 1944.1 2462.90 2913.65
2023-04-30 770.0 153.00 181.00 240.0 422.75 1313.50 1957.4 2568.45 3268.07
2023-05-07 754.5 136.90 177.95 260.4 427.75 1247.50 2200.2 2768.95 3338.22
2023-05-14 741.0 106.00 153.50 244.7 424.75 1243.50 2051.0 2612.10 3235.47
2023-05-21 691.0 107.38 186.85 248.9 388.75 1215.00 2023.8 2669.35 3186.43
2023-05-28 634.5 143.43 175.80 229.0 400.25 1017.00 1542.3 2026.50 2517.10
2023-06-04 657.5 140.32 177.00 245.7 370.50 1108.25 1673.7 2170.20 3017.50
2023-06-11 535.0 98.47 143.80 186.7 296.75 922.75 1377.7 1656.80 2000.05
2023-06-18 490.0 89.47 140.35 180.9 308.50 773.25 1238.5 1608.30 2024.78
2023-06-25 428.5 85.47 99.95 145.8 255.50 723.25 1128.8 1511.80 1827.88
2023-07-02 443.5 82.95 113.60 156.0 263.50 737.25 1226.2 1488.10 1879.35
2023-07-09 391.5 72.47 95.85 127.9 229.00 618.00 926.5 1305.65 1566.78
2023-07-16 346.0 68.95 88.70 128.9 207.75 591.00 875.6 1117.40 1266.45
2023-07-23 331.0 44.48 81.90 115.9 177.00 541.25 854.2 1194.10 1378.88
2023-07-30 288.5 44.48 73.95 102.9 161.00 472.25 876.2 1112.15 1443.92
2023-08-06 248.5 42.95 68.00 96.8 151.00 400.25 665.1 840.55 1015.98
2023-08-13 215.5 34.00 47.00 72.0 115.00 361.00 609.2 752.45 999.55
2023-08-20 206.0 44.95 56.00 70.9 113.00 351.25 553.7 752.05 880.62
2023-08-27 171.0 34.00 45.95 68.9 105.00 277.25 439.2 579.60 714.25
2023-09-03 162.0 29.95 41.90 58.0 95.00 251.75 392.1 524.45 662.08
2023-09-10 129.5 26.48 36.90 53.0 81.00 238.25 374.1 491.65 586.67
2023-09-17 115.5 19.48 31.00 40.9 71.00 183.75 279.4 375.10 423.88
2023-09-24 107.0 21.00 23.95 34.9 57.00 186.25 312.0 380.60 528.62
2023-10-01 95.5 19.95 27.00 34.9 58.75 174.75 258.2 342.55 435.98
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