Prediction 1492
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 2 - AL
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 62.0 | 15.00 | 19.95 | 24.0 | 36.00 | 92.25 | 133.1 | 162.00 | 199.53 |
| 2023-10-15 | 62.0 | 15.00 | 19.00 | 25.0 | 40.00 | 101.25 | 151.0 | 174.05 | 203.57 |
| 2023-10-22 | 62.0 | 14.47 | 19.00 | 24.0 | 38.00 | 94.00 | 133.2 | 174.05 | 201.05 |
| 2023-10-29 | 91.0 | 26.00 | 31.00 | 39.9 | 57.00 | 142.00 | 201.2 | 261.05 | 295.68 |
| 2023-11-05 | 98.0 | 29.00 | 35.00 | 40.0 | 63.00 | 165.25 | 224.0 | 272.25 | 333.88 |
| 2023-11-12 | 93.0 | 23.48 | 31.00 | 37.0 | 60.00 | 144.00 | 208.2 | 262.05 | 312.52 |
| 2023-11-19 | 78.0 | 20.48 | 25.00 | 32.9 | 52.00 | 123.00 | 172.1 | 228.20 | 287.57 |
| 2023-11-26 | 76.0 | 17.48 | 22.00 | 29.0 | 45.00 | 115.00 | 169.0 | 201.25 | 248.10 |
| 2023-12-03 | 76.0 | 20.48 | 23.95 | 31.0 | 48.00 | 120.00 | 182.2 | 232.05 | 272.73 |
| 2023-12-10 | 70.0 | 17.00 | 22.95 | 29.0 | 44.00 | 108.00 | 158.0 | 181.10 | 222.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | 69.0 | 17.95 | 23.00 | 28.0 | 43.75 | 108.00 | 163.0 | 212.15 | 238.82 |
| 2023-12-24 | 72.0 | 16.00 | 19.00 | 28.0 | 44.75 | 104.00 | 155.1 | 196.05 | 226.10 |
| 2023-12-31 | 119.0 | 29.95 | 36.00 | 48.8 | 77.00 | 192.25 | 307.1 | 386.05 | 459.88 |
| 2024-01-07 | 132.5 | 31.95 | 44.00 | 55.0 | 80.75 | 207.75 | 320.1 | 383.15 | 478.18 |
| 2024-01-14 | 162.0 | 39.95 | 50.00 | 63.9 | 99.00 | 248.25 | 360.2 | 455.70 | 559.10 |
| 2024-01-21 | 171.5 | 49.00 | 59.00 | 75.9 | 112.00 | 278.00 | 409.5 | 498.25 | 620.00 |
| 2024-01-28 | 184.5 | 51.48 | 61.95 | 79.0 | 113.75 | 294.00 | 412.3 | 505.35 | 665.62 |
| 2024-02-04 | 228.5 | 74.38 | 85.95 | 102.0 | 148.75 | 351.50 | 523.4 | 646.45 | 762.85 |
| 2024-02-11 | 249.5 | 64.95 | 87.95 | 109.9 | 158.75 | 424.25 | 584.3 | 754.05 | 817.92 |
| 2024-02-18 | 292.0 | 87.00 | 103.00 | 129.9 | 195.75 | 508.00 | 804.2 | 1087.15 | 1167.35 |
| 2024-02-25 | 350.5 | 96.42 | 112.00 | 150.0 | 219.00 | 541.25 | 792.2 | 1025.15 | 1185.17 |
| 2024-03-03 | 382.0 | 99.47 | 125.85 | 155.5 | 237.00 | 584.00 | 881.0 | 1192.35 | 1343.45 |
| 2024-03-10 | 428.0 | 111.38 | 138.00 | 175.8 | 277.00 | 664.00 | 1011.8 | 1252.85 | 1511.35 |
| 2024-03-17 | 481.0 | 120.47 | 148.75 | 189.9 | 306.00 | 759.50 | 1177.3 | 1460.60 | 1609.58 |
| 2024-03-24 | 556.0 | 156.32 | 188.95 | 239.8 | 342.75 | 905.50 | 1248.6 | 1594.50 | 2032.05 |
| 2024-03-31 | 769.5 | 207.00 | 247.50 | 313.9 | 457.50 | 1281.75 | 1752.2 | 2232.05 | 2500.50 |
| 2024-04-07 | 900.0 | 231.75 | 277.95 | 396.5 | 556.50 | 1477.25 | 2276.7 | 2744.45 | 3408.22 |
| 2024-04-14 | 915.0 | 239.47 | 302.00 | 387.7 | 562.25 | 1465.25 | 2274.4 | 2684.15 | 3331.45 |
| 2024-04-21 | 927.5 | 282.18 | 342.90 | 404.6 | 592.00 | 1489.50 | 2417.5 | 3013.60 | 3755.68 |
| 2024-04-28 | 959.0 | 323.43 | 375.90 | 435.3 | 594.00 | 1660.00 | 2522.2 | 3021.80 | 3494.35 |
| 2024-05-05 | 953.0 | 260.48 | 319.55 | 382.0 | 585.75 | 1478.50 | 2263.0 | 2975.15 | 3896.55 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1011.0 | 246.55 | 313.70 | 383.9 | 586.75 | 1581.25 | 2463.8 | 3373.55 | 3978.32 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1048.0 | 238.95 | 322.90 | 408.3 | 615.00 | 1746.00 | 2586.0 | 3232.05 | 3906.10 |
| 2024-05-26 | 965.0 | 264.75 | 313.95 | 402.0 | 602.50 | 1583.75 | 2481.4 | 3361.75 | 4182.32 |
| 2024-06-02 | 668.0 | 149.85 | 186.00 | 247.8 | 382.00 | 1059.25 | 1628.2 | 2052.20 | 2502.07 |
| 2024-06-09 | 604.0 | 153.47 | 180.00 | 250.8 | 381.00 | 1042.25 | 1655.1 | 2076.25 | 2383.88 |
| 2024-06-16 | 563.0 | 128.90 | 178.70 | 236.7 | 350.50 | 945.25 | 1453.5 | 1919.15 | 2131.60 |
| 2024-06-23 | 539.5 | 136.00 | 161.00 | 221.9 | 336.00 | 904.00 | 1333.9 | 1668.75 | 2193.20 |
| 2024-06-30 | 314.5 | 80.47 | 95.95 | 116.9 | 176.00 | 531.00 | 810.1 | 1000.05 | 1205.70 |
| 2024-07-07 | 294.0 | 77.47 | 90.95 | 120.0 | 177.00 | 504.00 | 789.1 | 937.40 | 1279.97 |
| 2024-07-14 | 253.0 | 58.95 | 78.00 | 100.9 | 150.75 | 382.75 | 580.4 | 817.15 | 916.88 |
| 2024-07-21 | 227.0 | 54.48 | 70.85 | 87.9 | 128.75 | 385.50 | 561.0 | 698.45 | 829.52 |
| 2024-07-28 | 218.5 | 53.48 | 62.00 | 85.9 | 132.00 | 336.00 | 474.1 | 579.50 | 793.05 |
| 2024-08-04 | 147.0 | 35.00 | 46.90 | 61.0 | 91.00 | 229.00 | 325.2 | 461.00 | 516.25 |
| 2024-08-11 | 139.5 | 35.00 | 43.00 | 52.0 | 83.00 | 208.00 | 303.2 | 392.00 | 454.73 |
| 2024-08-18 | 119.0 | 32.48 | 39.00 | 49.9 | 75.00 | 188.25 | 271.1 | 362.15 | 433.73 |
| 2024-08-25 | 109.5 | 31.00 | 36.00 | 46.0 | 70.00 | 168.00 | 248.1 | 289.35 | 366.57 |
| 2024-09-01 | 100.5 | 28.48 | 35.95 | 45.0 | 67.00 | 163.25 | 240.0 | 286.05 | 328.52 |
| 2024-09-08 | 102.0 | 24.48 | 33.00 | 42.0 | 66.00 | 160.25 | 229.2 | 271.05 | 325.55 |
| 2024-09-15 | 96.5 | 18.48 | 27.00 | 37.0 | 58.00 | 147.50 | 227.1 | 271.05 | 304.77 |
| 2024-09-22 | 86.0 | 20.48 | 27.00 | 38.0 | 59.75 | 142.25 | 200.2 | 252.10 | 326.10 |
| 2024-09-29 | 75.5 | 20.48 | 26.00 | 32.0 | 46.75 | 121.25 | 172.0 | 205.30 | 243.72 |
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