Prediction 1496
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Ceará |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 2 - CE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 65.0 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 19.0 | 33.00 | 107.25 | 169.3 | 236.05 | 269.00 |
| 2023-10-15 | 66.0 | 9.47 | 13.00 | 21.0 | 37.00 | 116.25 | 186.1 | 247.30 | 310.52 |
| 2023-10-22 | 65.0 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 20.9 | 35.00 | 114.00 | 175.3 | 225.00 | 274.15 |
| 2023-10-29 | 88.5 | 16.48 | 22.00 | 30.0 | 49.00 | 160.25 | 267.0 | 350.15 | 436.05 |
| 2023-11-05 | 99.0 | 10.00 | 17.00 | 30.9 | 56.75 | 167.00 | 258.1 | 351.60 | 441.45 |
| 2023-11-12 | 106.5 | 16.95 | 24.95 | 37.0 | 59.00 | 179.00 | 288.1 | 364.05 | 463.30 |
| 2023-11-19 | 108.0 | 17.00 | 24.90 | 35.0 | 59.75 | 192.00 | 308.3 | 417.20 | 500.05 |
| 2023-11-26 | 112.5 | 17.00 | 25.00 | 33.9 | 62.75 | 195.75 | 334.1 | 395.05 | 482.70 |
| 2023-12-03 | 108.5 | 15.00 | 20.00 | 31.0 | 60.00 | 192.25 | 301.5 | 364.70 | 496.10 |
| 2023-12-10 | 103.5 | 13.00 | 19.95 | 29.0 | 55.75 | 181.00 | 290.2 | 370.10 | 455.88 |
| 2023-12-17 | 98.5 | 11.00 | 20.00 | 28.0 | 52.75 | 176.00 | 261.8 | 378.15 | 484.10 |
| 2023-12-24 | 109.5 | 16.00 | 24.00 | 31.9 | 59.00 | 193.75 | 316.5 | 418.65 | 558.15 |
| 2023-12-31 | 199.5 | 26.48 | 38.00 | 55.0 | 103.75 | 341.50 | 574.1 | 779.90 | 897.67 |
| 2024-01-07 | 224.0 | 37.95 | 50.00 | 69.0 | 115.75 | 394.50 | 653.2 | 856.20 | 1094.60 |
| 2024-01-14 | 278.0 | 40.48 | 61.95 | 87.0 | 159.75 | 496.00 | 806.7 | 1158.00 | 1461.67 |
| 2024-01-21 | 314.5 | 49.95 | 58.95 | 90.5 | 188.25 | 526.50 | 900.4 | 1110.20 | 1324.10 |
| 2024-01-28 | 389.5 | 53.00 | 73.95 | 109.9 | 220.50 | 700.25 | 1128.5 | 1518.65 | 1947.70 |
| 2024-02-04 | 584.5 | 108.47 | 123.95 | 182.8 | 341.00 | 1032.50 | 1563.7 | 2205.60 | 2689.62 |
| 2024-02-11 | 679.0 | 139.00 | 167.85 | 244.0 | 379.50 | 1146.00 | 1704.1 | 2423.70 | 3361.85 |
| 2024-02-18 | 741.0 | 136.18 | 197.95 | 259.9 | 439.00 | 1275.50 | 1928.5 | 2367.40 | 2808.82 |
| 2024-02-25 | 808.0 | 151.38 | 201.95 | 296.4 | 480.75 | 1479.00 | 2344.3 | 3199.80 | 4082.43 |
| 2024-03-03 | 974.0 | 208.95 | 263.85 | 369.5 | 565.75 | 1725.50 | 2487.9 | 3212.70 | 4341.57 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1108.0 | 203.47 | 278.65 | 428.9 | 638.00 | 1888.25 | 3234.9 | 3995.15 | 4984.80 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1208.5 | 213.38 | 273.75 | 396.8 | 722.50 | 1954.25 | 3100.6 | 3959.95 | 4573.23 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1229.5 | 226.85 | 314.75 | 441.4 | 707.00 | 2164.25 | 3572.6 | 4618.05 | 5380.52 |
| 2024-03-31 | 2074.5 | 408.82 | 548.75 | 763.5 | 1244.00 | 3550.50 | 5386.3 | 7071.50 | 9239.27 |
| 2024-04-07 | 2127.0 | 338.95 | 558.45 | 764.1 | 1275.25 | 3537.50 | 5642.2 | 7163.15 | 8590.23 |
| 2024-04-14 | 2221.0 | 468.60 | 645.75 | 883.3 | 1343.75 | 3769.25 | 6371.5 | 8790.45 | 10331.02 |
| 2024-04-21 | 2339.5 | 398.18 | 533.90 | 725.3 | 1362.00 | 4193.50 | 6460.5 | 8509.70 | 10265.62 |
| 2024-04-28 | 2489.0 | 508.85 | 597.00 | 798.7 | 1314.50 | 4168.75 | 7063.8 | 9368.10 | 11292.23 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2600.0 | 461.32 | 630.85 | 939.7 | 1503.50 | 4209.75 | 6481.9 | 7987.75 | 10646.27 |
| 2024-05-12 | 2431.0 | 439.18 | 580.00 | 850.2 | 1372.25 | 4033.75 | 6149.9 | 8124.80 | 9825.62 |
| 2024-05-19 | 2223.0 | 561.42 | 670.35 | 921.2 | 1391.00 | 3995.50 | 6663.8 | 8255.95 | 10278.92 |
| 2024-05-26 | 2237.5 | 336.27 | 479.65 | 746.1 | 1233.50 | 3646.25 | 5492.1 | 6626.10 | 8428.45 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1525.0 | 291.43 | 376.60 | 564.7 | 874.25 | 2445.50 | 3950.4 | 5350.65 | 6602.15 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1330.0 | 223.47 | 293.25 | 470.4 | 770.75 | 2273.25 | 3504.6 | 4528.75 | 5960.00 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1119.0 | 199.75 | 272.75 | 375.9 | 660.75 | 1883.75 | 2860.8 | 3899.70 | 4912.88 |
| 2024-06-23 | 1055.5 | 153.47 | 213.95 | 350.7 | 628.75 | 1743.75 | 2882.8 | 3445.20 | 4497.43 |
| 2024-06-30 | 616.0 | 105.95 | 143.85 | 224.8 | 357.75 | 1031.75 | 1631.5 | 2030.50 | 2576.85 |
| 2024-07-07 | 535.0 | 116.47 | 144.85 | 208.6 | 322.75 | 909.50 | 1345.3 | 1701.25 | 2101.00 |
| 2024-07-14 | 459.0 | 80.33 | 102.95 | 152.0 | 280.25 | 774.25 | 1173.4 | 1616.50 | 1885.25 |
| 2024-07-21 | 421.0 | 72.42 | 94.90 | 139.0 | 257.75 | 727.25 | 1148.5 | 1394.95 | 1847.40 |
| 2024-07-28 | 384.5 | 54.85 | 85.00 | 134.9 | 229.75 | 664.00 | 1043.1 | 1356.85 | 1786.42 |
| 2024-08-04 | 283.0 | 50.00 | 62.00 | 95.0 | 168.75 | 443.25 | 729.1 | 890.80 | 1200.53 |
| 2024-08-11 | 237.5 | 40.42 | 49.00 | 77.9 | 138.00 | 422.50 | 698.0 | 851.35 | 1002.67 |
| 2024-08-18 | 235.0 | 46.48 | 56.00 | 76.0 | 135.75 | 374.00 | 563.7 | 719.35 | 921.15 |
| 2024-08-25 | 186.5 | 31.00 | 41.95 | 66.9 | 112.50 | 322.00 | 535.0 | 671.25 | 795.62 |
| 2024-09-01 | 157.0 | 31.00 | 40.00 | 49.9 | 83.75 | 263.75 | 443.2 | 559.35 | 671.77 |
| 2024-09-08 | 130.5 | 26.48 | 34.95 | 46.0 | 74.50 | 216.25 | 352.6 | 450.50 | 596.27 |
| 2024-09-15 | 129.0 | 19.48 | 27.95 | 40.9 | 75.00 | 206.00 | 337.2 | 457.10 | 587.35 |
| 2024-09-22 | 117.5 | 22.43 | 30.00 | 39.9 | 67.00 | 193.25 | 323.2 | 410.45 | 483.30 |
| 2024-09-29 | 89.5 | 13.00 | 21.85 | 30.0 | 54.00 | 145.00 | 232.3 | 311.30 | 410.62 |
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