Prediction 15
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2408102 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de todos as cidades clusterizadas com 2408102 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 77.21 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 241.98 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 96.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 259.29 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 84.09 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 286.74 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 145.37 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 400.10 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 86.22 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 401.48 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 49.29 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 361.62 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 46.92 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 346.72 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 37.17 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 445.70 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 38.17 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 469.04 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 38.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 547.78 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 49.58 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 607.16 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 76.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 496.76 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 100.10 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 522.82 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 138.69 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 515.88 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 231.42 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 610.42 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 269.78 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 818.18 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 351.11 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1016.06 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 714.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1512.03 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 697.80 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1529.63 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 704.81 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1483.02 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 631.79 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1510.93 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 599.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1549.36 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 570.17 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1511.13 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 542.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1604.81 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 555.32 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1702.21 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 422.29 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1511.07 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 570.41 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1825.65 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 542.24 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1828.58 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 477.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1657.33 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 356.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1573.10 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 352.12 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1410.67 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 360.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1207.20 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 363.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1226.43 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 384.77 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1051.46 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 332.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 927.03 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 318.43 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 997.92 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 304.17 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1061.16 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 274.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1024.54 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 213.63 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 967.11 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 129.09 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 796.93 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 128.63 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 530.72 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 102.12 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 428.94 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 90.12 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 292.51 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 87.21 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 224.70 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 88.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 182.79 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 87.05 | - | 73.81 | - | - | - | - | 100.29 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 84.87 | - | 51.00 | - | - | - | - | 118.74 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 84.54 | - | 31.43 | - | - | - | - | 137.65 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 93.38 | - | 0.63 | - | - | - | - | 186.13 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 72.06 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 179.59 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 93.31 | - | 14.87 | - | - | - | - | 171.75 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 70.59 | - | 26.82 | - | - | - | - | 114.36 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 60.74 | - | 31.06 | - | - | - | - | 90.42 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 54.67 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 214.58 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 37.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 235.45 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 39.25 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 252.86 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 31.35 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 263.81 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 81.69 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 304.11 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 110.32 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 401.11 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 96.14 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 337.33 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 99.75 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 414.67 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 71.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 347.23 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 82.15 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 344.06 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 69.09 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 349.87 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 80.39 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 335.23 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 75.10 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 422.32 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 117.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 450.38 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 129.84 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 445.82 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 182.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 763.31 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 313.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 999.27 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 316.64 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1031.64 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 404.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1196.99 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 583.48 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1210.61 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 417.71 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1061.91 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 265.09 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 879.70 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 264.39 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 830.71 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 125.55 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 629.19 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 119.21 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 626.24 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 102.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 583.69 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
