Prediction 1500
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 2 - MG
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 223.0 | 135.43 | 147.00 | 156.0 | 189.00 | 267.25 | 310.1 | 343.00 | 377.00 |
| 2023-10-15 | 245.0 | 157.47 | 166.00 | 184.0 | 209.75 | 285.00 | 344.0 | 376.20 | 413.10 |
| 2023-10-22 | 265.0 | 150.00 | 165.00 | 189.0 | 228.00 | 320.50 | 380.0 | 406.05 | 443.57 |
| 2023-10-29 | 282.0 | 165.90 | 184.95 | 202.0 | 241.00 | 342.00 | 400.0 | 435.05 | 473.10 |
| 2023-11-05 | 315.0 | 189.00 | 203.00 | 222.0 | 265.75 | 371.00 | 427.1 | 478.10 | 521.10 |
| 2023-11-12 | 348.0 | 218.47 | 228.95 | 249.0 | 293.00 | 415.50 | 494.1 | 538.25 | 583.77 |
| 2023-11-19 | 403.5 | 251.43 | 270.95 | 292.9 | 338.00 | 482.00 | 561.2 | 626.05 | 665.20 |
| 2023-11-26 | 489.0 | 295.48 | 320.95 | 352.9 | 407.75 | 576.25 | 675.4 | 748.55 | 798.52 |
| 2023-12-03 | 511.5 | 319.48 | 336.90 | 377.8 | 426.00 | 631.50 | 755.4 | 857.00 | 958.50 |
| 2023-12-10 | 589.5 | 341.95 | 362.90 | 407.9 | 490.00 | 722.25 | 848.1 | 929.15 | 1030.30 |
| 2023-12-17 | 676.0 | 389.90 | 438.00 | 490.0 | 573.75 | 802.75 | 970.4 | 1146.00 | 1313.88 |
| 2023-12-24 | 931.5 | 547.95 | 583.90 | 664.8 | 777.75 | 1116.25 | 1355.2 | 1529.60 | 1773.08 |
| 2023-12-31 | 2591.0 | 1583.22 | 1670.00 | 1785.5 | 2135.25 | 3169.00 | 3801.1 | 4491.30 | 5043.18 |
| 2024-01-07 | 3738.0 | 2214.88 | 2454.90 | 2660.6 | 3142.00 | 4539.25 | 5685.5 | 6637.25 | 7586.38 |
| 2024-01-14 | 4588.0 | 2802.70 | 3082.85 | 3344.8 | 3852.50 | 5630.50 | 6898.7 | 8128.75 | 9368.40 |
| 2024-01-21 | 5232.0 | 3029.47 | 3285.90 | 3548.2 | 4285.50 | 6518.00 | 7831.9 | 8704.55 | 9756.17 |
| 2024-01-28 | 5485.0 | 3231.30 | 3600.90 | 3866.7 | 4648.00 | 6898.25 | 8240.6 | 9331.10 | 11071.67 |
| 2024-02-04 | 7905.0 | 4854.60 | 5104.65 | 5753.4 | 6738.00 | 9597.50 | 11854.1 | 13009.85 | 15230.45 |
| 2024-02-11 | 9714.0 | 5532.77 | 5955.95 | 6614.6 | 7806.25 | 11957.75 | 14477.4 | 16395.30 | 18276.97 |
| 2024-02-18 | 10801.0 | 6485.62 | 6971.30 | 7553.6 | 8866.00 | 13257.25 | 16555.2 | 19159.65 | 22264.97 |
| 2024-02-25 | 11659.5 | 7145.52 | 7626.20 | 8229.3 | 9677.25 | 14521.50 | 17535.2 | 19571.30 | 21591.65 |
| 2024-03-03 | 19011.5 | 11215.73 | 12256.55 | 13400.5 | 15855.50 | 23250.00 | 28413.3 | 32242.95 | 37053.93 |
| 2024-03-10 | 21156.0 | 12652.73 | 13553.95 | 14766.6 | 17592.00 | 26269.00 | 31841.8 | 35787.15 | 40833.05 |
| 2024-03-17 | 22947.5 | 14362.58 | 14851.30 | 16101.1 | 18793.75 | 28144.75 | 34279.1 | 39655.20 | 44854.88 |
| 2024-03-24 | 23209.5 | 13559.60 | 14504.60 | 16052.6 | 19090.50 | 28925.50 | 34958.7 | 39875.90 | 45629.97 |
| 2024-03-31 | 47654.5 | 27964.58 | 30532.15 | 32673.7 | 38874.75 | 57478.00 | 72079.5 | 81031.40 | 87958.43 |
| 2024-04-07 | 47570.5 | 28539.00 | 29834.50 | 32185.6 | 39540.75 | 57506.25 | 72006.6 | 81210.20 | 90144.50 |
| 2024-04-14 | 45288.5 | 26408.10 | 29755.15 | 32753.1 | 38770.25 | 56553.25 | 69165.2 | 79602.10 | 90212.10 |
| 2024-04-21 | 44451.5 | 26602.95 | 28405.90 | 31124.2 | 36747.25 | 54882.75 | 65464.3 | 75917.15 | 81865.93 |
| 2024-04-28 | 30571.0 | 18736.28 | 19921.30 | 21648.7 | 25340.50 | 36630.00 | 44881.2 | 51889.90 | 58234.05 |
| 2024-05-05 | 25910.5 | 16008.58 | 17269.65 | 18674.8 | 21757.75 | 30884.00 | 39335.1 | 43357.80 | 48803.12 |
| 2024-05-12 | 19840.0 | 12943.30 | 13755.40 | 14641.7 | 16827.75 | 23939.50 | 28235.5 | 34161.00 | 36513.50 |
| 2024-05-19 | 15073.5 | 8996.17 | 9881.85 | 10803.2 | 12555.50 | 18193.75 | 22626.0 | 26923.80 | 30169.67 |
| 2024-05-26 | 11296.5 | 6990.15 | 7293.55 | 7992.0 | 9268.25 | 13651.25 | 15883.1 | 17033.35 | 18799.58 |
| 2024-06-02 | 4250.5 | 2496.38 | 2689.95 | 3029.4 | 3554.75 | 5080.50 | 5928.5 | 6463.05 | 7106.82 |
| 2024-06-09 | 3054.5 | 1847.17 | 2002.00 | 2157.4 | 2551.75 | 3753.00 | 4227.6 | 4952.40 | 5517.25 |
| 2024-06-16 | 2069.5 | 1304.80 | 1381.95 | 1469.8 | 1763.00 | 2489.25 | 2977.9 | 3449.45 | 3641.62 |
| 2024-06-23 | 1457.0 | 900.33 | 957.80 | 1035.0 | 1225.50 | 1745.25 | 2078.6 | 2354.90 | 2650.45 |
| 2024-06-30 | 563.0 | 348.95 | 372.75 | 404.0 | 480.00 | 665.25 | 799.3 | 894.10 | 979.00 |
| 2024-07-07 | 449.0 | 271.38 | 291.90 | 316.9 | 375.75 | 529.25 | 597.3 | 668.10 | 771.67 |
| 2024-07-14 | 348.5 | 213.95 | 231.00 | 252.9 | 291.00 | 420.75 | 485.1 | 547.15 | 593.77 |
| 2024-07-21 | 293.0 | 179.95 | 198.85 | 213.9 | 250.00 | 343.00 | 394.3 | 434.05 | 463.10 |
| 2024-07-28 | 279.0 | 160.00 | 175.00 | 194.0 | 227.00 | 330.00 | 391.1 | 432.00 | 478.57 |
| 2024-08-04 | 184.0 | 111.00 | 120.00 | 133.9 | 156.00 | 223.25 | 265.3 | 295.05 | 316.57 |
| 2024-08-11 | 180.0 | 106.47 | 115.95 | 126.9 | 147.75 | 213.00 | 247.1 | 270.05 | 286.52 |
| 2024-08-18 | 169.0 | 100.47 | 109.00 | 120.0 | 140.75 | 199.25 | 240.0 | 264.10 | 289.05 |
| 2024-08-25 | 169.0 | 106.00 | 113.00 | 122.0 | 143.00 | 200.00 | 234.1 | 252.00 | 278.10 |
| 2024-09-01 | 167.0 | 99.47 | 107.95 | 120.0 | 140.00 | 198.00 | 238.0 | 260.05 | 288.57 |
| 2024-09-08 | 180.0 | 109.00 | 115.00 | 126.9 | 149.00 | 217.00 | 255.0 | 280.00 | 298.05 |
| 2024-09-15 | 188.5 | 104.47 | 115.00 | 130.0 | 156.00 | 222.00 | 259.1 | 284.05 | 308.00 |
| 2024-09-22 | 189.0 | 110.47 | 123.95 | 137.9 | 160.00 | 231.00 | 265.1 | 290.05 | 311.05 |
| 2024-09-29 | 190.5 | 106.95 | 118.00 | 130.0 | 156.00 | 224.25 | 266.1 | 292.30 | 318.00 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
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