Prediction 1501
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 2 - MS
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 59.0 | 13.47 | 18.00 | 25.0 | 39.00 | 93.25 | 148.0 | 172.10 | 189.00 |
| 2023-10-15 | 71.0 | 21.00 | 25.00 | 30.0 | 45.00 | 108.00 | 155.1 | 190.05 | 225.53 |
| 2023-10-22 | 83.0 | 22.48 | 29.00 | 36.0 | 55.00 | 125.25 | 182.1 | 239.35 | 311.05 |
| 2023-10-29 | 119.5 | 31.00 | 37.90 | 47.0 | 80.00 | 183.25 | 269.1 | 329.00 | 382.25 |
| 2023-11-05 | 154.5 | 45.48 | 53.00 | 69.0 | 101.00 | 244.25 | 350.4 | 438.00 | 537.45 |
| 2023-11-12 | 177.5 | 52.00 | 60.90 | 73.0 | 120.75 | 279.50 | 429.6 | 585.35 | 654.00 |
| 2023-11-19 | 219.5 | 55.48 | 68.75 | 84.9 | 140.25 | 316.25 | 451.4 | 549.10 | 632.80 |
| 2023-11-26 | 217.5 | 70.47 | 83.95 | 103.9 | 149.75 | 321.50 | 486.1 | 701.10 | 827.67 |
| 2023-12-03 | 222.5 | 57.48 | 72.85 | 98.7 | 143.00 | 331.00 | 496.1 | 650.05 | 803.67 |
| 2023-12-10 | 251.0 | 66.47 | 82.00 | 102.9 | 153.00 | 383.50 | 583.1 | 735.45 | 893.52 |
| 2023-12-17 | 260.5 | 78.47 | 89.00 | 115.0 | 174.00 | 407.25 | 570.2 | 774.60 | 914.17 |
| 2023-12-24 | 363.0 | 87.00 | 110.00 | 155.7 | 235.75 | 559.75 | 797.1 | 1083.80 | 1327.15 |
| 2023-12-31 | 806.0 | 220.00 | 271.75 | 352.3 | 526.50 | 1304.25 | 2076.7 | 2596.90 | 3168.05 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1244.5 | 374.02 | 441.95 | 558.9 | 788.25 | 1865.25 | 2811.6 | 3610.90 | 4361.70 |
| 2024-01-14 | 1592.0 | 450.98 | 527.85 | 737.6 | 1055.25 | 2505.00 | 4187.3 | 6035.80 | 6667.23 |
| 2024-01-21 | 1981.0 | 588.17 | 720.90 | 924.7 | 1311.50 | 3501.75 | 5505.5 | 7097.25 | 8833.45 |
| 2024-01-28 | 2296.5 | 631.38 | 828.85 | 1008.7 | 1521.00 | 3827.25 | 6046.4 | 7588.10 | 9235.98 |
| 2024-02-04 | 2572.5 | 726.42 | 908.95 | 1133.0 | 1703.25 | 4068.50 | 6270.2 | 7911.40 | 10172.45 |
| 2024-02-11 | 2598.0 | 773.95 | 925.80 | 1191.8 | 1736.50 | 4047.25 | 6318.4 | 8038.00 | 9672.65 |
| 2024-02-18 | 2672.5 | 725.50 | 907.20 | 1168.1 | 1728.00 | 4138.75 | 6414.3 | 8470.15 | 9878.80 |
| 2024-02-25 | 2541.0 | 699.45 | 881.30 | 1044.9 | 1650.25 | 3951.25 | 6255.4 | 8035.40 | 10323.52 |
| 2024-03-03 | 2869.0 | 883.27 | 1040.75 | 1309.1 | 1951.50 | 4574.25 | 6945.7 | 9201.65 | 11439.12 |
| 2024-03-10 | 2756.0 | 765.00 | 988.80 | 1224.5 | 1860.00 | 4219.00 | 6904.0 | 8481.45 | 11677.62 |
| 2024-03-17 | 2954.5 | 916.20 | 1071.90 | 1328.5 | 1893.75 | 4576.75 | 7069.2 | 9876.90 | 11365.75 |
| 2024-03-24 | 2795.5 | 824.70 | 977.65 | 1280.5 | 1781.75 | 4339.00 | 6316.3 | 8260.80 | 10500.05 |
| 2024-03-31 | 4208.0 | 1253.08 | 1525.20 | 1856.9 | 2721.00 | 6508.50 | 10013.5 | 13557.65 | 16403.78 |
| 2024-04-07 | 3824.5 | 1015.77 | 1354.25 | 1846.3 | 2696.75 | 6272.00 | 9343.2 | 11573.80 | 13557.60 |
| 2024-04-14 | 3598.0 | 1070.22 | 1400.10 | 1664.9 | 2326.00 | 5527.75 | 7963.4 | 10387.60 | 13865.85 |
| 2024-04-21 | 3277.0 | 863.42 | 1091.25 | 1349.3 | 2072.00 | 4971.25 | 7666.4 | 9146.65 | 10728.70 |
| 2024-04-28 | 2441.0 | 721.15 | 852.85 | 1054.8 | 1653.50 | 3781.25 | 5706.8 | 7274.55 | 8873.98 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2068.5 | 618.83 | 783.50 | 1005.5 | 1409.75 | 3411.50 | 4729.8 | 5948.65 | 7898.62 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1594.5 | 453.45 | 590.60 | 761.9 | 1103.25 | 2440.75 | 3384.2 | 4474.80 | 5589.15 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1185.0 | 314.85 | 411.90 | 529.6 | 792.75 | 1851.25 | 2709.8 | 3378.70 | 4346.73 |
| 2024-05-26 | 901.5 | 277.38 | 347.75 | 400.3 | 612.75 | 1405.25 | 2098.7 | 2672.40 | 3286.62 |
| 2024-06-02 | 483.0 | 147.32 | 183.90 | 224.9 | 327.00 | 750.75 | 1169.4 | 1476.20 | 1755.22 |
| 2024-06-09 | 387.0 | 90.33 | 127.95 | 154.9 | 255.00 | 606.00 | 902.4 | 1102.10 | 1299.20 |
| 2024-06-16 | 290.5 | 80.47 | 98.90 | 122.0 | 195.00 | 412.25 | 609.4 | 801.15 | 928.35 |
| 2024-06-23 | 243.5 | 70.00 | 83.95 | 107.0 | 154.00 | 384.25 | 577.1 | 711.05 | 869.58 |
| 2024-06-30 | 108.0 | 27.95 | 37.00 | 47.0 | 75.75 | 169.25 | 248.2 | 299.00 | 366.00 |
| 2024-07-07 | 81.0 | 21.48 | 29.00 | 36.0 | 52.00 | 124.00 | 191.1 | 237.40 | 289.68 |
| 2024-07-14 | 75.5 | 17.00 | 23.00 | 32.9 | 47.00 | 113.00 | 176.2 | 247.15 | 277.00 |
| 2024-07-21 | 66.0 | 18.48 | 24.00 | 30.0 | 44.00 | 102.00 | 160.1 | 200.15 | 254.10 |
| 2024-07-28 | 65.0 | 16.00 | 20.00 | 26.0 | 41.00 | 96.25 | 143.1 | 187.20 | 232.10 |
| 2024-08-04 | 46.0 | 11.47 | 14.00 | 20.0 | 30.00 | 66.25 | 103.0 | 124.05 | 155.10 |
| 2024-08-11 | 43.5 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 18.0 | 28.00 | 70.00 | 100.1 | 127.05 | 161.20 |
| 2024-08-18 | 46.0 | 10.00 | 13.00 | 19.0 | 31.00 | 69.00 | 101.2 | 121.05 | 154.10 |
| 2024-08-25 | 46.0 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 18.0 | 28.00 | 68.00 | 95.0 | 122.10 | 147.53 |
| 2024-09-01 | 44.0 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 18.9 | 29.00 | 69.00 | 104.2 | 135.00 | 148.05 |
| 2024-09-08 | 47.5 | 10.47 | 13.95 | 20.0 | 31.00 | 72.25 | 103.0 | 141.10 | 172.25 |
| 2024-09-15 | 54.0 | 13.00 | 17.00 | 21.9 | 34.00 | 84.00 | 118.2 | 142.25 | 192.05 |
| 2024-09-22 | 55.0 | 14.00 | 16.00 | 22.0 | 34.00 | 82.00 | 110.2 | 137.00 | 182.25 |
| 2024-09-29 | 59.0 | 13.47 | 18.95 | 26.0 | 38.75 | 93.00 | 127.2 | 156.10 | 204.05 |
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