Prediction 1504
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 2 - PB
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 36.0 | 12.00 | 13.00 | 16.0 | 23.00 | 56.00 | 96.1 | 115.05 | 136.00 |
| 2023-10-15 | 38.0 | 12.00 | 14.00 | 17.0 | 24.00 | 64.00 | 104.0 | 131.10 | 159.53 |
| 2023-10-22 | 36.0 | 9.00 | 12.95 | 17.0 | 24.00 | 58.25 | 89.1 | 126.00 | 171.00 |
| 2023-10-29 | 45.0 | 13.00 | 15.95 | 19.0 | 29.00 | 84.50 | 151.1 | 200.10 | 253.15 |
| 2023-11-05 | 55.0 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 22.0 | 31.00 | 93.25 | 147.1 | 187.05 | 236.20 |
| 2023-11-12 | 59.0 | 14.47 | 18.00 | 24.9 | 37.00 | 106.25 | 173.3 | 224.60 | 270.57 |
| 2023-11-19 | 64.5 | 18.00 | 22.00 | 26.0 | 36.75 | 118.00 | 197.1 | 250.25 | 330.57 |
| 2023-11-26 | 69.0 | 18.00 | 24.00 | 28.0 | 41.00 | 133.50 | 243.2 | 335.20 | 410.52 |
| 2023-12-03 | 75.0 | 22.48 | 25.95 | 31.9 | 45.00 | 129.25 | 246.6 | 339.50 | 448.05 |
| 2023-12-10 | 81.0 | 21.48 | 27.00 | 32.9 | 46.00 | 168.25 | 285.0 | 368.20 | 436.68 |
| 2023-12-17 | 78.0 | 22.00 | 25.00 | 32.0 | 47.00 | 145.25 | 246.0 | 333.75 | 411.35 |
| 2023-12-24 | 68.0 | 21.00 | 25.00 | 30.0 | 43.00 | 137.25 | 232.1 | 306.10 | 382.88 |
| 2023-12-31 | 129.5 | 33.00 | 42.90 | 51.0 | 77.50 | 248.75 | 415.2 | 557.10 | 709.05 |
| 2024-01-07 | 166.0 | 38.48 | 50.00 | 67.0 | 98.00 | 306.25 | 528.6 | 800.50 | 967.33 |
| 2024-01-14 | 200.0 | 57.95 | 70.00 | 87.0 | 121.00 | 395.25 | 751.4 | 1054.20 | 1430.92 |
| 2024-01-21 | 256.0 | 63.00 | 76.00 | 96.9 | 141.00 | 510.00 | 892.7 | 1154.15 | 1442.88 |
| 2024-01-28 | 295.0 | 82.47 | 94.90 | 125.8 | 179.00 | 574.50 | 1016.2 | 1304.60 | 1572.20 |
| 2024-02-04 | 400.0 | 150.43 | 161.95 | 198.0 | 270.00 | 660.50 | 1162.5 | 1464.10 | 1907.92 |
| 2024-02-11 | 469.0 | 162.95 | 175.00 | 214.8 | 311.00 | 829.25 | 1394.8 | 1806.15 | 2342.35 |
| 2024-02-18 | 561.0 | 181.85 | 217.95 | 260.9 | 347.00 | 958.00 | 1495.5 | 1924.40 | 2648.82 |
| 2024-02-25 | 680.0 | 230.80 | 267.90 | 330.6 | 426.75 | 1193.50 | 1876.8 | 2310.20 | 2955.15 |
| 2024-03-03 | 802.0 | 276.85 | 309.95 | 379.9 | 536.00 | 1307.25 | 2020.1 | 2519.70 | 3355.10 |
| 2024-03-10 | 873.5 | 315.23 | 360.90 | 439.0 | 596.00 | 1388.50 | 2190.2 | 2811.65 | 3486.93 |
| 2024-03-17 | 977.0 | 368.75 | 411.85 | 482.9 | 641.00 | 1533.25 | 2476.3 | 3197.10 | 3648.47 |
| 2024-03-24 | 966.5 | 319.65 | 410.95 | 509.9 | 668.75 | 1533.50 | 2400.3 | 3247.80 | 3903.55 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1555.0 | 459.48 | 589.95 | 722.7 | 1021.00 | 2522.25 | 4071.9 | 5281.10 | 6125.48 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1529.5 | 510.80 | 594.80 | 729.7 | 1028.75 | 2476.00 | 3882.1 | 5146.65 | 5916.73 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1587.5 | 534.42 | 633.85 | 800.7 | 1081.75 | 2395.75 | 3951.1 | 4883.80 | 6644.45 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1646.0 | 546.60 | 624.85 | 797.1 | 1128.50 | 2714.50 | 4021.0 | 6020.15 | 7761.68 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1551.5 | 594.42 | 679.75 | 778.4 | 1072.75 | 2573.75 | 4043.0 | 5301.50 | 6748.65 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1679.0 | 586.48 | 675.75 | 827.0 | 1130.75 | 2477.00 | 4094.3 | 5064.95 | 6233.07 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1542.5 | 517.00 | 608.60 | 732.2 | 1007.75 | 2394.25 | 3528.0 | 4908.35 | 5997.43 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1383.5 | 494.90 | 541.95 | 652.0 | 912.50 | 2262.50 | 3464.7 | 4636.60 | 5402.40 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1134.0 | 363.00 | 477.30 | 568.7 | 781.75 | 1892.50 | 2859.0 | 3748.85 | 4699.48 |
| 2024-06-02 | 766.0 | 240.80 | 284.85 | 348.9 | 499.75 | 1180.75 | 1792.7 | 2388.60 | 2995.90 |
| 2024-06-09 | 639.5 | 222.80 | 269.80 | 322.0 | 427.50 | 979.75 | 1513.8 | 2044.00 | 2557.62 |
| 2024-06-16 | 528.0 | 205.47 | 233.00 | 269.0 | 374.00 | 826.00 | 1319.4 | 1788.55 | 2226.72 |
| 2024-06-23 | 517.5 | 175.95 | 214.00 | 250.8 | 337.50 | 790.00 | 1142.4 | 1579.50 | 1922.35 |
| 2024-06-30 | 290.5 | 96.00 | 108.95 | 131.8 | 193.75 | 427.00 | 722.9 | 891.90 | 988.05 |
| 2024-07-07 | 275.0 | 92.47 | 109.00 | 133.9 | 189.00 | 447.00 | 658.5 | 873.15 | 1052.45 |
| 2024-07-14 | 234.0 | 77.47 | 93.80 | 114.9 | 155.00 | 363.75 | 597.3 | 763.10 | 923.83 |
| 2024-07-21 | 194.5 | 68.00 | 76.00 | 95.9 | 136.00 | 302.25 | 520.2 | 756.30 | 971.38 |
| 2024-07-28 | 180.0 | 64.47 | 76.00 | 90.0 | 118.00 | 282.00 | 422.3 | 562.10 | 614.10 |
| 2024-08-04 | 127.5 | 48.00 | 54.00 | 63.0 | 89.00 | 192.00 | 306.0 | 422.70 | 497.15 |
| 2024-08-11 | 119.0 | 38.48 | 45.00 | 56.0 | 80.75 | 184.00 | 297.1 | 404.30 | 530.25 |
| 2024-08-18 | 102.0 | 33.48 | 41.95 | 49.0 | 66.75 | 163.00 | 235.0 | 290.10 | 374.15 |
| 2024-08-25 | 93.5 | 30.00 | 34.00 | 44.0 | 63.00 | 145.00 | 237.1 | 308.25 | 347.68 |
| 2024-09-01 | 79.0 | 23.48 | 29.95 | 39.0 | 54.75 | 122.25 | 192.0 | 226.10 | 273.62 |
| 2024-09-08 | 64.0 | 20.48 | 26.00 | 32.0 | 44.00 | 102.00 | 160.0 | 210.15 | 257.00 |
| 2024-09-15 | 59.0 | 18.48 | 22.00 | 28.0 | 41.00 | 83.00 | 138.3 | 169.00 | 241.00 |
| 2024-09-22 | 53.0 | 18.00 | 21.00 | 26.0 | 36.75 | 80.00 | 123.2 | 159.25 | 194.57 |
| 2024-09-29 | 44.0 | 15.00 | 19.00 | 23.0 | 30.75 | 66.00 | 104.1 | 142.05 | 163.57 |
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