Prediction 1505
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 2 - PE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 89.5 | 23.48 | 27.00 | 37.0 | 53.75 | 164.25 | 268.1 | 326.35 | 408.73 |
| 2023-10-15 | 96.0 | 24.00 | 29.95 | 37.0 | 56.00 | 169.25 | 289.0 | 381.10 | 537.05 |
| 2023-10-22 | 128.5 | 27.00 | 34.90 | 45.0 | 75.00 | 223.50 | 367.3 | 468.55 | 673.62 |
| 2023-10-29 | 227.5 | 48.48 | 56.00 | 73.9 | 124.75 | 419.00 | 715.2 | 1025.75 | 1135.58 |
| 2023-11-05 | 263.0 | 59.48 | 81.95 | 95.9 | 151.00 | 481.25 | 776.4 | 1015.95 | 1451.92 |
| 2023-11-12 | 254.0 | 56.95 | 70.95 | 93.0 | 156.00 | 498.75 | 818.8 | 1115.15 | 1387.10 |
| 2023-11-19 | 271.0 | 59.95 | 73.90 | 95.8 | 154.00 | 497.50 | 880.3 | 1130.35 | 1485.83 |
| 2023-11-26 | 244.5 | 64.47 | 77.85 | 98.0 | 153.00 | 447.25 | 743.1 | 1090.10 | 1384.25 |
| 2023-12-03 | 269.0 | 50.95 | 73.95 | 89.9 | 153.50 | 504.00 | 822.3 | 1123.05 | 1363.88 |
| 2023-12-10 | 220.5 | 52.95 | 68.90 | 82.9 | 128.50 | 458.25 | 829.4 | 1141.70 | 1438.40 |
| 2023-12-17 | 224.0 | 50.48 | 60.95 | 72.9 | 125.00 | 417.00 | 737.8 | 1074.10 | 1345.65 |
| 2023-12-24 | 208.5 | 43.48 | 51.00 | 70.9 | 116.00 | 404.75 | 712.8 | 1042.65 | 1313.25 |
| 2023-12-31 | 368.5 | 75.00 | 91.90 | 126.9 | 208.00 | 779.00 | 1375.1 | 1895.95 | 2469.93 |
| 2024-01-07 | 431.0 | 82.33 | 104.00 | 138.0 | 234.00 | 861.75 | 1495.6 | 1818.45 | 2291.45 |
| 2024-01-14 | 509.0 | 100.38 | 128.95 | 173.0 | 288.75 | 1040.25 | 1812.5 | 2526.85 | 3076.22 |
| 2024-01-21 | 659.0 | 132.70 | 164.95 | 200.8 | 329.50 | 1173.25 | 1947.0 | 2575.85 | 3075.62 |
| 2024-01-28 | 720.0 | 145.47 | 165.95 | 224.9 | 386.25 | 1426.25 | 2382.6 | 3267.55 | 4338.20 |
| 2024-02-04 | 780.0 | 185.43 | 230.65 | 309.7 | 461.75 | 1445.25 | 2565.1 | 3055.80 | 3959.32 |
| 2024-02-11 | 846.0 | 225.18 | 279.95 | 344.9 | 494.75 | 1532.00 | 2511.8 | 3553.45 | 5090.18 |
| 2024-02-18 | 969.5 | 212.47 | 295.95 | 393.1 | 556.50 | 1586.25 | 2742.5 | 3796.70 | 4734.25 |
| 2024-02-25 | 1081.5 | 232.70 | 316.00 | 440.5 | 663.75 | 2082.75 | 3367.6 | 5083.90 | 5997.82 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1198.0 | 321.80 | 386.80 | 475.9 | 712.00 | 2341.25 | 3715.7 | 5164.05 | 6249.98 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1172.5 | 368.90 | 404.60 | 515.3 | 712.25 | 2353.25 | 3618.4 | 4541.10 | 5803.50 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1338.0 | 318.38 | 407.75 | 532.9 | 829.50 | 2356.00 | 3934.9 | 5137.95 | 6372.70 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1414.0 | 381.07 | 454.85 | 546.0 | 811.50 | 2500.25 | 4137.2 | 5989.75 | 7559.35 |
| 2024-03-31 | 2186.0 | 527.48 | 641.50 | 766.9 | 1291.25 | 4049.75 | 6143.4 | 8178.60 | 10065.00 |
| 2024-04-07 | 2259.0 | 658.00 | 746.45 | 875.4 | 1359.00 | 3765.75 | 5895.0 | 8329.60 | 10140.15 |
| 2024-04-14 | 2305.5 | 687.85 | 794.15 | 983.4 | 1427.75 | 4255.00 | 6813.6 | 8328.45 | 10011.05 |
| 2024-04-21 | 2284.5 | 629.38 | 769.70 | 1032.9 | 1459.25 | 3999.00 | 6708.2 | 9015.15 | 10976.58 |
| 2024-04-28 | 2412.5 | 646.95 | 810.65 | 1006.6 | 1526.75 | 4120.25 | 6308.5 | 8109.40 | 9808.95 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2153.5 | 563.48 | 674.80 | 904.2 | 1350.50 | 3868.00 | 6560.5 | 8793.55 | 10696.38 |
| 2024-05-12 | 2026.0 | 548.92 | 732.00 | 885.7 | 1241.00 | 3484.25 | 6114.6 | 8296.75 | 10149.77 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1976.0 | 613.38 | 681.85 | 819.5 | 1188.50 | 3476.25 | 5507.9 | 7106.60 | 9116.25 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1620.0 | 460.48 | 556.10 | 640.8 | 960.00 | 2972.00 | 4646.7 | 6294.00 | 7623.12 |
| 2024-06-02 | 989.5 | 290.95 | 350.00 | 424.9 | 611.50 | 1700.75 | 2778.1 | 3889.00 | 4837.98 |
| 2024-06-09 | 840.0 | 225.47 | 261.95 | 355.0 | 506.50 | 1461.25 | 2475.7 | 3049.50 | 3844.65 |
| 2024-06-16 | 712.5 | 196.70 | 235.95 | 301.8 | 447.75 | 1213.25 | 1799.9 | 2408.20 | 3023.18 |
| 2024-06-23 | 588.5 | 144.47 | 168.95 | 240.7 | 376.00 | 985.25 | 1698.6 | 2204.00 | 2762.10 |
| 2024-06-30 | 310.5 | 83.95 | 108.95 | 133.9 | 194.75 | 541.50 | 968.6 | 1336.50 | 1538.58 |
| 2024-07-07 | 282.5 | 76.47 | 94.95 | 120.9 | 176.00 | 500.75 | 849.7 | 1073.30 | 1438.97 |
| 2024-07-14 | 241.5 | 63.95 | 77.00 | 101.0 | 147.00 | 385.00 | 741.0 | 955.35 | 1235.05 |
| 2024-07-21 | 215.5 | 51.00 | 67.00 | 89.0 | 130.75 | 345.50 | 545.7 | 812.10 | 1045.25 |
| 2024-07-28 | 191.5 | 54.48 | 63.95 | 80.0 | 115.00 | 334.50 | 529.6 | 673.40 | 805.98 |
| 2024-08-04 | 145.0 | 41.48 | 49.95 | 62.8 | 95.75 | 233.50 | 385.0 | 479.10 | 619.50 |
| 2024-08-11 | 137.0 | 42.00 | 47.00 | 60.0 | 87.00 | 234.25 | 375.4 | 487.30 | 616.52 |
| 2024-08-18 | 141.0 | 39.00 | 42.00 | 50.0 | 80.00 | 240.25 | 401.0 | 514.30 | 650.62 |
| 2024-08-25 | 129.5 | 35.00 | 41.95 | 50.9 | 76.00 | 207.50 | 344.0 | 460.55 | 587.62 |
| 2024-09-01 | 114.0 | 32.48 | 38.00 | 48.9 | 70.00 | 193.00 | 299.1 | 428.00 | 549.83 |
| 2024-09-08 | 110.0 | 34.48 | 42.00 | 51.0 | 71.00 | 184.25 | 293.0 | 395.00 | 481.88 |
| 2024-09-15 | 117.0 | 32.00 | 38.00 | 50.0 | 76.00 | 180.50 | 302.1 | 401.20 | 479.52 |
| 2024-09-22 | 105.5 | 29.00 | 38.00 | 44.0 | 67.00 | 169.25 | 272.3 | 355.70 | 454.57 |
| 2024-09-29 | 95.0 | 29.48 | 35.95 | 45.0 | 61.00 | 166.00 | 303.3 | 395.25 | 459.68 |
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