Prediction 1506
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 2 - PI
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 7.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 14.00 | 20.1 | 29.05 | 36.00 |
| 2023-10-15 | 7.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 12.00 | 22.0 | 28.00 | 32.58 |
| 2023-10-22 | 8.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 13.00 | 23.0 | 28.00 | 38.52 |
| 2023-10-29 | 9.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 5.00 | 17.00 | 27.0 | 37.10 | 47.00 |
| 2023-11-05 | 11.0 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 20.00 | 37.1 | 49.00 | 64.05 |
| 2023-11-12 | 12.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 7.00 | 22.00 | 42.0 | 51.00 | 62.52 |
| 2023-11-19 | 13.0 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 7.00 | 22.00 | 39.1 | 48.05 | 61.52 |
| 2023-11-26 | 15.0 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 8.00 | 26.00 | 46.1 | 59.05 | 78.10 |
| 2023-12-03 | 13.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 7.00 | 26.00 | 40.1 | 54.05 | 68.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | 12.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 7.00 | 24.25 | 44.1 | 62.00 | 75.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | 13.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 7.00 | 26.00 | 40.0 | 53.00 | 65.00 |
| 2023-12-24 | 16.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 5.0 | 9.00 | 31.00 | 53.0 | 67.05 | 77.00 |
| 2023-12-31 | 35.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 14.0 | 21.00 | 70.00 | 119.1 | 164.05 | 251.10 |
| 2024-01-07 | 52.5 | 11.47 | 15.00 | 19.0 | 31.00 | 97.00 | 172.2 | 252.05 | 310.65 |
| 2024-01-14 | 70.0 | 15.00 | 18.95 | 26.0 | 41.00 | 131.00 | 232.1 | 289.10 | 387.93 |
| 2024-01-21 | 89.0 | 17.48 | 22.00 | 29.9 | 45.00 | 167.75 | 304.1 | 374.05 | 449.52 |
| 2024-01-28 | 100.0 | 20.48 | 24.00 | 35.0 | 53.75 | 192.50 | 357.0 | 426.20 | 502.00 |
| 2024-02-04 | 160.5 | 39.48 | 47.00 | 56.0 | 93.00 | 299.25 | 504.4 | 666.45 | 766.20 |
| 2024-02-11 | 175.5 | 44.95 | 52.95 | 66.9 | 103.00 | 314.75 | 485.7 | 714.75 | 865.35 |
| 2024-02-18 | 201.0 | 46.00 | 59.95 | 72.9 | 113.00 | 347.00 | 658.3 | 894.15 | 1248.85 |
| 2024-02-25 | 260.0 | 60.48 | 72.00 | 101.6 | 151.75 | 460.25 | 831.4 | 1127.15 | 1457.90 |
| 2024-03-03 | 348.0 | 108.38 | 121.00 | 142.9 | 223.75 | 643.25 | 1115.3 | 1511.60 | 1841.88 |
| 2024-03-10 | 465.0 | 108.47 | 141.90 | 185.9 | 284.50 | 815.50 | 1391.4 | 1834.15 | 2381.68 |
| 2024-03-17 | 533.0 | 150.47 | 183.95 | 222.0 | 317.75 | 992.25 | 1633.2 | 2080.35 | 2406.60 |
| 2024-03-24 | 638.5 | 160.95 | 199.80 | 274.6 | 380.00 | 1159.75 | 2030.6 | 2834.05 | 3322.05 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1225.0 | 344.32 | 415.70 | 519.8 | 707.25 | 2092.50 | 3452.2 | 4501.50 | 6288.93 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1276.5 | 353.43 | 405.80 | 546.6 | 831.75 | 2476.00 | 4654.3 | 6040.65 | 6981.32 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1333.0 | 340.45 | 403.60 | 540.9 | 791.75 | 2454.00 | 3835.1 | 5013.45 | 6823.35 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1319.0 | 370.48 | 424.95 | 533.7 | 767.75 | 2254.00 | 3953.1 | 5684.30 | 6845.65 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1221.5 | 294.95 | 353.80 | 485.9 | 716.00 | 2141.75 | 3392.4 | 4546.85 | 5749.65 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1007.5 | 280.27 | 333.70 | 424.5 | 656.50 | 2010.75 | 3383.2 | 4221.00 | 5232.75 |
| 2024-05-12 | 946.5 | 279.43 | 327.65 | 415.8 | 624.25 | 1641.25 | 2809.7 | 4123.25 | 5100.50 |
| 2024-05-19 | 850.0 | 245.00 | 311.95 | 365.4 | 510.75 | 1468.50 | 2503.8 | 3616.85 | 4099.15 |
| 2024-05-26 | 748.0 | 218.00 | 253.80 | 312.8 | 465.75 | 1281.00 | 2093.2 | 2606.75 | 3294.65 |
| 2024-06-02 | 513.0 | 140.38 | 169.95 | 207.0 | 323.25 | 869.25 | 1469.3 | 1890.00 | 2252.10 |
| 2024-06-09 | 421.0 | 103.38 | 128.95 | 162.8 | 247.75 | 774.50 | 1333.1 | 1597.30 | 1933.92 |
| 2024-06-16 | 359.5 | 97.47 | 114.95 | 149.9 | 214.75 | 659.50 | 1240.0 | 1571.50 | 2062.68 |
| 2024-06-23 | 268.5 | 77.00 | 83.95 | 106.9 | 167.75 | 534.00 | 929.2 | 1307.70 | 1769.12 |
| 2024-06-30 | 150.0 | 45.42 | 53.00 | 65.0 | 90.75 | 253.50 | 393.1 | 500.25 | 631.25 |
| 2024-07-07 | 137.0 | 27.48 | 38.90 | 52.9 | 82.00 | 223.25 | 352.5 | 523.15 | 619.25 |
| 2024-07-14 | 99.0 | 25.00 | 31.95 | 42.9 | 65.00 | 188.00 | 337.0 | 483.45 | 598.73 |
| 2024-07-21 | 85.0 | 21.48 | 28.00 | 34.0 | 54.00 | 159.00 | 286.1 | 364.15 | 469.20 |
| 2024-07-28 | 78.0 | 20.00 | 24.95 | 32.0 | 47.00 | 140.50 | 235.2 | 299.35 | 380.55 |
| 2024-08-04 | 55.5 | 13.00 | 17.00 | 22.0 | 33.00 | 93.25 | 150.1 | 204.25 | 247.15 |
| 2024-08-11 | 43.0 | 10.47 | 13.00 | 18.9 | 25.00 | 76.00 | 119.2 | 167.10 | 218.00 |
| 2024-08-18 | 42.0 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 15.9 | 25.00 | 71.00 | 119.0 | 151.15 | 189.57 |
| 2024-08-25 | 30.0 | 7.47 | 8.95 | 12.0 | 18.00 | 50.25 | 96.1 | 137.05 | 165.00 |
| 2024-09-01 | 25.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 11.0 | 17.00 | 43.25 | 72.1 | 98.10 | 119.53 |
| 2024-09-08 | 20.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 7.0 | 12.00 | 36.25 | 59.0 | 74.10 | 96.00 |
| 2024-09-15 | 17.5 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 10.00 | 28.25 | 50.0 | 74.05 | 92.53 |
| 2024-09-22 | 14.0 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 24.25 | 43.0 | 56.00 | 79.00 |
| 2024-09-29 | 11.0 | 2.00 | 2.95 | 4.0 | 6.00 | 19.00 | 34.0 | 47.00 | 58.52 |
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