Prediction 1509
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 2 - RN
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 47.0 | 8.00 | 11.95 | 15.0 | 26.00 | 86.00 | 141.0 | 187.05 | 218.62 |
| 2023-10-15 | 46.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 18.0 | 27.00 | 80.25 | 162.1 | 217.10 | 274.68 |
| 2023-10-22 | 52.0 | 7.47 | 11.00 | 16.0 | 30.00 | 92.00 | 157.1 | 195.35 | 282.98 |
| 2023-10-29 | 68.5 | 10.47 | 15.00 | 21.0 | 37.00 | 122.00 | 216.9 | 271.50 | 354.25 |
| 2023-11-05 | 68.0 | 13.47 | 17.95 | 23.0 | 40.00 | 128.25 | 235.2 | 345.25 | 430.20 |
| 2023-11-12 | 72.0 | 12.47 | 18.00 | 24.0 | 40.00 | 143.00 | 236.1 | 338.30 | 466.05 |
| 2023-11-19 | 76.0 | 14.47 | 20.00 | 26.0 | 41.75 | 162.25 | 268.1 | 362.20 | 451.52 |
| 2023-11-26 | 80.5 | 16.48 | 20.95 | 26.9 | 47.00 | 150.00 | 263.6 | 392.60 | 465.20 |
| 2023-12-03 | 75.5 | 13.00 | 17.00 | 22.0 | 37.00 | 133.50 | 275.2 | 369.20 | 443.52 |
| 2023-12-10 | 73.0 | 8.95 | 13.00 | 19.0 | 40.00 | 153.50 | 269.0 | 356.25 | 452.10 |
| 2023-12-17 | 74.0 | 10.47 | 15.00 | 22.0 | 38.00 | 148.50 | 254.1 | 324.10 | 406.00 |
| 2023-12-24 | 76.0 | 14.47 | 19.00 | 24.9 | 45.75 | 148.00 | 297.1 | 413.15 | 550.77 |
| 2023-12-31 | 128.5 | 23.00 | 27.00 | 37.0 | 66.75 | 256.75 | 484.3 | 644.15 | 742.05 |
| 2024-01-07 | 147.5 | 28.00 | 34.00 | 51.9 | 76.75 | 306.25 | 533.6 | 701.00 | 1015.08 |
| 2024-01-14 | 197.0 | 29.48 | 40.00 | 53.9 | 100.00 | 366.25 | 632.7 | 873.55 | 1182.17 |
| 2024-01-21 | 208.0 | 33.95 | 42.00 | 61.9 | 105.00 | 398.00 | 715.2 | 971.45 | 1440.53 |
| 2024-01-28 | 330.5 | 42.00 | 60.95 | 76.9 | 152.75 | 673.00 | 1106.3 | 1511.05 | 1847.70 |
| 2024-02-04 | 448.5 | 109.47 | 137.00 | 175.9 | 275.75 | 763.25 | 1332.6 | 1888.85 | 2175.57 |
| 2024-02-11 | 511.0 | 135.47 | 164.90 | 198.0 | 307.75 | 922.25 | 1474.1 | 1872.30 | 2621.97 |
| 2024-02-18 | 678.5 | 161.00 | 182.00 | 239.9 | 398.75 | 1150.75 | 1960.7 | 2641.05 | 3102.72 |
| 2024-02-25 | 781.0 | 138.47 | 208.45 | 286.8 | 469.50 | 1340.75 | 2261.7 | 2997.55 | 3454.32 |
| 2024-03-03 | 914.5 | 212.85 | 290.60 | 374.8 | 626.25 | 1527.00 | 2345.4 | 2902.55 | 3652.10 |
| 2024-03-10 | 912.0 | 209.85 | 277.30 | 390.0 | 564.25 | 1472.00 | 2214.1 | 2757.70 | 3358.38 |
| 2024-03-17 | 895.0 | 238.90 | 325.85 | 407.8 | 568.00 | 1482.25 | 2338.2 | 3213.30 | 3869.10 |
| 2024-03-24 | 969.0 | 232.18 | 305.70 | 422.0 | 609.25 | 1534.25 | 2370.8 | 3090.25 | 4071.55 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1351.0 | 374.95 | 476.90 | 594.7 | 849.50 | 2175.75 | 3387.5 | 4348.50 | 5729.27 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1423.5 | 369.95 | 448.90 | 559.0 | 881.50 | 2186.25 | 3225.7 | 4553.05 | 5425.57 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1473.0 | 441.27 | 536.35 | 646.8 | 969.25 | 2285.00 | 3211.2 | 3940.75 | 4746.55 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1430.5 | 398.32 | 459.65 | 601.0 | 914.75 | 2419.00 | 3288.8 | 4310.90 | 5669.50 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1425.5 | 373.90 | 462.80 | 592.7 | 916.75 | 2239.75 | 3245.9 | 4192.90 | 5092.00 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1472.0 | 371.95 | 456.95 | 604.8 | 899.25 | 2252.50 | 3192.3 | 4164.45 | 5113.65 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1381.0 | 376.18 | 456.60 | 561.0 | 866.25 | 2100.00 | 3153.9 | 3823.45 | 4653.12 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1364.0 | 326.38 | 420.75 | 562.3 | 847.00 | 2068.00 | 2985.7 | 4355.70 | 5237.43 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1198.5 | 357.43 | 429.70 | 531.5 | 789.50 | 1904.50 | 2713.2 | 3360.85 | 4383.80 |
| 2024-06-02 | 793.5 | 209.90 | 275.75 | 337.7 | 500.50 | 1297.25 | 2012.2 | 2526.70 | 3033.20 |
| 2024-06-09 | 705.0 | 179.47 | 222.90 | 276.0 | 453.25 | 1058.25 | 1548.7 | 2054.40 | 2485.78 |
| 2024-06-16 | 613.5 | 159.32 | 201.00 | 270.6 | 397.50 | 1019.25 | 1500.3 | 2025.05 | 2451.10 |
| 2024-06-23 | 568.0 | 133.03 | 163.75 | 211.8 | 361.00 | 862.50 | 1398.1 | 1892.00 | 2407.62 |
| 2024-06-30 | 355.0 | 102.47 | 121.95 | 166.5 | 229.75 | 572.50 | 874.2 | 1160.10 | 1365.72 |
| 2024-07-07 | 308.0 | 95.47 | 112.00 | 138.0 | 198.50 | 526.25 | 811.5 | 1112.20 | 1252.12 |
| 2024-07-14 | 286.5 | 77.42 | 99.00 | 129.0 | 200.75 | 489.75 | 734.4 | 936.30 | 1174.25 |
| 2024-07-21 | 293.5 | 75.47 | 101.95 | 126.8 | 191.00 | 455.50 | 741.1 | 933.05 | 1061.58 |
| 2024-07-28 | 241.5 | 63.48 | 82.90 | 109.0 | 157.00 | 368.00 | 551.1 | 672.70 | 868.50 |
| 2024-08-04 | 192.0 | 53.90 | 66.00 | 80.0 | 122.75 | 289.00 | 430.6 | 518.65 | 620.58 |
| 2024-08-11 | 159.0 | 46.00 | 53.95 | 67.0 | 99.75 | 274.25 | 378.2 | 523.25 | 604.77 |
| 2024-08-18 | 140.0 | 30.48 | 40.95 | 52.9 | 84.00 | 226.00 | 343.2 | 427.05 | 532.98 |
| 2024-08-25 | 108.0 | 31.48 | 39.00 | 51.0 | 72.00 | 163.25 | 280.2 | 345.10 | 451.70 |
| 2024-09-01 | 101.0 | 25.95 | 34.00 | 42.0 | 64.75 | 160.25 | 240.1 | 304.15 | 390.20 |
| 2024-09-08 | 88.5 | 22.00 | 27.95 | 37.0 | 57.00 | 142.25 | 203.0 | 249.70 | 322.68 |
| 2024-09-15 | 69.0 | 17.00 | 22.00 | 29.0 | 43.75 | 119.00 | 183.2 | 228.10 | 316.00 |
| 2024-09-22 | 68.0 | 19.00 | 23.00 | 30.0 | 44.00 | 111.25 | 156.0 | 205.10 | 261.25 |
| 2024-09-29 | 58.0 | 16.48 | 22.00 | 27.0 | 40.00 | 97.00 | 129.1 | 185.05 | 215.53 |
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