Prediction 1513
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 2 - SC
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 16.0 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 9.00 | 24.00 | 36.1 | 46.00 | 53.52 |
| 2023-10-15 | 18.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 11.00 | 29.00 | 41.0 | 48.00 | 52.00 |
| 2023-10-22 | 18.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 29.00 | 44.0 | 52.00 | 65.05 |
| 2023-10-29 | 22.0 | 5.47 | 7.00 | 9.0 | 14.00 | 34.00 | 47.0 | 55.05 | 63.52 |
| 2023-11-05 | 23.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 10.0 | 15.75 | 36.00 | 54.2 | 68.00 | 77.00 |
| 2023-11-12 | 29.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 12.0 | 18.00 | 44.00 | 62.0 | 78.05 | 94.00 |
| 2023-11-19 | 33.0 | 9.00 | 10.95 | 13.9 | 21.00 | 51.00 | 71.0 | 82.15 | 97.53 |
| 2023-11-26 | 37.5 | 9.00 | 10.00 | 14.9 | 23.00 | 57.00 | 83.0 | 100.00 | 119.53 |
| 2023-12-03 | 39.0 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 16.0 | 26.00 | 59.00 | 90.0 | 115.10 | 132.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | 44.0 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 18.0 | 27.00 | 64.25 | 89.0 | 112.05 | 142.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | 50.0 | 14.00 | 16.95 | 23.0 | 34.00 | 75.00 | 105.1 | 129.05 | 151.53 |
| 2023-12-24 | 59.0 | 15.47 | 18.00 | 23.9 | 38.00 | 89.25 | 121.1 | 146.15 | 161.10 |
| 2023-12-31 | 137.5 | 34.48 | 42.95 | 59.0 | 94.00 | 193.00 | 286.1 | 335.15 | 387.00 |
| 2024-01-07 | 154.5 | 42.00 | 50.00 | 63.9 | 98.75 | 222.25 | 325.7 | 428.05 | 526.00 |
| 2024-01-14 | 184.5 | 50.00 | 62.00 | 76.9 | 116.00 | 270.50 | 385.4 | 487.20 | 580.52 |
| 2024-01-21 | 192.5 | 50.48 | 60.85 | 79.0 | 129.00 | 306.25 | 471.3 | 563.10 | 625.05 |
| 2024-01-28 | 230.0 | 62.48 | 73.00 | 96.9 | 146.75 | 340.25 | 504.2 | 613.25 | 703.00 |
| 2024-02-04 | 460.5 | 110.85 | 137.95 | 189.0 | 300.50 | 683.25 | 937.1 | 1133.80 | 1286.35 |
| 2024-02-11 | 528.0 | 143.80 | 187.90 | 241.0 | 346.50 | 797.50 | 1078.6 | 1369.45 | 1639.53 |
| 2024-02-18 | 642.5 | 168.47 | 204.90 | 283.9 | 420.00 | 963.50 | 1364.7 | 1568.10 | 1794.75 |
| 2024-02-25 | 777.0 | 200.95 | 261.90 | 345.5 | 504.00 | 1199.00 | 1536.3 | 1887.70 | 2216.00 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1431.0 | 304.90 | 386.85 | 575.0 | 909.25 | 2193.25 | 3029.0 | 3424.60 | 3939.20 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1628.5 | 467.95 | 583.45 | 727.8 | 1054.00 | 2447.00 | 3473.2 | 4192.40 | 5092.88 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1716.5 | 470.65 | 569.90 | 754.7 | 1102.25 | 2662.75 | 4013.5 | 4945.45 | 6361.07 |
| 2024-03-24 | 2166.5 | 572.00 | 675.80 | 877.9 | 1402.25 | 3279.50 | 4488.6 | 5383.40 | 6181.40 |
| 2024-03-31 | 4745.5 | 991.75 | 1392.00 | 1932.4 | 3038.50 | 6823.00 | 9489.2 | 11946.50 | 14726.20 |
| 2024-04-07 | 4286.5 | 1217.00 | 1450.05 | 1785.8 | 2866.50 | 6477.00 | 8975.5 | 11808.05 | 13058.20 |
| 2024-04-14 | 4485.0 | 1083.62 | 1381.75 | 1815.1 | 2821.75 | 6747.50 | 9502.9 | 11780.50 | 14103.02 |
| 2024-04-21 | 3801.0 | 1174.17 | 1413.50 | 1644.3 | 2433.50 | 5433.00 | 7990.1 | 9277.20 | 10835.02 |
| 2024-04-28 | 3384.5 | 936.95 | 1091.95 | 1411.8 | 2116.75 | 4941.50 | 7334.9 | 8753.75 | 9836.30 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2982.0 | 747.65 | 915.35 | 1195.5 | 1752.25 | 4418.50 | 5989.3 | 7357.70 | 7995.62 |
| 2024-05-12 | 2163.0 | 492.90 | 715.50 | 904.0 | 1329.50 | 3462.50 | 5182.9 | 6106.05 | 7329.95 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1715.5 | 440.50 | 589.25 | 767.8 | 1117.25 | 2574.75 | 3376.3 | 4056.85 | 4916.12 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1301.5 | 362.32 | 430.00 | 534.9 | 867.50 | 2050.75 | 3026.8 | 3824.15 | 4648.98 |
| 2024-06-02 | 659.5 | 152.75 | 198.95 | 251.0 | 408.75 | 1006.00 | 1317.6 | 1591.85 | 1879.88 |
| 2024-06-09 | 415.5 | 118.38 | 145.95 | 168.9 | 259.75 | 693.25 | 928.4 | 1089.00 | 1372.50 |
| 2024-06-16 | 321.0 | 81.42 | 104.65 | 131.0 | 206.00 | 471.75 | 697.1 | 855.25 | 991.10 |
| 2024-06-23 | 195.5 | 48.42 | 61.00 | 84.0 | 130.75 | 303.00 | 447.1 | 553.00 | 598.62 |
| 2024-06-30 | 60.5 | 12.00 | 17.90 | 25.0 | 38.00 | 91.00 | 130.1 | 156.00 | 178.53 |
| 2024-07-07 | 46.0 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 17.0 | 30.00 | 73.00 | 96.1 | 127.00 | 149.00 |
| 2024-07-14 | 39.0 | 11.47 | 14.00 | 17.0 | 25.00 | 56.00 | 84.0 | 104.05 | 126.53 |
| 2024-07-21 | 33.5 | 8.00 | 10.00 | 13.0 | 20.00 | 52.00 | 72.1 | 85.00 | 97.53 |
| 2024-07-28 | 31.0 | 7.00 | 8.00 | 12.9 | 20.00 | 46.00 | 64.0 | 77.00 | 86.53 |
| 2024-08-04 | 16.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 9.00 | 26.00 | 37.0 | 47.00 | 56.00 |
| 2024-08-11 | 15.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 5.9 | 9.00 | 25.00 | 35.0 | 42.00 | 49.00 |
| 2024-08-18 | 17.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 9.00 | 25.00 | 38.0 | 46.00 | 53.52 |
| 2024-08-25 | 16.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 24.00 | 35.0 | 44.00 | 51.52 |
| 2024-09-01 | 12.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 20.00 | 27.2 | 33.05 | 39.00 |
| 2024-09-08 | 13.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 21.00 | 29.1 | 36.00 | 41.00 |
| 2024-09-15 | 16.0 | 2.48 | 4.00 | 5.0 | 9.00 | 24.00 | 36.0 | 42.05 | 47.05 |
| 2024-09-22 | 16.5 | 3.00 | 3.95 | 5.0 | 9.00 | 27.00 | 37.0 | 43.00 | 52.52 |
| 2024-09-29 | 13.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 8.00 | 21.00 | 29.0 | 36.00 | 42.00 |
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