Prediction 1515

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model GHR Model 2025
Author Chloe Fletcher
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 2 - SP


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 299.0 171.95 189.00 203.0 245.00 349.00 419.4 450.05 506.52
2023-10-15 317.0 180.43 192.95 212.9 263.75 379.00 444.1 499.10 531.62
2023-10-22 338.5 198.38 220.00 238.9 284.00 407.25 509.0 562.05 620.73
2023-10-29 382.5 218.43 244.00 263.0 318.75 467.25 557.3 629.45 694.52
2023-11-05 418.0 234.90 259.95 293.9 352.00 503.00 620.4 678.10 742.60
2023-11-12 483.0 291.48 316.95 342.0 399.50 594.25 714.2 807.10 869.20
2023-11-19 560.0 322.43 352.85 387.0 459.50 669.25 815.1 904.00 983.83
2023-11-26 626.0 378.18 406.95 446.9 527.00 740.00 901.1 985.15 1100.15
2023-12-03 617.0 348.75 384.65 422.9 515.75 731.25 839.9 930.15 1056.03
2023-12-10 686.0 401.48 444.75 487.7 568.00 838.25 990.0 1072.50 1157.35
2023-12-17 733.5 444.95 482.85 522.6 612.75 883.25 1043.1 1138.05 1233.58
2023-12-24 919.5 575.00 609.65 663.9 778.75 1111.75 1332.0 1434.15 1557.58
2023-12-31 1967.0 1149.25 1247.00 1387.3 1628.25 2368.50 2774.2 3177.20 3605.78
2024-01-07 2897.0 1688.83 1819.80 2008.6 2382.00 3513.00 4241.1 4655.25 5130.90
2024-01-14 4063.5 2349.93 2555.15 2815.8 3338.25 4898.00 6056.7 6788.70 7379.77
2024-01-21 5020.0 2994.12 3204.80 3536.7 4224.75 6134.50 7593.5 8671.75 9132.52
2024-01-28 5655.5 3417.47 3570.70 3980.7 4701.75 6839.50 8328.5 9325.35 10199.85
2024-02-04 8756.0 5323.43 5600.65 6284.6 7280.75 10401.25 12126.1 13384.95 13834.33
2024-02-11 9633.0 6166.52 6597.80 7070.4 8275.00 11764.25 13900.6 15608.40 17419.25
2024-02-18 11260.0 6783.15 7187.45 8114.0 9413.00 13285.25 15375.8 16920.25 19081.40
2024-02-25 12805.0 7497.40 8135.25 8993.4 10742.00 15558.25 18550.2 20056.45 22255.03
2024-03-03 24420.5 15449.90 16704.40 17920.5 20635.75 29419.00 34131.3 37157.50 41187.82
2024-03-10 26351.5 17040.60 17899.70 19318.8 22140.50 32054.50 38337.7 41778.05 44162.40
2024-03-17 29497.5 17685.95 19274.00 20876.5 24514.75 35148.25 41729.6 44611.05 47601.53
2024-03-24 29629.5 18989.28 21008.40 22400.7 25775.25 35752.50 42257.5 48076.55 53552.35
2024-03-31 58438.5 35358.85 38495.55 42838.2 48671.75 70881.00 86117.6 95931.70 102232.20
2024-04-07 58495.0 35793.12 40958.90 43611.7 50211.75 69582.50 81794.2 91441.15 101340.95
2024-04-14 58445.0 34560.10 38263.65 41496.4 47539.50 68395.25 81611.8 92185.85 96695.68
2024-04-21 55937.0 33956.05 36755.75 40091.4 46752.25 65708.50 77772.5 88861.50 93226.90
2024-04-28 42493.5 25282.25 27765.85 30260.3 35113.00 50921.00 60705.4 67750.25 73079.02
2024-05-05 32332.5 20514.78 22029.45 23621.8 27420.50 38565.50 45297.8 49242.35 53454.50
2024-05-12 24360.5 15081.80 15954.80 17238.0 20157.25 29023.25 33564.5 36288.95 40843.60
2024-05-19 17238.5 10463.90 11192.55 12378.2 14163.50 20725.50 24266.5 26311.70 28360.62
2024-05-26 12212.0 7580.12 8153.45 8766.8 10129.25 14966.50 17465.3 19907.85 21694.58
2024-06-02 5176.0 2961.90 3260.60 3654.5 4243.75 6151.75 7137.9 7803.85 8687.65
2024-06-09 3898.5 2238.80 2347.65 2812.5 3282.00 4629.50 5416.0 5965.05 6268.52
2024-06-16 2891.0 1719.42 1884.85 2073.9 2456.75 3452.25 4115.9 4723.40 5331.40
2024-06-23 2130.5 1325.95 1416.55 1539.9 1747.00 2604.75 3046.2 3381.40 3688.20
2024-06-30 858.0 531.90 570.00 615.9 728.00 1049.50 1239.3 1366.10 1475.00
2024-07-07 707.5 414.90 463.80 510.9 590.75 845.50 1021.1 1152.05 1214.97
2024-07-14 584.0 351.95 380.90 416.8 500.75 702.00 809.1 914.55 1009.60
2024-07-21 508.5 307.90 323.85 368.7 428.00 589.25 718.0 797.10 883.88
2024-07-28 470.5 283.00 313.95 336.8 388.75 562.00 658.0 737.50 818.52
2024-08-04 304.0 184.00 192.95 206.8 248.75 372.00 425.0 460.10 525.83
2024-08-11 274.5 158.47 171.90 188.9 224.75 324.00 375.1 420.10 448.52
2024-08-18 250.0 145.95 154.90 174.0 211.00 299.00 359.0 395.10 441.52
2024-08-25 252.0 139.43 157.85 173.7 210.75 294.00 347.0 383.15 416.00
2024-09-01 239.0 139.95 154.85 167.0 197.00 287.00 340.0 367.05 387.57
2024-09-08 259.5 149.95 161.95 176.9 212.00 318.25 380.0 418.05 461.52
2024-09-15 272.5 154.47 175.00 191.0 229.00 329.25 393.3 442.00 473.52
2024-09-22 269.0 158.47 168.00 185.0 223.75 322.25 374.1 427.05 471.68
2024-09-29 267.5 151.00 159.00 176.0 221.75 329.00 386.3 435.00 479.68
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