Prediction 1516
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 2 - TO
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 32.0 | 7.00 | 8.95 | 12.0 | 19.00 | 51.00 | 76.0 | 96.10 | 124.00 |
| 2023-10-15 | 38.0 | 7.00 | 9.95 | 14.0 | 23.00 | 59.00 | 108.1 | 135.05 | 155.10 |
| 2023-10-22 | 47.0 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 19.9 | 30.75 | 78.00 | 118.1 | 148.25 | 191.35 |
| 2023-10-29 | 61.5 | 16.00 | 20.00 | 26.0 | 39.00 | 98.25 | 156.0 | 208.15 | 241.05 |
| 2023-11-05 | 81.0 | 18.00 | 23.00 | 32.9 | 53.00 | 141.25 | 216.1 | 281.10 | 360.57 |
| 2023-11-12 | 110.0 | 29.48 | 36.00 | 45.0 | 70.00 | 176.25 | 263.0 | 329.15 | 383.75 |
| 2023-11-19 | 145.0 | 39.48 | 44.95 | 59.9 | 98.75 | 236.25 | 335.2 | 414.10 | 482.57 |
| 2023-11-26 | 185.5 | 45.95 | 61.90 | 79.9 | 120.00 | 301.00 | 503.7 | 707.35 | 882.98 |
| 2023-12-03 | 172.5 | 44.48 | 55.00 | 68.9 | 109.75 | 261.75 | 411.2 | 529.80 | 758.20 |
| 2023-12-10 | 155.5 | 47.00 | 56.85 | 68.9 | 104.00 | 246.00 | 380.2 | 502.25 | 607.58 |
| 2023-12-17 | 157.0 | 41.48 | 51.00 | 61.0 | 99.00 | 253.00 | 387.9 | 471.05 | 554.62 |
| 2023-12-24 | 162.0 | 39.48 | 54.00 | 68.8 | 103.75 | 265.00 | 376.4 | 498.25 | 572.60 |
| 2023-12-31 | 273.5 | 63.48 | 75.90 | 105.8 | 174.00 | 436.50 | 721.0 | 895.15 | 1133.10 |
| 2024-01-07 | 333.0 | 95.38 | 114.00 | 147.8 | 220.25 | 509.25 | 913.4 | 1226.35 | 1418.30 |
| 2024-01-14 | 372.0 | 108.00 | 128.70 | 156.0 | 235.25 | 612.25 | 982.5 | 1330.10 | 1661.78 |
| 2024-01-21 | 450.5 | 117.90 | 139.90 | 187.2 | 287.00 | 695.25 | 1091.0 | 1424.35 | 1720.25 |
| 2024-01-28 | 449.5 | 121.38 | 145.95 | 202.0 | 301.75 | 701.75 | 1083.0 | 1502.30 | 1769.65 |
| 2024-02-04 | 471.5 | 125.42 | 154.75 | 195.0 | 298.75 | 721.50 | 1140.6 | 1511.90 | 1896.67 |
| 2024-02-11 | 460.5 | 118.42 | 156.00 | 204.9 | 311.00 | 757.00 | 1180.8 | 1494.10 | 1713.62 |
| 2024-02-18 | 476.5 | 128.00 | 146.70 | 201.0 | 305.75 | 769.75 | 1105.5 | 1456.85 | 1973.95 |
| 2024-02-25 | 501.5 | 117.47 | 159.00 | 199.6 | 303.75 | 780.50 | 1212.0 | 1463.55 | 1878.50 |
| 2024-03-03 | 568.5 | 164.95 | 188.80 | 240.7 | 374.25 | 852.50 | 1406.9 | 1832.70 | 2203.53 |
| 2024-03-10 | 565.5 | 155.95 | 188.95 | 233.8 | 338.75 | 902.50 | 1385.7 | 1780.25 | 2127.75 |
| 2024-03-17 | 564.0 | 125.47 | 167.95 | 229.9 | 349.75 | 902.50 | 1397.9 | 1756.45 | 2083.88 |
| 2024-03-24 | 649.5 | 161.85 | 185.90 | 244.0 | 401.75 | 962.75 | 1521.7 | 1869.65 | 2303.78 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1089.0 | 287.48 | 349.95 | 439.3 | 662.50 | 1698.25 | 2559.4 | 3167.15 | 3977.05 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1017.0 | 277.60 | 347.70 | 449.8 | 683.25 | 1648.75 | 2458.1 | 3025.05 | 3875.30 |
| 2024-04-14 | 963.0 | 232.43 | 278.55 | 364.6 | 582.25 | 1464.50 | 2266.5 | 2837.15 | 3325.18 |
| 2024-04-21 | 913.0 | 238.95 | 279.80 | 359.9 | 567.00 | 1490.50 | 2396.6 | 3287.10 | 4425.05 |
| 2024-04-28 | 728.5 | 189.95 | 254.80 | 324.0 | 477.50 | 1174.00 | 1887.5 | 2372.85 | 2870.82 |
| 2024-05-05 | 711.5 | 151.03 | 207.00 | 258.0 | 395.75 | 1049.50 | 1673.4 | 1995.90 | 2513.47 |
| 2024-05-12 | 625.0 | 149.43 | 204.95 | 274.7 | 410.75 | 986.00 | 1483.1 | 1812.45 | 2344.93 |
| 2024-05-19 | 551.5 | 129.43 | 164.85 | 218.9 | 347.50 | 879.00 | 1463.0 | 1879.40 | 2406.07 |
| 2024-05-26 | 465.0 | 133.00 | 154.00 | 183.9 | 285.00 | 736.50 | 1217.4 | 1576.30 | 1998.62 |
| 2024-06-02 | 273.0 | 67.47 | 92.95 | 116.0 | 176.75 | 426.50 | 694.1 | 931.10 | 1162.67 |
| 2024-06-09 | 233.0 | 52.00 | 68.80 | 92.9 | 144.75 | 382.25 | 615.0 | 774.75 | 877.62 |
| 2024-06-16 | 191.0 | 47.00 | 57.00 | 73.0 | 117.00 | 297.00 | 438.1 | 579.90 | 743.10 |
| 2024-06-23 | 148.0 | 33.90 | 43.95 | 58.0 | 94.75 | 246.25 | 374.4 | 497.35 | 617.98 |
| 2024-06-30 | 75.0 | 15.47 | 20.00 | 29.0 | 49.00 | 122.00 | 187.0 | 234.45 | 285.10 |
| 2024-07-07 | 62.0 | 14.00 | 17.95 | 26.0 | 37.00 | 100.00 | 148.1 | 194.20 | 256.57 |
| 2024-07-14 | 53.0 | 13.47 | 16.00 | 20.9 | 32.00 | 88.00 | 132.1 | 174.00 | 217.00 |
| 2024-07-21 | 50.0 | 12.00 | 14.00 | 19.0 | 31.00 | 79.00 | 113.0 | 157.00 | 205.05 |
| 2024-07-28 | 43.0 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 17.0 | 27.00 | 70.00 | 104.0 | 132.10 | 165.53 |
| 2024-08-04 | 36.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 21.00 | 62.00 | 91.0 | 113.05 | 141.05 |
| 2024-08-11 | 32.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 12.0 | 20.00 | 49.00 | 77.1 | 100.00 | 132.53 |
| 2024-08-18 | 30.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 12.9 | 19.00 | 52.00 | 79.0 | 101.05 | 123.58 |
| 2024-08-25 | 29.0 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 18.00 | 44.25 | 72.1 | 99.00 | 116.05 |
| 2024-09-01 | 24.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 39.00 | 66.0 | 82.10 | 105.62 |
| 2024-09-08 | 23.0 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 9.0 | 14.00 | 37.00 | 56.0 | 70.00 | 87.53 |
| 2024-09-15 | 23.0 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 38.00 | 57.1 | 72.10 | 96.00 |
| 2024-09-22 | 22.0 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 13.00 | 36.00 | 58.2 | 69.05 | 82.53 |
| 2024-09-29 | 24.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 15.00 | 38.00 | 60.0 | 74.05 | 90.58 |
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