Prediction 1518

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model GHR Model 2025
Author Chloe Fletcher
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 3 - AL


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 280.0 73.95 87.95 114.9 176.00 443.00 609.3 737.55 866.25
2024-10-13 285.0 75.42 102.95 129.7 186.00 429.25 609.5 762.45 896.30
2024-10-20 277.5 75.47 92.95 112.7 173.00 423.25 639.3 810.50 979.15
2024-10-27 274.0 71.47 87.85 116.9 175.75 411.25 626.1 747.25 896.73
2024-11-03 178.0 49.48 59.95 73.9 116.50 275.50 417.0 501.10 635.15
2024-11-10 157.0 47.00 55.00 73.9 107.00 245.25 378.8 456.05 606.52
2024-11-17 137.5 40.95 47.95 60.9 87.00 222.00 335.9 410.40 479.15
2024-11-24 126.0 35.00 42.95 54.0 78.75 201.25 295.1 346.05 427.40
2024-12-01 118.5 25.00 30.90 47.9 75.75 193.50 307.1 391.40 485.20
2024-12-08 111.5 28.48 37.95 46.0 69.00 162.25 269.0 362.30 431.62
2024-12-15 91.5 25.00 28.00 39.0 57.75 149.25 242.0 294.50 337.52
2024-12-22 99.0 25.00 32.00 42.0 62.75 170.00 272.8 333.05 415.05
2024-12-29 71.0 16.00 19.00 27.0 44.00 115.00 167.4 237.05 260.15
2025-01-05 85.0 18.00 22.95 30.0 53.00 137.00 202.3 257.10 311.05
2025-01-12 94.5 25.48 32.00 41.0 61.00 154.00 235.0 289.00 352.88
2025-01-19 101.5 26.48 31.90 42.0 59.75 162.00 253.0 302.20 374.00
2025-01-26 120.5 31.95 39.95 49.0 74.75 195.50 266.2 371.05 476.62
2025-02-02 114.0 30.48 39.00 49.0 74.00 187.50 282.4 373.15 426.40
2025-02-09 139.0 29.48 39.95 48.9 78.75 224.25 327.1 425.05 512.98
2025-02-16 149.0 37.48 45.00 56.0 92.75 240.00 357.5 426.20 507.15
2025-02-23 182.0 44.00 54.00 74.9 108.75 278.25 426.7 542.05 679.30
2025-03-02 181.0 47.00 57.00 68.9 108.00 291.00 455.6 543.05 640.98
2025-03-09 205.5 49.48 60.00 81.0 128.00 309.25 483.0 563.30 687.20
2025-03-16 238.5 52.48 74.00 92.0 148.00 370.00 574.1 738.35 897.20
2025-03-23 240.0 58.48 71.95 92.0 152.75 392.25 668.3 780.60 935.60
2025-03-30 248.5 64.47 74.95 101.0 149.75 433.25 741.1 947.85 1156.62
2025-04-06 270.5 67.47 82.95 108.9 162.00 455.50 675.0 895.00 1073.20
2025-04-13 310.0 72.00 95.00 120.9 189.75 504.00 769.4 954.55 1190.53
2025-04-20 325.0 80.95 102.90 130.0 198.75 555.25 821.1 1022.35 1256.20
2025-04-27 314.0 93.47 105.00 132.7 198.75 533.25 859.7 1145.05 1497.97
2025-05-04 320.5 76.90 103.75 135.7 200.00 578.25 948.7 1171.70 1498.62
2025-05-11 351.5 76.95 90.95 126.9 198.75 564.25 915.1 1142.75 1463.15
2025-05-18 335.5 89.33 111.90 133.8 209.75 534.50 847.5 1015.10 1257.30
2025-05-25 324.5 81.47 96.90 136.9 197.75 558.50 840.2 1067.00 1271.62
2025-06-01 278.0 81.00 96.90 121.8 182.75 451.25 710.2 958.30 1132.78
2025-06-08 283.5 76.42 91.95 128.0 192.00 502.25 777.4 937.35 1103.80
2025-06-15 265.5 75.95 97.85 121.9 171.75 447.00 693.1 834.40 1033.97
2025-06-22 269.0 70.00 79.95 105.9 165.50 428.00 637.3 773.30 914.95
2025-06-29 249.0 68.47 79.00 102.0 151.75 409.25 597.4 800.30 986.05
2025-07-06 252.0 56.42 77.85 96.9 145.00 416.50 598.5 798.05 1002.15
2025-07-13 215.5 55.00 66.90 87.9 135.75 339.25 533.0 662.55 795.05
2025-07-20 194.0 46.95 60.95 74.0 117.00 301.25 454.2 552.25 697.20
2025-07-27 160.0 37.48 49.90 64.0 96.00 250.25 390.9 525.20 588.40
2025-08-03 156.0 41.48 47.95 66.8 95.75 250.25 375.0 472.25 619.00
2025-08-10 141.5 43.48 50.00 60.0 87.00 237.25 351.0 393.35 474.82
2025-08-17 129.5 36.95 43.95 53.9 79.00 206.00 282.1 360.05 419.25
2025-08-24 120.0 30.48 38.95 52.0 76.00 186.25 266.2 339.05 401.15
2025-08-31 113.0 30.95 37.00 48.0 73.75 177.50 250.9 346.05 398.15
2025-09-07 98.0 22.00 33.95 45.0 63.00 154.00 243.1 327.10 394.15
2025-09-14 99.5 25.00 32.00 42.9 63.00 156.00 229.0 284.50 354.10
2025-09-21 92.5 26.48 35.00 42.0 61.00 146.00 204.1 249.15 295.57
2025-09-28 83.0 20.00 26.00 34.9 53.00 129.00 182.1 214.00 270.68
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