Prediction 1521

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model GHR Model 2025
Author Chloe Fletcher
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 3 - BA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 818.5 414.90 462.95 528.8 642.50 1010.25 1244.2 1390.20 1504.15
2024-10-13 800.0 394.95 438.90 506.9 624.00 991.25 1169.4 1370.45 1601.35
2024-10-20 773.0 370.23 420.95 482.7 614.75 955.00 1174.0 1274.30 1378.50
2024-10-27 829.5 443.48 474.00 534.8 647.50 1069.00 1286.1 1540.75 1674.45
2024-11-03 454.0 223.85 252.00 272.9 357.50 576.50 743.1 868.25 968.10
2024-11-10 493.0 228.47 263.95 301.9 384.00 642.00 791.3 952.70 1153.78
2024-11-17 565.0 283.00 307.00 347.9 436.50 728.25 944.1 1110.10 1340.42
2024-11-24 572.0 294.43 323.90 362.0 439.75 731.00 986.4 1169.15 1406.58
2024-12-01 473.5 220.00 244.95 288.8 353.00 626.25 804.3 924.15 1031.05
2024-12-08 439.5 214.47 233.70 265.8 333.00 574.25 766.3 881.70 1003.40
2024-12-15 413.0 206.47 234.00 264.0 328.25 544.25 733.1 868.35 963.05
2024-12-22 517.0 251.47 276.95 313.0 395.75 662.00 838.3 980.75 1144.80
2024-12-29 501.5 232.90 252.70 300.9 374.75 660.75 843.7 999.45 1133.12
2025-01-05 661.0 336.00 371.75 427.9 525.25 874.75 1137.1 1266.55 1493.22
2025-01-12 863.0 443.70 482.95 573.9 677.00 1088.25 1397.3 1539.15 1690.88
2025-01-19 1076.0 513.95 556.85 650.7 815.00 1393.75 1794.6 2116.70 2363.53
2025-01-26 1223.0 625.95 686.95 777.7 967.75 1590.75 1995.8 2171.55 2664.65
2025-02-02 1277.5 692.65 749.45 850.9 1020.25 1674.00 2119.7 2420.00 2855.18
2025-02-09 1552.5 813.38 880.00 996.6 1218.25 2032.50 2626.1 3043.95 3494.70
2025-02-16 1883.5 951.23 1085.45 1198.5 1439.50 2421.00 3013.5 3373.30 3637.53
2025-02-23 2204.5 1042.20 1214.50 1376.5 1745.75 2780.50 3482.1 4173.80 4854.77
2025-03-02 2092.5 1026.47 1197.90 1386.7 1654.00 2735.75 3258.5 3777.60 4292.07
2025-03-09 2234.5 1145.85 1296.95 1508.8 1821.50 2660.25 3243.0 3707.05 4264.65
2025-03-16 2347.5 1114.70 1242.20 1472.2 1822.75 2982.50 3688.5 4360.60 4919.18
2025-03-23 2259.0 1051.65 1296.20 1468.2 1823.00 2812.25 3554.1 3967.85 4791.00
2025-03-30 2607.0 1387.70 1487.20 1617.7 2069.75 3288.00 3941.7 4396.00 5236.35
2025-04-06 2591.0 1356.42 1460.85 1635.7 2068.25 3218.75 4192.5 4545.55 5101.40
2025-04-13 2568.0 1299.42 1522.50 1680.3 2041.75 3220.25 4026.5 4522.90 4871.07
2025-04-20 2515.0 1359.80 1515.75 1663.9 2034.50 3226.00 3810.6 4421.75 4827.65
2025-04-27 2429.5 1297.00 1418.00 1619.0 1996.75 3127.00 3791.4 4292.05 4625.62
2025-05-04 2362.0 1262.80 1359.85 1519.1 1830.00 2941.25 3632.2 4029.05 4550.35
2025-05-11 2070.0 1086.55 1181.70 1336.5 1623.75 2570.25 3148.5 3509.20 3875.38
2025-05-18 1720.0 899.83 981.95 1122.0 1353.50 2129.00 2633.1 3103.20 3308.15
2025-05-25 1438.5 762.55 846.75 996.9 1205.25 1867.50 2262.9 2660.50 2880.28
2025-06-01 1140.0 583.48 618.95 747.9 882.50 1458.75 1747.7 1948.25 2173.57
2025-06-08 901.5 487.90 517.90 591.5 721.00 1162.75 1448.1 1653.15 1825.05
2025-06-15 745.0 399.90 444.90 495.8 609.75 966.25 1165.6 1313.45 1449.35
2025-06-22 643.5 364.43 394.95 430.9 520.75 794.25 1011.0 1123.10 1295.78
2025-06-29 604.0 314.43 353.95 383.9 472.50 781.00 956.1 1098.40 1213.55
2025-07-06 561.5 289.95 317.90 365.0 447.00 701.25 854.2 997.20 1138.88
2025-07-13 505.5 244.00 272.95 329.0 406.50 626.00 760.1 865.05 955.83
2025-07-20 434.5 216.47 248.85 279.0 344.00 547.00 675.6 759.75 845.58
2025-07-27 397.5 202.00 221.95 255.8 318.75 489.50 603.2 715.60 812.52
2025-08-03 368.5 193.00 207.95 236.6 293.50 458.00 557.1 618.00 678.58
2025-08-10 321.5 151.47 163.90 193.8 253.75 399.00 487.2 545.10 617.25
2025-08-17 291.5 141.95 164.95 186.0 234.50 364.25 438.1 500.10 553.35
2025-08-24 266.5 138.47 149.00 167.9 209.00 326.00 398.0 443.20 503.82
2025-08-31 256.0 130.00 140.00 157.0 201.00 337.25 397.1 449.25 510.77
2025-09-07 242.5 118.95 134.00 154.0 191.00 297.00 378.1 422.25 464.15
2025-09-14 227.0 115.47 126.00 144.9 182.75 275.00 339.0 385.15 419.00
2025-09-21 212.0 109.47 126.00 138.9 166.00 265.50 319.0 372.05 393.52
2025-09-28 205.5 102.47 111.95 130.0 164.00 249.00 320.1 361.00 404.82
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