Prediction 1522

Dengue Sprint2425 R Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model GHR Model 2025
Author Chloe Fletcher
ADM 1 CearĂ¡

Description:

GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 3 - CE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 247.5 42.48 61.95 93.9 147.75 414.00 621.5 783.00 926.92
2024-10-13 239.0 30.48 51.00 69.9 131.75 380.75 595.3 773.30 989.67
2024-10-20 220.0 47.48 60.95 78.0 136.75 386.00 642.2 841.55 999.08
2024-10-27 232.0 41.00 59.95 82.0 139.00 398.00 693.1 842.15 973.10
2024-11-03 146.0 26.95 33.90 51.0 84.75 252.00 394.3 555.50 678.67
2024-11-10 146.0 24.00 30.95 50.0 88.00 252.00 385.2 516.10 631.75
2024-11-17 150.0 22.00 29.95 48.0 86.00 273.50 410.1 487.55 572.98
2024-11-24 154.5 26.48 37.95 52.0 88.00 269.25 441.1 602.10 714.67
2024-12-01 147.0 21.00 34.95 49.0 88.00 249.25 390.0 520.35 635.50
2024-12-08 155.0 25.95 33.95 50.0 85.00 246.50 368.0 503.00 685.15
2024-12-15 140.5 24.48 33.00 45.8 77.75 226.25 366.3 529.35 680.58
2024-12-22 151.5 27.48 39.95 54.7 84.00 254.00 397.1 560.10 619.05
2024-12-29 131.5 24.00 32.00 43.0 76.75 225.25 365.3 479.00 532.62
2025-01-05 159.5 21.00 31.95 50.9 87.00 289.00 430.7 560.10 689.35
2025-01-12 184.5 29.48 43.95 70.0 110.75 328.00 508.5 740.50 910.73
2025-01-19 250.5 42.00 54.90 74.9 129.75 417.50 632.1 884.30 1128.60
2025-01-26 275.0 49.42 69.00 93.9 152.75 475.25 758.2 965.10 1386.53
2025-02-02 343.0 62.95 86.80 119.8 195.00 548.00 834.1 1063.35 1249.33
2025-02-09 369.0 60.42 89.00 114.0 200.00 548.50 854.4 1125.30 1320.38
2025-02-16 430.0 73.90 115.75 152.9 242.75 735.50 1124.2 1396.45 1624.58
2025-02-23 430.0 79.95 104.90 160.6 252.75 771.50 1138.4 1498.45 1924.42
2025-03-02 444.0 78.95 108.95 156.7 278.75 742.75 1109.8 1350.35 1642.97
2025-03-09 481.5 68.47 120.95 178.0 304.50 813.25 1172.2 1544.45 1813.97
2025-03-16 537.5 111.28 137.70 194.6 329.00 899.75 1306.3 1823.40 2349.38
2025-03-23 571.0 114.95 161.70 212.0 339.75 950.00 1413.8 1786.00 2226.22
2025-03-30 568.5 94.47 146.90 203.0 335.50 947.75 1457.1 1818.00 2285.20
2025-04-06 664.0 109.47 155.00 218.8 384.00 1057.00 1520.0 1962.45 2684.57
2025-04-13 732.0 167.47 197.85 260.0 438.75 1188.00 1760.9 2277.30 2557.95
2025-04-20 726.5 122.70 161.95 245.9 422.75 1230.25 2018.0 2811.75 3179.45
2025-04-27 807.5 175.70 227.65 307.8 476.75 1382.00 2106.2 2789.30 3244.28
2025-05-04 918.5 168.47 238.95 342.3 567.50 1485.50 2362.3 3047.45 3937.30
2025-05-11 920.5 144.47 202.90 290.9 498.25 1499.50 2196.5 2954.40 3407.07
2025-05-18 821.0 136.97 195.95 285.9 474.50 1361.75 2092.6 2565.65 3000.55
2025-05-25 789.0 159.95 229.85 308.1 508.50 1390.00 2058.7 2633.05 3282.15
2025-06-01 775.5 134.95 188.80 255.0 417.00 1276.00 1833.2 2413.35 2824.30
2025-06-08 707.5 123.47 179.85 233.8 403.75 1091.00 1676.0 2149.45 2642.97
2025-06-15 638.0 109.47 165.70 214.4 343.00 965.25 1545.3 1971.45 2493.97
2025-06-22 563.5 95.33 137.00 212.1 326.25 920.25 1392.5 2086.15 2503.47
2025-06-29 512.0 89.00 110.00 166.8 279.75 965.50 1411.5 1628.15 2064.93
2025-07-06 427.0 66.47 97.95 143.8 253.75 756.50 1215.0 1626.50 1958.05
2025-07-13 380.5 65.00 91.95 130.9 221.25 638.50 1092.2 1326.65 1472.05
2025-07-20 367.5 44.90 76.00 117.9 202.50 604.00 961.0 1167.50 1291.10
2025-07-27 354.5 60.48 88.95 117.7 200.75 607.25 898.3 1136.15 1421.62
2025-08-03 303.5 63.42 78.00 98.9 169.75 511.00 759.2 916.10 1060.67
2025-08-10 261.0 49.95 63.00 94.0 157.00 414.00 659.8 792.75 971.83
2025-08-17 237.5 38.48 50.00 74.0 135.75 383.75 598.6 717.15 857.73
2025-08-24 188.0 34.00 42.90 60.9 111.50 337.00 509.7 628.30 813.92
2025-08-31 156.0 30.95 42.85 57.0 93.75 251.25 418.7 573.05 723.05
2025-09-07 140.0 29.48 37.00 46.9 78.00 241.00 361.0 463.05 603.58
2025-09-14 127.0 23.00 32.95 45.0 75.00 218.25 344.3 416.35 513.62
2025-09-21 114.5 24.48 30.00 37.0 66.00 193.25 296.3 381.30 494.15
2025-09-28 98.5 16.95 23.00 34.0 58.00 170.50 288.9 366.20 428.05
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