Prediction 1523
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 3 - DF
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 368.5 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 19.0 | 96.75 | 929.25 | 1738.4 | 2479.35 | 3247.47 |
| 2024-10-13 | 393.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 15.0 | 88.75 | 1038.25 | 1947.5 | 2623.15 | 3525.03 |
| 2024-10-20 | 290.0 | 0.00 | 4.00 | 18.9 | 88.50 | 826.50 | 1581.8 | 2096.20 | 2750.15 |
| 2024-10-27 | 358.5 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 15.0 | 87.75 | 1020.25 | 2107.8 | 2925.55 | 3777.45 |
| 2024-11-03 | 154.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 41.50 | 434.50 | 806.1 | 1330.75 | 1813.33 |
| 2024-11-10 | 174.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 35.00 | 465.75 | 896.5 | 1237.75 | 1670.05 |
| 2024-11-17 | 172.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.9 | 51.00 | 483.25 | 952.2 | 1257.45 | 1771.55 |
| 2024-11-24 | 274.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 11.0 | 62.00 | 704.25 | 1339.1 | 1901.65 | 2303.85 |
| 2024-12-01 | 230.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 10.9 | 59.00 | 673.25 | 1434.2 | 1955.10 | 2300.07 |
| 2024-12-08 | 270.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.9 | 53.50 | 740.50 | 1422.0 | 1992.50 | 2326.40 |
| 2024-12-15 | 345.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 10.9 | 69.75 | 881.25 | 1566.9 | 2537.05 | 2963.68 |
| 2024-12-22 | 421.0 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 17.0 | 110.50 | 977.75 | 1981.4 | 2956.45 | 3831.97 |
| 2024-12-29 | 391.5 | 1.48 | 4.95 | 25.9 | 103.75 | 1098.00 | 2066.5 | 2798.40 | 3277.78 |
| 2025-01-05 | 402.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 15.9 | 120.75 | 1019.75 | 2144.7 | 3182.85 | 4548.10 |
| 2025-01-12 | 518.0 | 1.00 | 4.95 | 16.9 | 106.50 | 1451.25 | 3035.1 | 4066.45 | 5557.75 |
| 2025-01-19 | 640.5 | 4.00 | 11.00 | 43.0 | 183.25 | 1678.50 | 3505.0 | 4840.70 | 6301.85 |
| 2025-01-26 | 777.5 | 3.00 | 11.00 | 48.9 | 205.50 | 2114.00 | 4374.0 | 6367.40 | 7896.20 |
| 2025-02-02 | 761.5 | 4.00 | 11.95 | 41.8 | 198.00 | 2009.75 | 3856.0 | 6196.35 | 8135.32 |
| 2025-02-09 | 1011.5 | 3.48 | 13.95 | 50.0 | 246.25 | 2819.00 | 5057.8 | 7419.30 | 9486.10 |
| 2025-02-16 | 919.0 | 3.00 | 9.00 | 37.0 | 245.75 | 2479.50 | 4776.8 | 7684.55 | 9383.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | 940.0 | 8.00 | 28.90 | 95.4 | 295.75 | 2792.25 | 5547.3 | 8373.25 | 10244.10 |
| 2025-03-02 | 897.5 | 3.00 | 11.95 | 44.9 | 199.50 | 2624.25 | 5845.4 | 8392.05 | 10809.73 |
| 2025-03-09 | 930.5 | 3.95 | 10.95 | 44.9 | 230.25 | 2659.50 | 4962.0 | 7339.95 | 9042.67 |
| 2025-03-16 | 813.0 | 2.48 | 11.00 | 41.7 | 239.00 | 2501.25 | 5027.5 | 7508.65 | 9827.45 |
| 2025-03-23 | 992.0 | 4.00 | 10.00 | 43.8 | 270.25 | 3335.50 | 7033.9 | 9041.75 | 11013.50 |
| 2025-03-30 | 1362.0 | 1.48 | 18.00 | 66.8 | 346.75 | 3609.00 | 6652.6 | 9608.20 | 12856.73 |
| 2025-04-06 | 1403.0 | 6.00 | 21.95 | 55.6 | 342.50 | 3640.50 | 7776.5 | 10493.80 | 13137.55 |
| 2025-04-13 | 1390.0 | 7.47 | 30.95 | 80.5 | 374.00 | 4015.50 | 7658.4 | 11724.00 | 14471.65 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1347.5 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 60.5 | 338.75 | 3574.75 | 7098.7 | 10645.65 | 13654.25 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1252.5 | 2.00 | 15.00 | 42.9 | 289.75 | 3578.25 | 8181.7 | 10796.50 | 13974.45 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1112.5 | 7.47 | 19.00 | 64.4 | 306.00 | 3005.75 | 5890.7 | 8392.35 | 12540.65 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1085.0 | 3.00 | 12.00 | 51.8 | 247.50 | 3097.50 | 6019.2 | 8244.55 | 10403.38 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1019.0 | 4.47 | 13.00 | 64.8 | 272.25 | 3047.75 | 6547.3 | 9113.50 | 11285.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | 831.0 | 1.48 | 12.95 | 50.8 | 221.00 | 2159.00 | 4585.2 | 5785.25 | 8082.35 |
| 2025-06-01 | 726.5 | 3.00 | 10.00 | 34.9 | 207.00 | 1933.75 | 3939.7 | 5045.80 | 6816.73 |
| 2025-06-08 | 598.0 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 22.0 | 165.00 | 1468.25 | 2812.8 | 4219.40 | 5091.10 |
| 2025-06-15 | 400.0 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 22.9 | 106.00 | 1127.50 | 2445.4 | 3181.15 | 4374.35 |
| 2025-06-22 | 394.0 | 1.48 | 6.00 | 17.0 | 89.00 | 1083.00 | 1980.0 | 3280.60 | 4287.88 |
| 2025-06-29 | 323.0 | 1.48 | 5.00 | 12.9 | 71.50 | 845.50 | 1532.9 | 2059.45 | 2604.12 |
| 2025-07-06 | 217.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 7.9 | 49.00 | 602.75 | 1206.4 | 1676.65 | 2208.20 |
| 2025-07-13 | 188.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 8.0 | 54.75 | 574.00 | 1114.6 | 1446.35 | 1833.05 |
| 2025-07-20 | 190.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 58.75 | 502.50 | 936.3 | 1215.10 | 1526.45 |
| 2025-07-27 | 150.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 33.00 | 389.75 | 826.7 | 1120.65 | 1278.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | 114.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 25.00 | 314.50 | 680.6 | 936.55 | 1172.83 |
| 2025-08-10 | 122.5 | 0.47 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 33.75 | 361.00 | 638.2 | 927.25 | 1351.90 |
| 2025-08-17 | 103.5 | 1.00 | 1.95 | 7.0 | 26.00 | 278.75 | 519.7 | 757.00 | 1014.50 |
| 2025-08-24 | 87.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 20.75 | 237.25 | 492.0 | 683.80 | 989.17 |
| 2025-08-31 | 87.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 27.00 | 232.50 | 525.4 | 779.40 | 1020.58 |
| 2025-09-07 | 103.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 28.00 | 269.50 | 525.4 | 715.15 | 886.52 |
| 2025-09-14 | 85.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 20.00 | 238.25 | 467.3 | 615.40 | 801.52 |
| 2025-09-21 | 87.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.9 | 19.00 | 236.50 | 473.8 | 633.15 | 867.42 |
| 2025-09-28 | 76.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 25.75 | 229.50 | 431.6 | 635.95 | 790.77 |
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