Prediction 1531
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 3 - PE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 343.5 | 95.95 | 114.95 | 129.9 | 201.75 | 586.25 | 1065.6 | 1283.05 | 1754.80 |
| 2024-10-13 | 377.0 | 98.90 | 116.95 | 154.0 | 230.50 | 734.50 | 1168.0 | 1415.10 | 2042.25 |
| 2024-10-20 | 449.0 | 118.95 | 147.80 | 187.9 | 275.75 | 794.25 | 1303.4 | 1807.25 | 2177.93 |
| 2024-10-27 | 561.5 | 136.00 | 179.95 | 224.0 | 354.75 | 996.00 | 1726.7 | 2268.65 | 2618.60 |
| 2024-11-03 | 332.0 | 84.00 | 102.00 | 128.0 | 194.00 | 577.25 | 938.0 | 1211.80 | 1653.38 |
| 2024-11-10 | 331.0 | 93.00 | 111.95 | 130.9 | 203.75 | 575.50 | 950.2 | 1218.10 | 1523.50 |
| 2024-11-17 | 328.0 | 75.47 | 90.95 | 112.9 | 184.75 | 559.25 | 965.6 | 1207.45 | 1500.30 |
| 2024-11-24 | 283.0 | 75.00 | 84.95 | 118.9 | 169.75 | 510.00 | 849.7 | 1138.05 | 1346.67 |
| 2024-12-01 | 231.5 | 62.95 | 77.00 | 95.8 | 137.75 | 387.25 | 689.0 | 981.25 | 1252.62 |
| 2024-12-08 | 194.0 | 54.00 | 67.00 | 84.9 | 128.25 | 337.25 | 562.1 | 721.05 | 908.73 |
| 2024-12-15 | 179.0 | 50.48 | 64.95 | 76.0 | 113.00 | 296.50 | 472.0 | 626.00 | 872.40 |
| 2024-12-22 | 192.5 | 53.42 | 66.00 | 79.0 | 117.50 | 298.00 | 476.5 | 650.05 | 862.23 |
| 2024-12-29 | 127.5 | 36.00 | 45.95 | 55.9 | 82.00 | 216.50 | 353.2 | 476.30 | 610.92 |
| 2025-01-05 | 156.0 | 46.00 | 55.90 | 69.9 | 98.00 | 269.00 | 414.2 | 571.60 | 684.58 |
| 2025-01-12 | 198.0 | 55.48 | 65.80 | 84.0 | 128.75 | 304.25 | 485.1 | 584.15 | 816.60 |
| 2025-01-19 | 224.5 | 66.47 | 77.95 | 101.0 | 149.75 | 403.25 | 645.7 | 822.35 | 1000.65 |
| 2025-01-26 | 263.0 | 68.85 | 88.95 | 116.0 | 155.75 | 457.25 | 723.6 | 965.05 | 1232.78 |
| 2025-02-02 | 291.0 | 69.47 | 96.95 | 132.8 | 177.75 | 502.25 | 745.4 | 1029.20 | 1226.20 |
| 2025-02-09 | 329.0 | 87.85 | 105.85 | 144.8 | 208.00 | 539.75 | 891.2 | 1115.20 | 1369.70 |
| 2025-02-16 | 364.0 | 113.47 | 140.90 | 165.8 | 230.50 | 608.00 | 970.0 | 1324.10 | 1754.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | 447.5 | 134.80 | 160.85 | 199.9 | 304.00 | 742.25 | 1247.4 | 1558.20 | 2047.95 |
| 2025-03-02 | 392.0 | 122.95 | 148.95 | 183.8 | 276.75 | 694.25 | 1094.2 | 1449.30 | 1895.15 |
| 2025-03-09 | 448.0 | 139.43 | 171.95 | 217.9 | 297.50 | 761.75 | 1225.0 | 1519.00 | 1974.35 |
| 2025-03-16 | 541.5 | 164.95 | 214.95 | 246.9 | 357.00 | 829.25 | 1333.8 | 1822.05 | 2127.20 |
| 2025-03-23 | 505.0 | 165.00 | 184.95 | 227.6 | 328.00 | 810.50 | 1247.6 | 1614.35 | 1827.88 |
| 2025-03-30 | 565.0 | 166.85 | 194.90 | 233.9 | 346.75 | 931.25 | 1405.5 | 2156.65 | 2756.68 |
| 2025-04-06 | 566.0 | 179.28 | 216.90 | 253.9 | 377.00 | 947.25 | 1608.3 | 2107.25 | 2529.20 |
| 2025-04-13 | 601.5 | 186.47 | 227.80 | 275.9 | 400.50 | 975.00 | 1593.6 | 2078.15 | 2539.55 |
| 2025-04-20 | 666.5 | 197.65 | 243.60 | 298.0 | 440.00 | 1106.00 | 1708.9 | 2174.25 | 2823.85 |
| 2025-04-27 | 662.0 | 207.47 | 241.85 | 302.8 | 430.75 | 1082.75 | 1559.5 | 2016.70 | 2687.57 |
| 2025-05-04 | 716.0 | 184.43 | 242.95 | 289.7 | 436.75 | 1233.25 | 2021.5 | 2715.30 | 3301.30 |
| 2025-05-11 | 682.0 | 208.43 | 234.80 | 270.8 | 422.50 | 1161.75 | 1947.4 | 2581.40 | 2960.62 |
| 2025-05-18 | 635.0 | 187.43 | 213.95 | 291.9 | 412.50 | 1015.25 | 1689.5 | 2272.90 | 2830.78 |
| 2025-05-25 | 508.5 | 155.00 | 179.00 | 227.8 | 338.25 | 829.25 | 1284.6 | 1766.00 | 2238.12 |
| 2025-06-01 | 443.0 | 121.75 | 153.00 | 213.8 | 300.00 | 783.50 | 1240.4 | 1496.45 | 1929.12 |
| 2025-06-08 | 373.5 | 108.90 | 130.95 | 160.8 | 245.00 | 600.75 | 1064.2 | 1344.40 | 1837.67 |
| 2025-06-15 | 300.0 | 96.47 | 115.90 | 139.0 | 204.25 | 537.25 | 828.1 | 1078.45 | 1357.38 |
| 2025-06-22 | 256.0 | 70.00 | 90.00 | 114.9 | 161.00 | 440.00 | 689.1 | 851.95 | 1008.80 |
| 2025-06-29 | 228.5 | 71.90 | 87.00 | 102.0 | 145.75 | 367.50 | 597.2 | 779.40 | 981.58 |
| 2025-07-06 | 201.0 | 52.00 | 71.70 | 91.9 | 136.00 | 341.25 | 528.2 | 749.10 | 883.88 |
| 2025-07-13 | 171.5 | 48.48 | 57.00 | 76.9 | 111.75 | 283.50 | 419.2 | 587.25 | 765.77 |
| 2025-07-20 | 165.0 | 46.95 | 55.00 | 69.0 | 103.75 | 259.00 | 406.1 | 543.00 | 692.55 |
| 2025-07-27 | 146.0 | 41.48 | 47.00 | 59.9 | 87.00 | 229.00 | 370.9 | 555.05 | 676.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | 133.0 | 37.42 | 48.90 | 60.8 | 86.75 | 214.00 | 355.3 | 504.05 | 592.52 |
| 2025-08-10 | 127.0 | 34.95 | 45.95 | 57.0 | 80.00 | 201.00 | 321.0 | 403.05 | 469.10 |
| 2025-08-17 | 119.5 | 33.00 | 40.95 | 53.0 | 77.00 | 189.00 | 298.2 | 402.40 | 546.35 |
| 2025-08-24 | 113.0 | 33.00 | 37.95 | 49.9 | 73.75 | 187.50 | 300.2 | 377.25 | 458.40 |
| 2025-08-31 | 113.5 | 35.48 | 39.00 | 49.0 | 73.75 | 173.25 | 304.2 | 365.05 | 425.52 |
| 2025-09-07 | 106.0 | 30.00 | 33.95 | 46.0 | 70.00 | 171.25 | 271.3 | 338.15 | 393.57 |
| 2025-09-14 | 111.0 | 32.00 | 38.95 | 48.9 | 73.00 | 178.25 | 298.5 | 391.40 | 458.05 |
| 2025-09-21 | 97.0 | 28.48 | 34.00 | 42.9 | 62.50 | 156.50 | 251.1 | 307.15 | 374.25 |
| 2025-09-28 | 94.5 | 23.48 | 31.00 | 40.0 | 61.00 | 148.00 | 226.0 | 275.40 | 367.18 |
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