Prediction 1532
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 3 - PI
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 34.0 | 9.00 | 10.00 | 14.0 | 21.00 | 60.25 | 97.0 | 127.15 | 168.68 |
| 2024-10-13 | 35.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 12.0 | 19.00 | 56.25 | 94.0 | 117.00 | 153.78 |
| 2024-10-20 | 33.0 | 8.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 21.00 | 59.00 | 93.0 | 116.05 | 143.05 |
| 2024-10-27 | 39.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 15.0 | 22.00 | 69.25 | 111.1 | 142.00 | 162.53 |
| 2024-11-03 | 21.0 | 4.47 | 6.00 | 7.0 | 12.00 | 35.00 | 64.1 | 86.00 | 108.53 |
| 2024-11-10 | 24.0 | 5.00 | 6.95 | 8.0 | 13.00 | 41.25 | 74.2 | 100.20 | 121.58 |
| 2024-11-17 | 24.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 9.0 | 14.00 | 41.50 | 76.1 | 101.15 | 116.53 |
| 2024-11-24 | 24.0 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 14.00 | 46.00 | 70.1 | 102.10 | 129.10 |
| 2024-12-01 | 25.0 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 14.00 | 49.25 | 86.0 | 104.05 | 131.57 |
| 2024-12-08 | 24.0 | 4.47 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 13.75 | 45.00 | 75.0 | 101.10 | 129.57 |
| 2024-12-15 | 25.0 | 4.47 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 47.00 | 81.0 | 104.05 | 135.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | 30.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 11.0 | 18.00 | 60.25 | 107.0 | 137.15 | 177.53 |
| 2024-12-29 | 39.0 | 7.00 | 9.95 | 13.0 | 22.00 | 67.25 | 106.0 | 138.05 | 167.20 |
| 2025-01-05 | 54.0 | 10.47 | 14.00 | 18.0 | 29.75 | 95.00 | 163.8 | 224.25 | 272.25 |
| 2025-01-12 | 68.0 | 14.47 | 18.95 | 24.0 | 40.00 | 120.50 | 225.1 | 278.30 | 357.77 |
| 2025-01-19 | 79.5 | 19.00 | 24.95 | 31.9 | 47.00 | 148.25 | 256.1 | 313.20 | 378.15 |
| 2025-01-26 | 102.0 | 23.48 | 28.00 | 37.0 | 58.00 | 185.25 | 308.0 | 394.20 | 470.45 |
| 2025-02-02 | 120.0 | 30.00 | 34.00 | 42.0 | 68.00 | 227.50 | 436.1 | 544.35 | 711.05 |
| 2025-02-09 | 131.0 | 35.48 | 42.95 | 55.9 | 81.00 | 253.00 | 431.2 | 579.40 | 734.65 |
| 2025-02-16 | 171.5 | 36.48 | 45.00 | 67.0 | 101.00 | 311.25 | 509.5 | 703.50 | 882.77 |
| 2025-02-23 | 194.0 | 45.00 | 59.95 | 79.0 | 119.50 | 349.00 | 645.1 | 887.15 | 1160.03 |
| 2025-03-02 | 229.0 | 48.00 | 64.85 | 83.0 | 124.00 | 389.50 | 671.2 | 905.20 | 1167.08 |
| 2025-03-09 | 261.0 | 65.95 | 83.95 | 103.9 | 156.00 | 501.25 | 875.1 | 1184.60 | 1391.15 |
| 2025-03-16 | 307.5 | 78.95 | 91.00 | 128.0 | 183.75 | 553.50 | 936.8 | 1224.90 | 1569.35 |
| 2025-03-23 | 373.5 | 91.47 | 105.90 | 139.0 | 211.50 | 637.50 | 1181.3 | 1563.20 | 1945.88 |
| 2025-03-30 | 448.0 | 108.47 | 137.95 | 174.0 | 253.00 | 841.25 | 1376.6 | 1773.55 | 2153.82 |
| 2025-04-06 | 499.5 | 133.00 | 160.95 | 204.9 | 296.00 | 970.75 | 1498.5 | 2012.70 | 2379.20 |
| 2025-04-13 | 502.0 | 144.95 | 170.90 | 217.7 | 313.25 | 917.75 | 1595.7 | 2275.80 | 2667.10 |
| 2025-04-20 | 467.5 | 135.47 | 163.90 | 199.0 | 279.00 | 868.00 | 1471.7 | 2179.80 | 2791.28 |
| 2025-04-27 | 496.5 | 115.47 | 144.85 | 187.8 | 307.75 | 894.75 | 1455.1 | 1955.05 | 2379.40 |
| 2025-05-04 | 417.0 | 103.85 | 133.90 | 172.0 | 254.75 | 723.50 | 1338.1 | 1814.60 | 2245.68 |
| 2025-05-11 | 425.5 | 108.47 | 128.95 | 152.8 | 244.75 | 694.00 | 1195.8 | 1650.20 | 1953.25 |
| 2025-05-18 | 352.0 | 94.42 | 118.90 | 152.0 | 219.50 | 602.00 | 1124.1 | 1343.75 | 1786.90 |
| 2025-05-25 | 292.0 | 67.47 | 89.85 | 120.9 | 188.75 | 524.00 | 892.0 | 1160.70 | 1648.00 |
| 2025-06-01 | 268.5 | 67.47 | 80.95 | 103.0 | 164.00 | 448.50 | 759.4 | 998.75 | 1303.58 |
| 2025-06-08 | 227.0 | 55.00 | 60.95 | 80.8 | 130.75 | 393.00 | 628.3 | 923.95 | 1240.88 |
| 2025-06-15 | 188.5 | 49.00 | 60.95 | 75.0 | 111.00 | 348.25 | 567.4 | 683.20 | 878.62 |
| 2025-06-22 | 162.5 | 40.48 | 56.00 | 67.0 | 101.00 | 291.25 | 542.9 | 709.50 | 873.10 |
| 2025-06-29 | 130.5 | 39.48 | 46.00 | 55.0 | 84.00 | 246.50 | 402.0 | 579.15 | 696.75 |
| 2025-07-06 | 108.0 | 30.00 | 35.95 | 46.0 | 66.75 | 201.75 | 307.2 | 385.80 | 493.40 |
| 2025-07-13 | 93.0 | 26.00 | 28.95 | 36.0 | 56.00 | 158.00 | 261.0 | 347.20 | 467.62 |
| 2025-07-20 | 84.5 | 22.00 | 27.00 | 34.0 | 50.00 | 143.25 | 245.2 | 350.95 | 447.45 |
| 2025-07-27 | 73.0 | 21.00 | 25.95 | 31.0 | 44.75 | 123.00 | 205.3 | 283.50 | 343.68 |
| 2025-08-03 | 59.0 | 15.47 | 19.00 | 25.0 | 38.00 | 99.00 | 174.3 | 240.15 | 276.10 |
| 2025-08-10 | 52.5 | 13.00 | 16.00 | 22.0 | 31.00 | 91.25 | 150.0 | 197.10 | 240.10 |
| 2025-08-17 | 42.0 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 20.0 | 28.00 | 74.00 | 121.1 | 152.10 | 198.53 |
| 2025-08-24 | 35.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 15.0 | 22.00 | 61.25 | 114.1 | 145.05 | 192.53 |
| 2025-08-31 | 27.5 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 17.75 | 51.00 | 95.2 | 126.00 | 145.10 |
| 2025-09-07 | 21.0 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 35.00 | 58.1 | 80.00 | 96.00 |
| 2025-09-14 | 18.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 7.0 | 11.00 | 31.25 | 54.2 | 69.10 | 91.10 |
| 2025-09-21 | 15.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 8.00 | 25.00 | 45.0 | 58.05 | 71.00 |
| 2025-09-28 | 13.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 7.00 | 24.00 | 39.1 | 52.10 | 64.15 |
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