Prediction 1538
| Model | GHR Model 2025 |
|---|---|
| Author | Chloe Fletcher |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
GHR Model 2025 Validation Test 3 - RS
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 81.0 | 32.48 | 41.95 | 48.0 | 63.00 | 103.00 | 135.1 | 153.00 | 170.10 |
| 2024-10-13 | 85.0 | 36.00 | 39.00 | 47.0 | 62.00 | 109.25 | 144.1 | 165.05 | 178.57 |
| 2024-10-20 | 95.0 | 39.00 | 44.95 | 52.9 | 68.00 | 126.00 | 164.1 | 196.10 | 211.53 |
| 2024-10-27 | 105.0 | 42.48 | 48.95 | 58.0 | 77.00 | 139.00 | 176.1 | 210.00 | 230.68 |
| 2024-11-03 | 52.0 | 22.00 | 26.95 | 31.0 | 39.00 | 71.00 | 89.0 | 97.00 | 106.05 |
| 2024-11-10 | 62.5 | 23.48 | 28.00 | 32.0 | 47.00 | 86.00 | 110.0 | 122.05 | 146.00 |
| 2024-11-17 | 76.5 | 33.00 | 39.00 | 45.0 | 58.00 | 102.00 | 135.1 | 156.00 | 177.57 |
| 2024-11-24 | 93.5 | 42.00 | 49.95 | 56.0 | 70.00 | 123.25 | 160.0 | 185.45 | 215.53 |
| 2024-12-01 | 134.5 | 59.95 | 70.00 | 81.9 | 103.00 | 179.00 | 225.0 | 260.10 | 297.10 |
| 2024-12-08 | 144.0 | 61.48 | 69.95 | 83.0 | 111.00 | 192.25 | 241.8 | 285.05 | 317.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | 148.0 | 63.48 | 71.00 | 84.9 | 114.75 | 193.00 | 234.1 | 285.10 | 327.52 |
| 2024-12-22 | 139.0 | 58.48 | 66.00 | 79.0 | 104.00 | 181.25 | 240.0 | 264.10 | 290.10 |
| 2024-12-29 | 153.0 | 63.48 | 71.95 | 85.0 | 116.00 | 197.00 | 257.0 | 283.10 | 321.52 |
| 2025-01-05 | 159.0 | 72.47 | 78.95 | 92.0 | 119.00 | 219.00 | 274.2 | 324.30 | 367.30 |
| 2025-01-12 | 182.0 | 76.00 | 87.00 | 104.9 | 132.00 | 233.25 | 294.1 | 341.20 | 377.52 |
| 2025-01-19 | 203.0 | 89.00 | 95.95 | 118.8 | 150.75 | 259.25 | 320.1 | 385.25 | 434.62 |
| 2025-01-26 | 224.0 | 95.47 | 112.00 | 131.9 | 170.00 | 301.25 | 380.5 | 439.20 | 468.57 |
| 2025-02-02 | 427.0 | 191.90 | 216.95 | 252.9 | 319.75 | 562.00 | 700.1 | 824.40 | 933.15 |
| 2025-02-09 | 595.5 | 262.48 | 288.00 | 337.7 | 459.25 | 769.00 | 1004.6 | 1155.15 | 1286.78 |
| 2025-02-16 | 827.5 | 358.70 | 424.90 | 488.5 | 639.50 | 1075.75 | 1396.2 | 1560.65 | 1728.22 |
| 2025-02-23 | 1068.5 | 488.90 | 541.70 | 613.7 | 806.00 | 1345.25 | 1686.6 | 1847.45 | 2034.83 |
| 2025-03-02 | 1444.5 | 668.80 | 775.35 | 864.0 | 1144.25 | 1892.50 | 2394.4 | 2740.75 | 3004.35 |
| 2025-03-09 | 1710.0 | 749.85 | 861.35 | 1034.0 | 1319.00 | 2265.50 | 2832.3 | 3272.80 | 3719.88 |
| 2025-03-16 | 2044.0 | 971.95 | 1060.80 | 1194.1 | 1514.50 | 2799.75 | 3537.6 | 4133.05 | 4856.73 |
| 2025-03-23 | 2335.5 | 1067.10 | 1236.85 | 1394.9 | 1834.00 | 3024.50 | 3893.7 | 4341.40 | 5129.98 |
| 2025-03-30 | 2849.0 | 1121.65 | 1335.55 | 1576.0 | 2126.25 | 3757.00 | 4623.2 | 5058.30 | 5776.45 |
| 2025-04-06 | 2818.0 | 1198.97 | 1384.55 | 1683.6 | 2104.50 | 3641.75 | 4777.3 | 5365.40 | 6076.50 |
| 2025-04-13 | 2706.0 | 1151.65 | 1448.30 | 1666.9 | 2074.75 | 3374.50 | 4619.1 | 5164.10 | 5693.73 |
| 2025-04-20 | 2125.0 | 941.35 | 1101.55 | 1291.1 | 1676.00 | 2843.25 | 3523.0 | 3946.85 | 4377.15 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1732.0 | 761.27 | 886.90 | 1024.0 | 1296.75 | 2210.00 | 2801.4 | 3289.80 | 3800.20 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1214.0 | 522.15 | 590.95 | 704.9 | 935.75 | 1587.50 | 2061.6 | 2365.90 | 2739.68 |
| 2025-05-11 | 843.5 | 386.70 | 447.90 | 504.9 | 640.50 | 1129.00 | 1411.5 | 1660.00 | 1857.75 |
| 2025-05-18 | 582.5 | 265.90 | 304.90 | 336.0 | 440.00 | 781.00 | 987.1 | 1135.45 | 1245.67 |
| 2025-05-25 | 411.5 | 175.43 | 191.90 | 238.0 | 312.75 | 549.25 | 700.2 | 818.10 | 918.58 |
| 2025-06-01 | 210.0 | 94.42 | 104.95 | 124.7 | 160.50 | 285.00 | 377.1 | 420.15 | 471.00 |
| 2025-06-08 | 151.5 | 67.47 | 75.00 | 86.0 | 117.00 | 201.25 | 265.0 | 317.00 | 360.05 |
| 2025-06-15 | 110.5 | 44.00 | 52.95 | 63.0 | 85.00 | 146.00 | 182.1 | 212.05 | 252.15 |
| 2025-06-22 | 86.0 | 37.48 | 41.95 | 49.0 | 63.00 | 115.00 | 147.0 | 173.05 | 200.53 |
| 2025-06-29 | 44.0 | 17.00 | 18.00 | 23.0 | 30.00 | 58.00 | 76.1 | 92.10 | 112.10 |
| 2025-07-06 | 38.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 21.0 | 27.00 | 51.00 | 63.1 | 71.00 | 86.05 |
| 2025-07-13 | 33.0 | 12.47 | 15.00 | 18.9 | 24.75 | 44.00 | 57.1 | 68.00 | 76.58 |
| 2025-07-20 | 34.0 | 13.00 | 15.95 | 18.0 | 24.00 | 46.00 | 60.0 | 70.05 | 79.53 |
| 2025-07-27 | 35.0 | 13.00 | 15.95 | 20.0 | 26.00 | 46.00 | 58.0 | 68.05 | 78.05 |
| 2025-08-03 | 22.0 | 8.00 | 9.00 | 11.0 | 15.00 | 30.00 | 39.0 | 44.00 | 49.52 |
| 2025-08-10 | 20.0 | 7.00 | 8.00 | 10.9 | 15.00 | 29.00 | 36.0 | 43.00 | 49.00 |
| 2025-08-17 | 19.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 10.0 | 13.75 | 26.00 | 35.0 | 39.00 | 45.52 |
| 2025-08-24 | 18.0 | 5.47 | 7.00 | 9.0 | 13.00 | 25.00 | 33.1 | 40.05 | 46.05 |
| 2025-08-31 | 12.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 6.0 | 9.00 | 16.00 | 22.0 | 26.00 | 29.52 |
| 2025-09-07 | 13.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 9.00 | 17.00 | 22.0 | 26.05 | 29.00 |
| 2025-09-14 | 13.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 6.9 | 9.00 | 18.00 | 24.0 | 29.00 | 31.52 |
| 2025-09-21 | 14.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 10.00 | 19.00 | 25.0 | 28.05 | 31.00 |
| 2025-09-28 | 12.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 5.0 | 8.00 | 17.00 | 22.0 | 26.00 | 29.00 |
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