Prediction 16
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2304400 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de todos as cidades clusterizadas com 2304400 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 484.22 | - | 56.64 | - | - | - | - | 911.80 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 711.27 | - | 334.36 | - | - | - | - | 1088.18 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 574.15 | - | 206.38 | - | - | - | - | 941.92 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 374.78 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 859.01 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 242.62 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 941.01 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 357.26 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1479.67 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 710.36 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1969.98 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 225.39 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1497.40 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 190.36 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1206.38 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 176.10 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1107.56 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 179.36 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1116.96 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 490.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1542.65 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 637.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1566.57 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 634.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1600.19 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 856.68 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1888.97 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 927.11 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1918.44 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 1571.44 | - | 478.99 | - | - | - | - | 2663.89 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 1818.52 | - | 818.93 | - | - | - | - | 2818.11 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 2309.47 | - | 1388.20 | - | - | - | - | 3230.74 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 2066.49 | - | 1114.47 | - | - | - | - | 3018.51 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 2372.70 | - | 1350.85 | - | - | - | - | 3394.55 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 1960.19 | - | 955.78 | - | - | - | - | 2964.60 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 1588.91 | - | 629.03 | - | - | - | - | 2548.79 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 2016.96 | - | 954.72 | - | - | - | - | 3079.20 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 1820.77 | - | 726.36 | - | - | - | - | 2915.18 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 1004.76 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2267.27 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 1207.77 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2552.85 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 1504.28 | - | 101.46 | - | - | - | - | 2907.10 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 948.94 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2325.70 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 1037.89 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2553.92 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 946.37 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2446.93 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 633.07 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1983.30 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 626.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2103.29 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 544.32 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1762.13 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 332.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1476.42 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 593.16 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1745.94 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 752.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1712.47 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 508.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1584.28 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 357.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1562.01 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 349.15 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1380.90 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 329.94 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1158.13 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 333.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1038.02 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 344.35 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 833.03 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 340.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 722.23 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 352.83 | - | 118.05 | - | - | - | - | 587.61 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 100.76 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 212.87 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 104.84 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 301.60 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 104.98 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 301.56 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 103.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 333.15 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 132.17 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 462.23 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 463.11 | - | 18.76 | - | - | - | - | 907.46 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 185.69 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 797.03 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 167.28 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 820.94 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 153.33 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1055.34 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 138.41 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1068.27 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 169.26 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1046.42 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 169.28 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1131.91 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 616.97 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1414.10 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 459.27 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1318.19 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 552.63 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1451.77 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 486.37 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1543.58 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 515.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1642.35 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 542.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1613.37 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 537.79 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1587.98 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 914.69 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2005.97 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 1693.71 | - | 444.54 | - | - | - | - | 2942.88 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 1884.77 | - | 706.54 | - | - | - | - | 3063.00 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 1343.79 | - | 305.03 | - | - | - | - | 2382.55 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 1060.14 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2600.47 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 643.04 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2219.20 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 790.64 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2506.66 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 482.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2287.78 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 458.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1947.00 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 459.12 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1858.94 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 634.88 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1734.11 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 553.59 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1405.51 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 622.93 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1557.41 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 364.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1181.99 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 339.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1235.51 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
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ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
