Prediction 1677
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 275.0 | 587.0 | 848.0 | 1122.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 310.0 | 658.0 | 949.0 | 1253.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 305.0 | 649.0 | 936.0 | 1237.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 117.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 29.0 | 322.0 | 639.0 | 897.0 | 1164.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 131.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 34.0 | 352.0 | 689.0 | 961.0 | 1242.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 153.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 42.0 | 394.0 | 754.0 | 1043.0 | 1340.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 170.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 50.0 | 423.0 | 795.0 | 1091.0 | 1394.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 187.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 58.0 | 451.0 | 833.0 | 1135.0 | 1443.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 215.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 76.0 | 476.0 | 839.0 | 1121.0 | 1406.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 200.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 71.0 | 443.0 | 780.0 | 1042.0 | 1306.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 190.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 62.0 | 440.0 | 795.0 | 1074.0 | 1357.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 149.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 38.0 | 397.0 | 776.0 | 1083.0 | 1399.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 296.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 30.0 | 103.0 | 660.0 | 1167.0 | 1560.0 | 1959.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 307.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 32.0 | 109.0 | 676.0 | 1187.0 | 1583.0 | 1983.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 346.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 47.0 | 137.0 | 713.0 | 1205.0 | 1579.0 | 1955.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 317.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 46.0 | 129.0 | 641.0 | 1071.0 | 1397.0 | 1723.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 317.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 38.0 | 120.0 | 673.0 | 1157.0 | 1528.0 | 1903.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 309.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 38.0 | 117.0 | 655.0 | 1126.0 | 1487.0 | 1850.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 306.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 38.0 | 117.0 | 645.0 | 1106.0 | 1459.0 | 1814.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 260.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 29.0 | 95.0 | 562.0 | 979.0 | 1301.0 | 1625.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 247.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 91.0 | 533.0 | 926.0 | 1229.0 | 1535.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 210.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 80.0 | 445.0 | 764.0 | 1008.0 | 1255.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 186.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 71.0 | 390.0 | 667.0 | 879.0 | 1092.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 163.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 70.0 | 318.0 | 521.0 | 674.0 | 826.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 134.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 56.0 | 267.0 | 442.0 | 575.0 | 707.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 125.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 55.0 | 242.0 | 394.0 | 507.0 | 621.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 105.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 49.0 | 195.0 | 310.0 | 395.0 | 479.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 90.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 45.0 | 158.0 | 241.0 | 303.0 | 363.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 76.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 34.0 | 147.0 | 238.0 | 306.0 | 373.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 78.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 39.0 | 136.0 | 209.0 | 262.0 | 314.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 73.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 37.0 | 127.0 | 194.0 | 243.0 | 290.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 62.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 103.0 | 153.0 | 189.0 | 224.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 56.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 30.0 | 94.0 | 139.0 | 172.0 | 204.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 52.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 29.0 | 84.0 | 123.0 | 150.0 | 176.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 44.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 81.0 | 129.0 | 165.0 | 200.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 43.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 72.0 | 106.0 | 130.0 | 154.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 33.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 62.0 | 98.0 | 124.0 | 151.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 36.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 65.0 | 102.0 | 129.0 | 156.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 36.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 64.0 | 98.0 | 123.0 | 147.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 34.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 59.0 | 91.0 | 114.0 | 136.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 31.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 60.0 | 98.0 | 126.0 | 155.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 60.0 | 104.0 | 137.0 | 171.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 32.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 66.0 | 111.0 | 144.0 | 178.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 62.0 | 111.0 | 150.0 | 188.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 67.0 | 119.0 | 159.0 | 200.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 88.0 | 171.0 | 239.0 | 308.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 135.0 | 287.0 | 414.0 | 548.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 168.0 | 384.0 | 570.0 | 768.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 228.0 | 524.0 | 779.0 | 1050.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 232.0 | 540.0 | 806.0 | 1088.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 228.0 | 541.0 | 815.0 | 1107.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 73.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 271.0 | 624.0 | 929.0 | 1252.0 |
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