Prediction 1678
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 125.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 63.0 | 221.0 | 339.0 | 425.0 | 510.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 132.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 61.0 | 246.0 | 392.0 | 500.0 | 607.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 121.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 55.0 | 227.0 | 363.0 | 464.0 | 564.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 112.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 47.0 | 222.0 | 366.0 | 475.0 | 583.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 124.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 45.0 | 270.0 | 471.0 | 626.0 | 783.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 121.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 41.0 | 273.0 | 487.0 | 653.0 | 822.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 102.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 41.0 | 206.0 | 345.0 | 449.0 | 554.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 96.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 37.0 | 202.0 | 345.0 | 454.0 | 563.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 99.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 40.0 | 203.0 | 341.0 | 447.0 | 552.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 95.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 38.0 | 194.0 | 326.0 | 427.0 | 527.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 73.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 30.0 | 147.0 | 245.0 | 319.0 | 393.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 142.0 | 255.0 | 344.0 | 434.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 83.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 35.0 | 165.0 | 273.0 | 355.0 | 436.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 104.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 49.0 | 191.0 | 300.0 | 381.0 | 461.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 113.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 54.0 | 205.0 | 321.0 | 407.0 | 492.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 114.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 49.0 | 221.0 | 360.0 | 464.0 | 568.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 124.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 52.0 | 244.0 | 401.0 | 519.0 | 637.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 140.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 62.0 | 268.0 | 433.0 | 556.0 | 679.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 149.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 63.0 | 294.0 | 485.0 | 629.0 | 772.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 154.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 62.0 | 315.0 | 531.0 | 695.0 | 859.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 187.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 71.0 | 394.0 | 675.0 | 890.0 | 1106.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 215.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 77.0 | 473.0 | 830.0 | 1107.0 | 1386.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 222.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 76.0 | 502.0 | 895.0 | 1201.0 | 1511.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 245.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 75.0 | 594.0 | 1102.0 | 1503.0 | 1914.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 246.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 70.0 | 621.0 | 1179.0 | 1624.0 | 2081.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 296.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 32.0 | 106.0 | 649.0 | 1136.0 | 1513.0 | 1894.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 317.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 34.0 | 114.0 | 694.0 | 1215.0 | 1617.0 | 2023.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 353.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 44.0 | 135.0 | 742.0 | 1269.0 | 1673.0 | 2079.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 367.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 49.0 | 144.0 | 761.0 | 1291.0 | 1695.0 | 2101.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 425.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 54.0 | 164.0 | 889.0 | 1516.0 | 1996.0 | 2479.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 468.0 | 15.0 | 32.0 | 67.0 | 190.0 | 951.0 | 1593.0 | 2080.0 | 2568.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 499.0 | 20.0 | 40.0 | 80.0 | 212.0 | 981.0 | 1614.0 | 2090.0 | 2566.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 459.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 65.0 | 184.0 | 937.0 | 1576.0 | 2061.0 | 2548.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 470.0 | 17.0 | 35.0 | 72.0 | 196.0 | 936.0 | 1550.0 | 2015.0 | 2479.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 470.0 | 22.0 | 42.0 | 81.0 | 206.0 | 906.0 | 1472.0 | 1897.0 | 2319.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 469.0 | 28.0 | 51.0 | 93.0 | 218.0 | 870.0 | 1379.0 | 1757.0 | 2131.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 410.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 69.0 | 178.0 | 795.0 | 1296.0 | 1672.0 | 2047.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 329.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 64.0 | 152.0 | 611.0 | 971.0 | 1238.0 | 1503.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 310.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 62.0 | 145.0 | 574.0 | 908.0 | 1155.0 | 1401.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 313.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 62.0 | 146.0 | 580.0 | 919.0 | 1170.0 | 1419.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 290.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 60.0 | 138.0 | 531.0 | 835.0 | 1060.0 | 1282.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 266.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 57.0 | 128.0 | 482.0 | 753.0 | 954.0 | 1151.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 245.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 55.0 | 121.0 | 436.0 | 674.0 | 849.0 | 1021.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 224.0 | 21.0 | 34.0 | 57.0 | 116.0 | 384.0 | 581.0 | 724.0 | 865.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 218.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 52.0 | 110.0 | 381.0 | 582.0 | 729.0 | 873.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 190.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 48.0 | 98.0 | 326.0 | 493.0 | 614.0 | 733.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 183.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 38.0 | 87.0 | 334.0 | 525.0 | 666.0 | 805.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 175.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 40.0 | 87.0 | 309.0 | 476.0 | 599.0 | 719.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 153.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 39.0 | 80.0 | 264.0 | 399.0 | 497.0 | 593.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 158.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 40.0 | 82.0 | 270.0 | 407.0 | 507.0 | 605.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 150.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 38.0 | 78.0 | 257.0 | 388.0 | 484.0 | 577.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 124.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 62.0 | 219.0 | 337.0 | 423.0 | 508.0 |
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