Prediction 1679
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 48.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 32.0 | 68.0 | 89.0 | 104.0 | 117.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 53.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 36.0 | 76.0 | 101.0 | 119.0 | 135.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 51.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 33.0 | 75.0 | 102.0 | 121.0 | 139.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 61.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 88.0 | 118.0 | 138.0 | 158.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 68.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 42.0 | 103.0 | 142.0 | 169.0 | 195.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 81.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 44.0 | 135.0 | 201.0 | 248.0 | 294.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 93.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 49.0 | 157.0 | 235.0 | 292.0 | 347.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 100.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 52.0 | 170.0 | 257.0 | 319.0 | 380.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 114.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 60.0 | 195.0 | 294.0 | 365.0 | 435.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 118.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 61.0 | 203.0 | 306.0 | 381.0 | 455.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 108.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 57.0 | 184.0 | 276.0 | 343.0 | 408.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 89.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 36.0 | 184.0 | 309.0 | 405.0 | 501.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 169.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 68.0 | 343.0 | 576.0 | 753.0 | 930.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 208.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 81.0 | 432.0 | 734.0 | 965.0 | 1197.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 229.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 84.0 | 495.0 | 860.0 | 1142.0 | 1426.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 250.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 76.0 | 606.0 | 1124.0 | 1533.0 | 1951.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 292.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 97.0 | 670.0 | 1206.0 | 1624.0 | 2048.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 305.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 86.0 | 776.0 | 1478.0 | 2038.0 | 2613.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 328.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 92.0 | 834.0 | 1588.0 | 2190.0 | 2809.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 304.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 81.0 | 794.0 | 1533.0 | 2128.0 | 2740.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 325.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 91.0 | 830.0 | 1582.0 | 2183.0 | 2801.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 307.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 83.0 | 800.0 | 1542.0 | 2137.0 | 2751.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 293.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 84.0 | 737.0 | 1393.0 | 1917.0 | 2454.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 264.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 87.0 | 611.0 | 1104.0 | 1489.0 | 1881.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 223.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 77.0 | 499.0 | 884.0 | 1184.0 | 1487.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 210.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 76.0 | 459.0 | 802.0 | 1066.0 | 1334.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 195.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 30.0 | 82.0 | 389.0 | 643.0 | 836.0 | 1028.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 172.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 36.0 | 82.0 | 314.0 | 493.0 | 626.0 | 756.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 142.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 69.0 | 257.0 | 401.0 | 506.0 | 611.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 136.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 35.0 | 71.0 | 234.0 | 353.0 | 440.0 | 525.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 125.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 63.0 | 219.0 | 336.0 | 421.0 | 504.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 117.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 60.0 | 202.0 | 306.0 | 381.0 | 455.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 104.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 59.0 | 169.0 | 246.0 | 301.0 | 354.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 102.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 35.0 | 61.0 | 160.0 | 227.0 | 275.0 | 321.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 102.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 59.0 | 164.0 | 236.0 | 288.0 | 338.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 92.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 54.0 | 144.0 | 206.0 | 250.0 | 292.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 83.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 49.0 | 131.0 | 187.0 | 227.0 | 265.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 73.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 116.0 | 165.0 | 200.0 | 234.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 74.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 43.0 | 117.0 | 167.0 | 203.0 | 237.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 79.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | 49.0 | 119.0 | 165.0 | 197.0 | 227.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 69.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 42.0 | 105.0 | 147.0 | 176.0 | 204.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 67.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 45.0 | 95.0 | 126.0 | 147.0 | 167.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 58.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 35.0 | 90.0 | 126.0 | 152.0 | 177.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 58.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 90.0 | 128.0 | 154.0 | 180.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 52.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 117.0 | 133.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 50.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 67.0 | 86.0 | 98.0 | 109.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 48.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 66.0 | 85.0 | 98.0 | 110.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 47.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 65.0 | 83.0 | 96.0 | 107.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 51.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 38.0 | 66.0 | 83.0 | 93.0 | 104.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 47.0 | 20.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 60.0 | 74.0 | 82.0 | 91.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 52.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 38.0 | 69.0 | 87.0 | 99.0 | 111.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 55.0 | 25.0 | 29.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 69.0 | 83.0 | 93.0 | 101.0 |
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