Prediction 1681
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 171.0 | 33.0 | 45.0 | 64.0 | 105.0 | 259.0 | 360.0 | 431.0 | 499.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 177.0 | 39.0 | 53.0 | 72.0 | 114.0 | 261.0 | 356.0 | 422.0 | 485.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 177.0 | 42.0 | 55.0 | 74.0 | 115.0 | 259.0 | 350.0 | 413.0 | 473.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 182.0 | 40.0 | 54.0 | 73.0 | 117.0 | 268.0 | 365.0 | 433.0 | 498.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 201.0 | 41.0 | 56.0 | 77.0 | 126.0 | 302.0 | 417.0 | 498.0 | 575.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 216.0 | 51.0 | 67.0 | 90.0 | 140.0 | 315.0 | 426.0 | 503.0 | 576.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 242.0 | 48.0 | 66.0 | 92.0 | 151.0 | 365.0 | 505.0 | 603.0 | 697.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 266.0 | 38.0 | 56.0 | 84.0 | 153.0 | 425.0 | 613.0 | 747.0 | 877.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 287.0 | 40.0 | 59.0 | 89.0 | 163.0 | 462.0 | 670.0 | 818.0 | 962.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 275.0 | 42.0 | 61.0 | 91.0 | 161.0 | 436.0 | 624.0 | 757.0 | 886.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 242.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 78.0 | 140.0 | 386.0 | 555.0 | 676.0 | 792.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 220.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 48.0 | 107.0 | 396.0 | 617.0 | 779.0 | 940.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 399.0 | 70.0 | 99.0 | 141.0 | 240.0 | 616.0 | 867.0 | 1044.0 | 1214.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 470.0 | 64.0 | 95.0 | 144.0 | 265.0 | 762.0 | 1108.0 | 1355.0 | 1596.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 555.0 | 102.0 | 142.0 | 201.0 | 338.0 | 851.0 | 1191.0 | 1431.0 | 1661.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 640.0 | 97.0 | 141.0 | 209.0 | 372.0 | 1017.0 | 1460.0 | 1774.0 | 2079.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 777.0 | 101.0 | 152.0 | 232.0 | 434.0 | 1269.0 | 1856.0 | 2277.0 | 2686.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 872.0 | 82.0 | 133.0 | 219.0 | 450.0 | 1506.0 | 2284.0 | 2850.0 | 3405.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 1055.0 | 80.0 | 137.0 | 237.0 | 519.0 | 1884.0 | 2919.0 | 3680.0 | 4429.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 1160.0 | 102.0 | 168.0 | 282.0 | 590.0 | 2024.0 | 3089.0 | 3867.0 | 4630.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 1271.0 | 128.0 | 204.0 | 331.0 | 667.0 | 2170.0 | 3265.0 | 4060.0 | 4838.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 1383.0 | 156.0 | 242.0 | 384.0 | 746.0 | 2315.0 | 3439.0 | 4252.0 | 5044.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 1496.0 | 187.0 | 284.0 | 439.0 | 828.0 | 2460.0 | 3613.0 | 4442.0 | 5248.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 1499.0 | 188.0 | 285.0 | 440.0 | 830.0 | 2464.0 | 3618.0 | 4447.0 | 5254.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 1468.0 | 219.0 | 319.0 | 474.0 | 848.0 | 2341.0 | 3367.0 | 4098.0 | 4806.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 1604.0 | 299.0 | 415.0 | 586.0 | 980.0 | 2452.0 | 3428.0 | 4115.0 | 4775.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 1585.0 | 295.0 | 410.0 | 579.0 | 968.0 | 2423.0 | 3388.0 | 4066.0 | 4719.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 1537.0 | 248.0 | 355.0 | 518.0 | 905.0 | 2416.0 | 3442.0 | 4170.0 | 4873.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 1520.0 | 251.0 | 358.0 | 520.0 | 901.0 | 2377.0 | 3375.0 | 4082.0 | 4764.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 1510.0 | 226.0 | 329.0 | 489.0 | 873.0 | 2404.0 | 3455.0 | 4204.0 | 4928.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 1483.0 | 204.0 | 303.0 | 459.0 | 840.0 | 2397.0 | 3481.0 | 4256.0 | 5008.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 1335.0 | 147.0 | 230.0 | 365.0 | 716.0 | 2245.0 | 3345.0 | 4141.0 | 4918.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 1161.0 | 112.0 | 181.0 | 297.0 | 604.0 | 1996.0 | 3016.0 | 3758.0 | 4485.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 1055.0 | 97.0 | 158.0 | 263.0 | 543.0 | 1827.0 | 2776.0 | 3467.0 | 4145.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 920.0 | 80.0 | 132.0 | 222.0 | 467.0 | 1607.0 | 2456.0 | 3075.0 | 3684.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 739.0 | 62.0 | 103.0 | 175.0 | 372.0 | 1299.0 | 1993.0 | 2501.0 | 3001.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 569.0 | 43.0 | 73.0 | 127.0 | 279.0 | 1019.0 | 1580.0 | 1993.0 | 2400.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 535.0 | 45.0 | 76.0 | 128.0 | 270.0 | 937.0 | 1435.0 | 1799.0 | 2157.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 534.0 | 40.0 | 69.0 | 120.0 | 262.0 | 955.0 | 1481.0 | 1867.0 | 2247.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 488.0 | 35.0 | 60.0 | 106.0 | 236.0 | 880.0 | 1372.0 | 1734.0 | 2092.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 418.0 | 29.0 | 51.0 | 90.0 | 201.0 | 756.0 | 1182.0 | 1495.0 | 1805.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 368.0 | 32.0 | 53.0 | 89.0 | 187.0 | 642.0 | 981.0 | 1228.0 | 1470.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 336.0 | 35.0 | 55.0 | 89.0 | 178.0 | 569.0 | 852.0 | 1057.0 | 1257.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 299.0 | 37.0 | 56.0 | 87.0 | 165.0 | 492.0 | 724.0 | 890.0 | 1052.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 259.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 78.0 | 145.0 | 421.0 | 613.0 | 751.0 | 885.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 235.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 77.0 | 137.0 | 372.0 | 533.0 | 647.0 | 757.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 221.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 123.0 | 361.0 | 527.0 | 646.0 | 762.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 208.0 | 23.0 | 36.0 | 57.0 | 112.0 | 349.0 | 519.0 | 642.0 | 762.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 202.0 | 28.0 | 41.0 | 63.0 | 115.0 | 327.0 | 474.0 | 579.0 | 681.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 188.0 | 29.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 110.0 | 297.0 | 424.0 | 514.0 | 601.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 188.0 | 37.0 | 51.0 | 71.0 | 117.0 | 284.0 | 393.0 | 470.0 | 543.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 176.0 | 34.0 | 47.0 | 66.0 | 109.0 | 267.0 | 371.0 | 444.0 | 514.0 |
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