Prediction 1684
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 113.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 42.0 | 245.0 | 426.0 | 565.0 | 705.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 116.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 40.0 | 258.0 | 456.0 | 610.0 | 765.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 114.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 39.0 | 256.0 | 455.0 | 610.0 | 767.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 118.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 40.0 | 266.0 | 473.0 | 635.0 | 798.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 131.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 46.0 | 293.0 | 518.0 | 692.0 | 869.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 132.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 47.0 | 291.0 | 511.0 | 681.0 | 854.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 150.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 51.0 | 339.0 | 605.0 | 811.0 | 1020.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 179.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 60.0 | 412.0 | 740.0 | 997.0 | 1258.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 205.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 64.0 | 491.0 | 904.0 | 1229.0 | 1562.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 225.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 72.0 | 526.0 | 956.0 | 1294.0 | 1638.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 209.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 66.0 | 497.0 | 911.0 | 1238.0 | 1571.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 218.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 62.0 | 549.0 | 1039.0 | 1431.0 | 1833.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 195.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 39.0 | 601.0 | 1268.0 | 1823.0 | 2403.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 249.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 59.0 | 699.0 | 1405.0 | 1980.0 | 2578.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 233.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 53.0 | 671.0 | 1365.0 | 1935.0 | 2528.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 233.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 53.0 | 671.0 | 1366.0 | 1935.0 | 2528.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 227.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 51.0 | 661.0 | 1352.0 | 1920.0 | 2511.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 231.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 52.0 | 669.0 | 1363.0 | 1932.0 | 2524.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 254.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 61.0 | 709.0 | 1419.0 | 1996.0 | 2595.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 262.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 64.0 | 722.0 | 1436.0 | 2017.0 | 2618.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 293.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 77.0 | 776.0 | 1509.0 | 2100.0 | 2710.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 316.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 87.0 | 814.0 | 1561.0 | 2159.0 | 2775.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 335.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 95.0 | 845.0 | 1603.0 | 2207.0 | 2828.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 328.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 92.0 | 834.0 | 1587.0 | 2189.0 | 2808.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 363.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 25.0 | 108.0 | 891.0 | 1663.0 | 2276.0 | 2903.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 352.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 103.0 | 873.0 | 1640.0 | 2250.0 | 2874.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 350.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 102.0 | 869.0 | 1635.0 | 2244.0 | 2868.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 345.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 100.0 | 862.0 | 1625.0 | 2232.0 | 2855.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 341.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 98.0 | 855.0 | 1616.0 | 2223.0 | 2844.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 336.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 96.0 | 847.0 | 1605.0 | 2209.0 | 2830.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 334.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 95.0 | 844.0 | 1601.0 | 2205.0 | 2825.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 299.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 80.0 | 786.0 | 1524.0 | 2117.0 | 2728.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 268.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 66.0 | 733.0 | 1451.0 | 2033.0 | 2636.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 262.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 64.0 | 722.0 | 1436.0 | 2017.0 | 2618.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 243.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 57.0 | 690.0 | 1392.0 | 1966.0 | 2562.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 242.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 56.0 | 688.0 | 1389.0 | 1963.0 | 2558.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 199.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 40.0 | 610.0 | 1280.0 | 1837.0 | 2419.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 295.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 87.0 | 728.0 | 1361.0 | 1864.0 | 2379.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 260.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 74.0 | 653.0 | 1236.0 | 1701.0 | 2178.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 221.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 70.0 | 525.0 | 963.0 | 1307.0 | 1659.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 198.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 66.0 | 455.0 | 819.0 | 1103.0 | 1391.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 185.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 64.0 | 415.0 | 736.0 | 986.0 | 1239.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 178.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 63.0 | 396.0 | 699.0 | 934.0 | 1171.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 161.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 58.0 | 351.0 | 615.0 | 818.0 | 1024.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 148.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 58.0 | 307.0 | 521.0 | 684.0 | 847.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 131.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 49.0 | 279.0 | 480.0 | 634.0 | 790.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 121.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 48.0 | 248.0 | 420.0 | 551.0 | 682.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 110.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 41.0 | 234.0 | 404.0 | 534.0 | 665.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 132.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 49.0 | 281.0 | 484.0 | 640.0 | 798.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 118.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 45.0 | 247.0 | 422.0 | 556.0 | 690.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 109.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 41.0 | 232.0 | 401.0 | 530.0 | 661.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 115.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 40.0 | 255.0 | 451.0 | 602.0 | 756.0 |
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