Prediction 1685
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 417.0 | 219.0 | 245.0 | 278.0 | 339.0 | 506.0 | 596.0 | 654.0 | 708.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 464.0 | 229.0 | 260.0 | 298.0 | 370.0 | 572.0 | 681.0 | 753.0 | 819.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 459.0 | 239.0 | 268.0 | 305.0 | 373.0 | 558.0 | 658.0 | 723.0 | 783.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 466.0 | 195.0 | 228.0 | 271.0 | 354.0 | 599.0 | 737.0 | 829.0 | 915.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 538.0 | 254.0 | 290.0 | 336.0 | 424.0 | 671.0 | 807.0 | 897.0 | 979.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 597.0 | 233.0 | 276.0 | 333.0 | 445.0 | 780.0 | 973.0 | 1102.0 | 1222.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 692.0 | 233.0 | 285.0 | 354.0 | 495.0 | 935.0 | 1196.0 | 1373.0 | 1539.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 753.0 | 206.0 | 263.0 | 342.0 | 509.0 | 1066.0 | 1411.0 | 1647.0 | 1872.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 889.0 | 229.0 | 296.0 | 390.0 | 591.0 | 1274.0 | 1701.0 | 1996.0 | 2276.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 903.0 | 257.0 | 325.0 | 419.0 | 617.0 | 1267.0 | 1667.0 | 1941.0 | 2200.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 756.0 | 237.0 | 293.0 | 371.0 | 530.0 | 1039.0 | 1346.0 | 1555.0 | 1752.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 697.0 | 140.0 | 191.0 | 266.0 | 434.0 | 1049.0 | 1452.0 | 1734.0 | 2004.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 1688.0 | 245.0 | 359.0 | 537.0 | 968.0 | 2705.0 | 3904.0 | 4759.0 | 5588.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 1973.0 | 340.0 | 480.0 | 690.0 | 1182.0 | 3062.0 | 4325.0 | 5217.0 | 6077.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 2257.0 | 446.0 | 610.0 | 852.0 | 1400.0 | 3412.0 | 4734.0 | 5660.0 | 6549.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 2512.0 | 549.0 | 735.0 | 1003.0 | 1599.0 | 3724.0 | 5095.0 | 6050.0 | 6964.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 2858.0 | 699.0 | 913.0 | 1216.0 | 1874.0 | 4142.0 | 5577.0 | 6570.0 | 7515.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 2911.0 | 723.0 | 941.0 | 1249.0 | 1916.0 | 4205.0 | 5650.0 | 6648.0 | 7598.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 2977.0 | 753.0 | 977.0 | 1291.0 | 1969.0 | 4285.0 | 5741.0 | 6746.0 | 7702.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 3009.0 | 768.0 | 994.0 | 1312.0 | 1995.0 | 4323.0 | 5785.0 | 6794.0 | 7752.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 3184.0 | 850.0 | 1089.0 | 1423.0 | 2136.0 | 4532.0 | 6024.0 | 7049.0 | 8023.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 3283.0 | 897.0 | 1144.0 | 1488.0 | 2217.0 | 4650.0 | 6158.0 | 7194.0 | 8176.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 3444.0 | 975.0 | 1235.0 | 1593.0 | 2348.0 | 4840.0 | 6375.0 | 7426.0 | 8421.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 3405.0 | 956.0 | 1213.0 | 1567.0 | 2316.0 | 4794.0 | 6322.0 | 7370.0 | 8361.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 3283.0 | 897.0 | 1144.0 | 1488.0 | 2217.0 | 4649.0 | 6158.0 | 7193.0 | 8175.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 3516.0 | 1011.0 | 1276.0 | 1640.0 | 2407.0 | 4925.0 | 6471.0 | 7529.0 | 8530.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 3371.0 | 940.0 | 1194.0 | 1545.0 | 2289.0 | 4754.0 | 6277.0 | 7321.0 | 8310.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 3282.0 | 897.0 | 1144.0 | 1487.0 | 2216.0 | 4649.0 | 6157.0 | 7193.0 | 8174.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 3301.0 | 906.0 | 1154.0 | 1499.0 | 2232.0 | 4671.0 | 6182.0 | 7220.0 | 8203.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 3306.0 | 908.0 | 1157.0 | 1502.0 | 2235.0 | 4677.0 | 6189.0 | 7227.0 | 8210.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 3029.0 | 777.0 | 1005.0 | 1324.0 | 2011.0 | 4347.0 | 5812.0 | 6822.0 | 7783.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 2662.0 | 613.0 | 811.0 | 1094.0 | 1718.0 | 3906.0 | 5305.0 | 6277.0 | 7205.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 2224.0 | 433.0 | 595.0 | 832.0 | 1374.0 | 3372.0 | 4687.0 | 5609.0 | 6495.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 1899.0 | 326.0 | 460.0 | 663.0 | 1137.0 | 2950.0 | 4169.0 | 5030.0 | 5861.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1682.0 | 308.0 | 428.0 | 608.0 | 1023.0 | 2582.0 | 3620.0 | 4350.0 | 5053.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 1404.0 | 275.0 | 377.0 | 527.0 | 869.0 | 2127.0 | 2954.0 | 3535.0 | 4092.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 1160.0 | 263.0 | 350.0 | 473.0 | 746.0 | 1706.0 | 2322.0 | 2749.0 | 3158.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 829.0 | 176.0 | 238.0 | 326.0 | 524.0 | 1235.0 | 1696.0 | 2017.0 | 2324.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 694.0 | 188.0 | 240.0 | 313.0 | 467.0 | 985.0 | 1305.0 | 1526.0 | 1735.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 579.0 | 171.0 | 215.0 | 275.0 | 400.0 | 806.0 | 1054.0 | 1223.0 | 1382.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 506.0 | 151.0 | 190.0 | 242.0 | 350.0 | 703.0 | 917.0 | 1063.0 | 1201.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 425.0 | 156.0 | 188.0 | 229.0 | 312.0 | 564.0 | 711.0 | 809.0 | 901.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 422.0 | 173.0 | 203.0 | 242.0 | 319.0 | 545.0 | 674.0 | 760.0 | 839.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 386.0 | 180.0 | 206.0 | 240.0 | 303.0 | 483.0 | 582.0 | 647.0 | 708.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 396.0 | 180.0 | 207.0 | 242.0 | 309.0 | 498.0 | 603.0 | 673.0 | 737.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 357.0 | 174.0 | 198.0 | 227.0 | 284.0 | 441.0 | 527.0 | 583.0 | 635.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 322.0 | 159.0 | 180.0 | 207.0 | 257.0 | 397.0 | 474.0 | 524.0 | 570.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 320.0 | 153.0 | 174.0 | 202.0 | 253.0 | 398.0 | 477.0 | 529.0 | 577.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 353.0 | 190.0 | 211.0 | 238.0 | 289.0 | 425.0 | 498.0 | 545.0 | 588.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 366.0 | 186.0 | 210.0 | 239.0 | 295.0 | 447.0 | 530.0 | 583.0 | 633.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 382.0 | 184.0 | 209.0 | 242.0 | 303.0 | 474.0 | 568.0 | 630.0 | 687.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 418.0 | 214.0 | 240.0 | 274.0 | 337.0 | 510.0 | 604.0 | 665.0 | 721.0 |
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