Prediction 1687
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 156.0 | 65.0 | 76.0 | 91.0 | 119.0 | 201.0 | 247.0 | 278.0 | 306.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 190.0 | 95.0 | 107.0 | 123.0 | 152.0 | 233.0 | 277.0 | 305.0 | 331.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 194.0 | 89.0 | 102.0 | 119.0 | 152.0 | 244.0 | 295.0 | 329.0 | 360.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 212.0 | 95.0 | 110.0 | 129.0 | 165.0 | 268.0 | 326.0 | 364.0 | 399.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 252.0 | 92.0 | 111.0 | 135.0 | 184.0 | 333.0 | 420.0 | 478.0 | 532.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 269.0 | 71.0 | 92.0 | 120.0 | 180.0 | 382.0 | 507.0 | 593.0 | 675.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 356.0 | 93.0 | 119.0 | 157.0 | 237.0 | 508.0 | 677.0 | 793.0 | 904.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 397.0 | 72.0 | 100.0 | 143.0 | 241.0 | 609.0 | 854.0 | 1027.0 | 1192.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 504.0 | 73.0 | 107.0 | 160.0 | 289.0 | 807.0 | 1164.0 | 1418.0 | 1665.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 567.0 | 60.0 | 95.0 | 153.0 | 302.0 | 958.0 | 1432.0 | 1775.0 | 2110.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 599.0 | 40.0 | 70.0 | 126.0 | 286.0 | 1092.0 | 1714.0 | 2173.0 | 2627.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 576.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 71.0 | 219.0 | 1217.0 | 2087.0 | 2755.0 | 3427.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 1161.0 | 102.0 | 169.0 | 282.0 | 591.0 | 2025.0 | 3090.0 | 3868.0 | 4631.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 1502.0 | 189.0 | 286.0 | 442.0 | 832.0 | 2468.0 | 3623.0 | 4452.0 | 5259.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 1744.0 | 263.0 | 382.0 | 566.0 | 1010.0 | 2776.0 | 3988.0 | 4850.0 | 5685.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 1960.0 | 336.0 | 474.0 | 683.0 | 1172.0 | 3046.0 | 4306.0 | 5196.0 | 6055.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 2214.0 | 430.0 | 590.0 | 827.0 | 1367.0 | 3360.0 | 4673.0 | 5595.0 | 6480.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 2393.0 | 500.0 | 676.0 | 932.0 | 1506.0 | 3579.0 | 4927.0 | 5869.0 | 6772.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 2746.0 | 649.0 | 855.0 | 1146.0 | 1784.0 | 4007.0 | 5422.0 | 6403.0 | 7339.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 3006.0 | 766.0 | 992.0 | 1309.0 | 1992.0 | 4319.0 | 5780.0 | 6788.0 | 7746.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 3436.0 | 971.0 | 1230.0 | 1588.0 | 2341.0 | 4830.0 | 6364.0 | 7414.0 | 8409.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 3890.0 | 1201.0 | 1494.0 | 1891.0 | 2715.0 | 5365.0 | 6970.0 | 8063.0 | 9093.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 4388.0 | 1467.0 | 1794.0 | 2234.0 | 3131.0 | 5946.0 | 7625.0 | 8761.0 | 9829.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 4565.0 | 1564.0 | 1903.0 | 2357.0 | 3279.0 | 6151.0 | 7855.0 | 9006.0 | 10087.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 4687.0 | 1632.0 | 1980.0 | 2444.0 | 3382.0 | 6293.0 | 8015.0 | 9176.0 | 10265.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 5327.0 | 1998.0 | 2388.0 | 2902.0 | 3925.0 | 7030.0 | 8838.0 | 10050.0 | 11182.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 5425.0 | 2056.0 | 2452.0 | 2972.0 | 4009.0 | 7142.0 | 8962.0 | 10182.0 | 11321.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 5294.0 | 1979.0 | 2367.0 | 2878.0 | 3898.0 | 6993.0 | 8796.0 | 10005.0 | 11136.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 5028.0 | 1825.0 | 2196.0 | 2686.0 | 3671.0 | 6686.0 | 8454.0 | 9643.0 | 10756.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 4545.0 | 1553.0 | 1891.0 | 2344.0 | 3262.0 | 6129.0 | 7830.0 | 8979.0 | 10058.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 3887.0 | 1200.0 | 1492.0 | 1889.0 | 2713.0 | 5362.0 | 6966.0 | 8059.0 | 9089.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 3157.0 | 837.0 | 1074.0 | 1406.0 | 2114.0 | 4499.0 | 5986.0 | 7010.0 | 7981.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 2381.0 | 496.0 | 671.0 | 925.0 | 1497.0 | 3565.0 | 4911.0 | 5852.0 | 6753.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 1884.0 | 309.0 | 441.0 | 641.0 | 1115.0 | 2951.0 | 4195.0 | 5076.0 | 5926.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1508.0 | 191.0 | 289.0 | 445.0 | 837.0 | 2477.0 | 3633.0 | 4463.0 | 5271.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 1173.0 | 105.0 | 172.0 | 287.0 | 599.0 | 2041.0 | 3110.0 | 3889.0 | 4655.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 884.0 | 50.0 | 92.0 | 170.0 | 406.0 | 1653.0 | 2635.0 | 3365.0 | 4089.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 653.0 | 37.0 | 68.0 | 126.0 | 301.0 | 1218.0 | 1939.0 | 2476.0 | 3007.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 497.0 | 34.0 | 59.0 | 106.0 | 239.0 | 901.0 | 1410.0 | 1786.0 | 2157.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 373.0 | 48.0 | 73.0 | 112.0 | 208.0 | 609.0 | 890.0 | 1092.0 | 1287.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 285.0 | 48.0 | 69.0 | 99.0 | 170.0 | 443.0 | 625.0 | 754.0 | 879.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 231.0 | 48.0 | 65.0 | 90.0 | 145.0 | 345.0 | 475.0 | 566.0 | 652.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 199.0 | 51.0 | 66.0 | 87.0 | 132.0 | 285.0 | 381.0 | 446.0 | 509.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 175.0 | 56.0 | 69.0 | 87.0 | 124.0 | 240.0 | 309.0 | 356.0 | 401.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 169.0 | 57.0 | 70.0 | 87.0 | 121.0 | 228.0 | 291.0 | 333.0 | 373.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 159.0 | 63.0 | 74.0 | 89.0 | 119.0 | 206.0 | 256.0 | 290.0 | 321.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 141.0 | 54.0 | 64.0 | 78.0 | 105.0 | 184.0 | 230.0 | 261.0 | 290.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 150.0 | 61.0 | 72.0 | 86.0 | 113.0 | 193.0 | 238.0 | 269.0 | 296.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 168.0 | 66.0 | 79.0 | 95.0 | 126.0 | 218.0 | 271.0 | 306.0 | 339.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 163.0 | 70.0 | 82.0 | 97.0 | 125.0 | 207.0 | 253.0 | 284.0 | 312.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 165.0 | 83.0 | 94.0 | 108.0 | 133.0 | 202.0 | 239.0 | 263.0 | 285.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 160.0 | 71.0 | 82.0 | 97.0 | 124.0 | 203.0 | 247.0 | 276.0 | 302.0 |
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