Prediction 1688
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 45.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 67.0 | 91.0 | 108.0 | 124.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 53.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 33.0 | 79.0 | 109.0 | 130.0 | 150.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 55.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 30.0 | 93.0 | 139.0 | 172.0 | 204.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 69.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 116.0 | 175.0 | 217.0 | 258.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 97.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 48.0 | 171.0 | 264.0 | 332.0 | 398.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 112.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 51.0 | 209.0 | 332.0 | 424.0 | 515.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 149.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 63.0 | 294.0 | 485.0 | 629.0 | 772.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 173.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 64.0 | 372.0 | 644.0 | 853.0 | 1064.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 200.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 74.0 | 431.0 | 747.0 | 991.0 | 1237.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 220.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 79.0 | 481.0 | 842.0 | 1121.0 | 1403.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 187.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 62.0 | 430.0 | 773.0 | 1041.0 | 1313.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 186.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 44.0 | 521.0 | 1046.0 | 1474.0 | 1918.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 389.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 29.0 | 121.0 | 932.0 | 1718.0 | 2338.0 | 2972.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 479.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 48.0 | 166.0 | 1073.0 | 1902.0 | 2546.0 | 3199.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 580.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 72.0 | 221.0 | 1222.0 | 2095.0 | 2763.0 | 3435.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 655.0 | 21.0 | 44.0 | 93.0 | 265.0 | 1331.0 | 2233.0 | 2918.0 | 3604.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 711.0 | 27.0 | 54.0 | 111.0 | 298.0 | 1412.0 | 2334.0 | 3031.0 | 3727.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 724.0 | 28.0 | 57.0 | 115.0 | 306.0 | 1430.0 | 2357.0 | 3057.0 | 3755.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 761.0 | 33.0 | 64.0 | 127.0 | 329.0 | 1482.0 | 2422.0 | 3129.0 | 3833.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 758.0 | 32.0 | 64.0 | 126.0 | 327.0 | 1478.0 | 2417.0 | 3124.0 | 3827.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 773.0 | 34.0 | 67.0 | 131.0 | 336.0 | 1499.0 | 2443.0 | 3153.0 | 3859.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 771.0 | 34.0 | 66.0 | 130.0 | 335.0 | 1496.0 | 2440.0 | 3149.0 | 3855.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 836.0 | 43.0 | 81.0 | 153.0 | 376.0 | 1587.0 | 2553.0 | 3274.0 | 3991.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 851.0 | 45.0 | 84.0 | 158.0 | 385.0 | 1607.0 | 2578.0 | 3302.0 | 4020.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 814.0 | 40.0 | 75.0 | 145.0 | 362.0 | 1556.0 | 2514.0 | 3231.0 | 3944.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 806.0 | 39.0 | 74.0 | 142.0 | 357.0 | 1545.0 | 2501.0 | 3216.0 | 3928.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 763.0 | 33.0 | 65.0 | 128.0 | 330.0 | 1485.0 | 2426.0 | 3133.0 | 3838.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 730.0 | 29.0 | 58.0 | 117.0 | 310.0 | 1439.0 | 2369.0 | 3069.0 | 3768.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 650.0 | 20.0 | 43.0 | 92.0 | 262.0 | 1324.0 | 2224.0 | 2908.0 | 3593.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 582.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 73.0 | 223.0 | 1226.0 | 2100.0 | 2769.0 | 3442.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 475.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 57.0 | 179.0 | 1012.0 | 1744.0 | 2306.0 | 2872.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 357.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 44.0 | 136.0 | 755.0 | 1294.0 | 1708.0 | 2124.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 268.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 37.0 | 107.0 | 551.0 | 931.0 | 1220.0 | 1509.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 215.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 82.0 | 456.0 | 783.0 | 1034.0 | 1286.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 173.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 65.0 | 369.0 | 636.0 | 840.0 | 1047.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 141.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 48.0 | 319.0 | 569.0 | 763.0 | 961.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 133.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 50.0 | 281.0 | 483.0 | 638.0 | 793.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 96.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 38.0 | 198.0 | 335.0 | 439.0 | 543.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 77.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 34.0 | 147.0 | 238.0 | 305.0 | 372.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 59.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 113.0 | 182.0 | 234.0 | 285.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 101.0 | 167.0 | 218.0 | 268.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 46.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 86.0 | 137.0 | 175.0 | 212.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 45.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 78.0 | 118.0 | 148.0 | 176.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 39.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 60.0 | 85.0 | 102.0 | 118.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 39.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 66.0 | 98.0 | 122.0 | 145.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 36.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 59.0 | 85.0 | 104.0 | 122.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 37.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 61.0 | 89.0 | 110.0 | 129.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 34.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 52.0 | 73.0 | 87.0 | 101.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 41.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 66.0 | 94.0 | 115.0 | 135.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 41.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 63.0 | 89.0 | 108.0 | 126.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 45.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 66.0 | 90.0 | 106.0 | 121.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 43.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 66.0 | 92.0 | 110.0 | 128.0 |
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