Prediction 1689
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 83.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 | 52.0 | 123.0 | 170.0 | 202.0 | 232.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 94.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 62.0 | 136.0 | 183.0 | 216.0 | 246.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 97.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 60.0 | 147.0 | 203.0 | 243.0 | 281.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 113.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 43.0 | 70.0 | 169.0 | 234.0 | 280.0 | 323.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 141.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 | 87.0 | 214.0 | 298.0 | 357.0 | 414.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 164.0 | 24.0 | 35.0 | 53.0 | 95.0 | 261.0 | 375.0 | 456.0 | 534.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 209.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 60.0 | 114.0 | 346.0 | 510.0 | 629.0 | 744.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 255.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 62.0 | 130.0 | 443.0 | 675.0 | 844.0 | 1010.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 298.0 | 29.0 | 47.0 | 77.0 | 156.0 | 510.0 | 767.0 | 955.0 | 1138.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 287.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 79.0 | 154.0 | 482.0 | 717.0 | 887.0 | 1052.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 236.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 73.0 | 134.0 | 379.0 | 549.0 | 671.0 | 788.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 221.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 50.0 | 109.0 | 394.0 | 608.0 | 766.0 | 921.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 556.0 | 24.0 | 47.0 | 93.0 | 241.0 | 1082.0 | 1767.0 | 2282.0 | 2794.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 625.0 | 30.0 | 57.0 | 110.0 | 277.0 | 1198.0 | 1940.0 | 2495.0 | 3047.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 655.0 | 36.0 | 66.0 | 124.0 | 299.0 | 1231.0 | 1968.0 | 2516.0 | 3061.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 702.0 | 44.0 | 79.0 | 143.0 | 331.0 | 1290.0 | 2036.0 | 2588.0 | 3134.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 740.0 | 54.0 | 93.0 | 162.0 | 360.0 | 1331.0 | 2072.0 | 2618.0 | 3155.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 714.0 | 61.0 | 101.0 | 171.0 | 361.0 | 1251.0 | 1914.0 | 2399.0 | 2876.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 728.0 | 75.0 | 119.0 | 193.0 | 385.0 | 1237.0 | 1855.0 | 2303.0 | 2741.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 678.0 | 79.0 | 122.0 | 191.0 | 368.0 | 1128.0 | 1670.0 | 2061.0 | 2442.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 701.0 | 78.0 | 122.0 | 194.0 | 377.0 | 1175.0 | 1747.0 | 2160.0 | 2563.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 671.0 | 87.0 | 131.0 | 201.0 | 375.0 | 1095.0 | 1600.0 | 1962.0 | 2314.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 683.0 | 99.0 | 145.0 | 217.0 | 392.0 | 1093.0 | 1577.0 | 1922.0 | 2256.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 647.0 | 106.0 | 151.0 | 220.0 | 383.0 | 1013.0 | 1440.0 | 1742.0 | 2034.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 589.0 | 98.0 | 140.0 | 203.0 | 350.0 | 919.0 | 1302.0 | 1573.0 | 1835.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 586.0 | 101.0 | 142.0 | 205.0 | 351.0 | 909.0 | 1284.0 | 1549.0 | 1805.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 585.0 | 92.0 | 132.0 | 195.0 | 343.0 | 923.0 | 1319.0 | 1600.0 | 1871.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 538.0 | 48.0 | 79.0 | 132.0 | 275.0 | 936.0 | 1426.0 | 1783.0 | 2134.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 502.0 | 47.0 | 77.0 | 127.0 | 260.0 | 865.0 | 1310.0 | 1634.0 | 1952.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 470.0 | 44.0 | 71.0 | 118.0 | 243.0 | 811.0 | 1229.0 | 1534.0 | 1832.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 437.0 | 38.0 | 63.0 | 106.0 | 222.0 | 763.0 | 1165.0 | 1459.0 | 1747.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 390.0 | 28.0 | 48.0 | 85.0 | 189.0 | 704.0 | 1096.0 | 1385.0 | 1671.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 343.0 | 25.0 | 43.0 | 75.0 | 167.0 | 617.0 | 960.0 | 1213.0 | 1462.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 298.0 | 25.0 | 42.0 | 71.0 | 151.0 | 522.0 | 798.0 | 1000.0 | 1198.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 259.0 | 28.0 | 44.0 | 71.0 | 139.0 | 436.0 | 649.0 | 803.0 | 954.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 230.0 | 24.0 | 38.0 | 61.0 | 122.0 | 390.0 | 585.0 | 726.0 | 863.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 209.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 52.0 | 108.0 | 360.0 | 546.0 | 682.0 | 815.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 170.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 44.0 | 89.0 | 289.0 | 433.0 | 538.0 | 641.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 154.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 38.0 | 79.0 | 268.0 | 407.0 | 509.0 | 609.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 127.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 39.0 | 72.0 | 207.0 | 302.0 | 369.0 | 435.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 112.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 63.0 | 182.0 | 266.0 | 325.0 | 383.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 102.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 58.0 | 164.0 | 238.0 | 291.0 | 342.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 99.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 35.0 | 60.0 | 152.0 | 214.0 | 258.0 | 300.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 93.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 54.0 | 147.0 | 211.0 | 256.0 | 300.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 95.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 60.0 | 142.0 | 195.0 | 232.0 | 267.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 80.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 115.0 | 155.0 | 182.0 | 208.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 70.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 98.0 | 129.0 | 150.0 | 170.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 74.0 | 25.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 53.0 | 99.0 | 126.0 | 144.0 | 161.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 81.0 | 29.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 59.0 | 107.0 | 134.0 | 153.0 | 170.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 78.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 54.0 | 108.0 | 140.0 | 162.0 | 182.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 74.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 50.0 | 104.0 | 138.0 | 160.0 | 182.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 77.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 33.0 | 50.0 | 111.0 | 148.0 | 174.0 | 199.0 |
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