Prediction 1690
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 69.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 34.0 | 122.0 | 188.0 | 236.0 | 284.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 61.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 101.0 | 149.0 | 184.0 | 218.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 55.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 29.0 | 93.0 | 139.0 | 172.0 | 204.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 75.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 39.0 | 127.0 | 191.0 | 238.0 | 283.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 87.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 48.0 | 142.0 | 207.0 | 254.0 | 300.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 102.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 50.0 | 182.0 | 281.0 | 354.0 | 425.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 119.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 58.0 | 212.0 | 327.0 | 412.0 | 496.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 127.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 58.0 | 235.0 | 374.0 | 477.0 | 579.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 135.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 29.0 | 65.0 | 245.0 | 383.0 | 484.0 | 585.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 128.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 66.0 | 220.0 | 333.0 | 415.0 | 495.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 86.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 40.0 | 160.0 | 254.0 | 323.0 | 392.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 77.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 31.0 | 155.0 | 258.0 | 337.0 | 415.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 157.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 39.0 | 81.0 | 272.0 | 412.0 | 514.0 | 614.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 196.0 | 21.0 | 33.0 | 53.0 | 105.0 | 331.0 | 494.0 | 611.0 | 726.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 237.0 | 31.0 | 47.0 | 72.0 | 133.0 | 385.0 | 562.0 | 688.0 | 811.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 277.0 | 25.0 | 41.0 | 68.0 | 142.0 | 482.0 | 733.0 | 917.0 | 1097.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 317.0 | 27.0 | 46.0 | 77.0 | 161.0 | 554.0 | 846.0 | 1060.0 | 1269.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 292.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 80.0 | 157.0 | 490.0 | 729.0 | 902.0 | 1071.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 326.0 | 49.0 | 72.0 | 106.0 | 189.0 | 518.0 | 743.0 | 903.0 | 1058.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 295.0 | 46.0 | 67.0 | 98.0 | 173.0 | 466.0 | 665.0 | 806.0 | 943.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 318.0 | 59.0 | 82.0 | 116.0 | 194.0 | 487.0 | 682.0 | 818.0 | 950.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 327.0 | 81.0 | 105.0 | 140.0 | 215.0 | 473.0 | 635.0 | 747.0 | 854.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 337.0 | 83.0 | 108.0 | 144.0 | 222.0 | 488.0 | 656.0 | 772.0 | 882.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 283.0 | 58.0 | 79.0 | 109.0 | 177.0 | 425.0 | 586.0 | 699.0 | 807.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 244.0 | 53.0 | 71.0 | 97.0 | 155.0 | 362.0 | 495.0 | 588.0 | 677.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 255.0 | 63.0 | 82.0 | 110.0 | 168.0 | 368.0 | 494.0 | 580.0 | 663.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 233.0 | 62.0 | 80.0 | 104.0 | 157.0 | 332.0 | 441.0 | 515.0 | 586.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 201.0 | 59.0 | 75.0 | 96.0 | 139.0 | 279.0 | 365.0 | 423.0 | 478.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 176.0 | 57.0 | 70.0 | 88.0 | 124.0 | 239.0 | 308.0 | 355.0 | 398.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 192.0 | 78.0 | 92.0 | 110.0 | 145.0 | 248.0 | 306.0 | 345.0 | 381.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 181.0 | 74.0 | 87.0 | 104.0 | 136.0 | 233.0 | 288.0 | 325.0 | 359.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 152.0 | 62.0 | 73.0 | 87.0 | 115.0 | 196.0 | 242.0 | 273.0 | 301.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 120.0 | 44.0 | 53.0 | 65.0 | 88.0 | 158.0 | 199.0 | 226.0 | 251.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 107.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | 57.0 | 78.0 | 142.0 | 179.0 | 204.0 | 227.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 94.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | 65.0 | 129.0 | 167.0 | 193.0 | 218.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 88.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 57.0 | 130.0 | 178.0 | 211.0 | 242.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 75.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 106.0 | 140.0 | 164.0 | 186.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 73.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 111.0 | 154.0 | 185.0 | 214.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 65.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 40.0 | 99.0 | 138.0 | 165.0 | 191.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 56.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 92.0 | 134.0 | 164.0 | 194.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 58.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 96.0 | 142.0 | 175.0 | 207.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 59.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 94.0 | 135.0 | 164.0 | 191.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 66.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 34.0 | 112.0 | 169.0 | 210.0 | 251.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 74.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 38.0 | 128.0 | 193.0 | 241.0 | 288.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 72.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 38.0 | 123.0 | 185.0 | 230.0 | 274.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 70.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 115.0 | 170.0 | 210.0 | 248.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 64.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 105.0 | 154.0 | 189.0 | 223.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 61.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 107.0 | 164.0 | 206.0 | 246.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 60.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 32.0 | 100.0 | 148.0 | 182.0 | 216.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 57.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 29.0 | 100.0 | 152.0 | 190.0 | 227.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 61.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 101.0 | 149.0 | 183.0 | 217.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 56.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 93.0 | 138.0 | 169.0 | 200.0 |
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