Prediction 1691
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 83.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 47.0 | 133.0 | 193.0 | 236.0 | 278.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 72.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 42.0 | 115.0 | 165.0 | 200.0 | 234.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 68.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 42.0 | 103.0 | 143.0 | 171.0 | 198.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 69.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 42.0 | 104.0 | 145.0 | 173.0 | 201.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 68.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 97.0 | 130.0 | 152.0 | 173.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 72.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 43.0 | 110.0 | 155.0 | 186.0 | 216.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 68.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 114.0 | 170.0 | 210.0 | 249.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 73.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 33.0 | 136.0 | 216.0 | 276.0 | 336.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 89.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 34.0 | 186.0 | 318.0 | 418.0 | 519.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 84.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 33.0 | 172.0 | 291.0 | 380.0 | 471.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 78.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 29.0 | 168.0 | 290.0 | 384.0 | 479.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 59.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 131.0 | 232.0 | 310.0 | 389.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 83.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 31.0 | 174.0 | 297.0 | 392.0 | 487.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 92.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 36.0 | 189.0 | 319.0 | 418.0 | 517.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 106.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 38.0 | 231.0 | 403.0 | 536.0 | 670.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 131.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 49.0 | 279.0 | 480.0 | 635.0 | 791.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 156.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 69.0 | 298.0 | 481.0 | 619.0 | 755.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 170.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 29.0 | 75.0 | 328.0 | 533.0 | 687.0 | 840.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 203.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 77.0 | 428.0 | 733.0 | 968.0 | 1203.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 213.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 87.0 | 432.0 | 724.0 | 944.0 | 1166.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 264.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 42.0 | 111.0 | 521.0 | 859.0 | 1113.0 | 1367.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 285.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 42.0 | 117.0 | 572.0 | 954.0 | 1243.0 | 1532.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 319.0 | 16.0 | 30.0 | 57.0 | 142.0 | 607.0 | 978.0 | 1256.0 | 1532.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 310.0 | 15.0 | 29.0 | 56.0 | 139.0 | 589.0 | 949.0 | 1218.0 | 1485.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 319.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 52.0 | 137.0 | 623.0 | 1019.0 | 1318.0 | 1615.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 355.0 | 22.0 | 39.0 | 71.0 | 166.0 | 657.0 | 1039.0 | 1322.0 | 1603.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 382.0 | 28.0 | 49.0 | 85.0 | 187.0 | 684.0 | 1060.0 | 1337.0 | 1610.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 405.0 | 42.0 | 67.0 | 108.0 | 215.0 | 687.0 | 1029.0 | 1277.0 | 1520.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 428.0 | 57.0 | 85.0 | 130.0 | 241.0 | 696.0 | 1013.0 | 1241.0 | 1462.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 471.0 | 49.0 | 78.0 | 126.0 | 250.0 | 798.0 | 1195.0 | 1483.0 | 1764.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 507.0 | 60.0 | 93.0 | 145.0 | 278.0 | 841.0 | 1242.0 | 1531.0 | 1812.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 537.0 | 73.0 | 109.0 | 165.0 | 304.0 | 870.0 | 1265.0 | 1547.0 | 1821.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 471.0 | 75.0 | 108.0 | 158.0 | 277.0 | 742.0 | 1057.0 | 1281.0 | 1497.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 476.0 | 83.0 | 117.0 | 168.0 | 286.0 | 737.0 | 1039.0 | 1252.0 | 1457.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 430.0 | 72.0 | 102.0 | 148.0 | 256.0 | 671.0 | 951.0 | 1150.0 | 1341.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 376.0 | 67.0 | 94.0 | 134.0 | 227.0 | 579.0 | 814.0 | 980.0 | 1139.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 339.0 | 62.0 | 87.0 | 123.0 | 207.0 | 520.0 | 727.0 | 873.0 | 1013.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 289.0 | 73.0 | 94.0 | 125.0 | 191.0 | 415.0 | 556.0 | 653.0 | 746.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 281.0 | 63.0 | 84.0 | 114.0 | 180.0 | 413.0 | 563.0 | 667.0 | 766.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 266.0 | 59.0 | 79.0 | 108.0 | 170.0 | 391.0 | 533.0 | 631.0 | 725.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 252.0 | 57.0 | 76.0 | 103.0 | 162.0 | 371.0 | 505.0 | 598.0 | 687.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 218.0 | 58.0 | 75.0 | 98.0 | 147.0 | 309.0 | 410.0 | 479.0 | 545.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 198.0 | 42.0 | 57.0 | 78.0 | 125.0 | 294.0 | 402.0 | 478.0 | 550.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 181.0 | 31.0 | 44.0 | 63.0 | 108.0 | 281.0 | 398.0 | 480.0 | 559.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 176.0 | 32.0 | 45.0 | 64.0 | 107.0 | 271.0 | 379.0 | 455.0 | 529.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 147.0 | 25.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 89.0 | 227.0 | 320.0 | 385.0 | 448.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 140.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 79.0 | 227.0 | 329.0 | 402.0 | 474.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 124.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 67.0 | 208.0 | 308.0 | 380.0 | 451.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 110.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 59.0 | 184.0 | 274.0 | 339.0 | 403.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 105.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 57.0 | 175.0 | 260.0 | 321.0 | 380.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 87.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 45.0 | 149.0 | 226.0 | 282.0 | 336.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 85.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 45.0 | 145.0 | 217.0 | 269.0 | 321.0 |
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Interval Bounds
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