Prediction 1692
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 203.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 51.0 | 105.0 | 351.0 | 531.0 | 662.0 | 791.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 206.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 45.0 | 100.0 | 371.0 | 577.0 | 729.0 | 878.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 228.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 42.0 | 103.0 | 433.0 | 697.0 | 893.0 | 1089.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 246.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 84.0 | 556.0 | 991.0 | 1330.0 | 1674.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 281.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 94.0 | 644.0 | 1157.0 | 1558.0 | 1965.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 281.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 82.0 | 696.0 | 1308.0 | 1793.0 | 2291.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 266.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 86.0 | 621.0 | 1127.0 | 1524.0 | 1928.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 278.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 73.0 | 736.0 | 1433.0 | 1994.0 | 2574.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 289.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 81.0 | 736.0 | 1404.0 | 1938.0 | 2487.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 298.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 92.0 | 716.0 | 1322.0 | 1800.0 | 2288.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 228.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 74.0 | 533.0 | 967.0 | 1308.0 | 1656.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 158.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 45.0 | 399.0 | 757.0 | 1042.0 | 1335.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 248.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 65.0 | 657.0 | 1277.0 | 1777.0 | 2293.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 266.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 73.0 | 685.0 | 1313.0 | 1815.0 | 2333.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 286.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 82.0 | 720.0 | 1362.0 | 1874.0 | 2399.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 320.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 95.0 | 784.0 | 1464.0 | 2002.0 | 2554.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 378.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 33.0 | 124.0 | 875.0 | 1582.0 | 2134.0 | 2696.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 422.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 36.0 | 137.0 | 984.0 | 1787.0 | 2416.0 | 3057.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 469.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 51.0 | 170.0 | 1024.0 | 1790.0 | 2381.0 | 2979.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 481.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 54.0 | 176.0 | 1041.0 | 1810.0 | 2404.0 | 3003.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 541.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 66.0 | 205.0 | 1147.0 | 1972.0 | 2604.0 | 3241.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 603.0 | 21.0 | 43.0 | 90.0 | 248.0 | 1212.0 | 2020.0 | 2631.0 | 3243.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 645.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 102.0 | 272.0 | 1276.0 | 2105.0 | 2730.0 | 3354.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 684.0 | 33.0 | 62.0 | 120.0 | 302.0 | 1311.0 | 2124.0 | 2732.0 | 3337.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 660.0 | 31.0 | 59.0 | 115.0 | 291.0 | 1270.0 | 2059.0 | 2651.0 | 3239.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 760.0 | 43.0 | 79.0 | 146.0 | 349.0 | 1422.0 | 2267.0 | 2895.0 | 3519.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 776.0 | 47.0 | 85.0 | 155.0 | 363.0 | 1434.0 | 2270.0 | 2890.0 | 3503.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 851.0 | 75.0 | 124.0 | 207.0 | 433.0 | 1484.0 | 2264.0 | 2834.0 | 3393.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 825.0 | 84.0 | 133.0 | 216.0 | 434.0 | 1405.0 | 2112.0 | 2625.0 | 3127.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 884.0 | 94.0 | 148.0 | 237.0 | 470.0 | 1494.0 | 2235.0 | 2771.0 | 3295.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 898.0 | 127.0 | 187.0 | 282.0 | 512.0 | 1445.0 | 2091.0 | 2553.0 | 3001.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 899.0 | 124.0 | 184.0 | 279.0 | 510.0 | 1452.0 | 2107.0 | 2575.0 | 3030.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 804.0 | 104.0 | 157.0 | 240.0 | 449.0 | 1315.0 | 1923.0 | 2360.0 | 2784.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 771.0 | 89.0 | 137.0 | 216.0 | 418.0 | 1286.0 | 1906.0 | 2354.0 | 2790.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 732.0 | 99.0 | 147.0 | 224.0 | 413.0 | 1187.0 | 1727.0 | 2114.0 | 2489.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 624.0 | 101.0 | 145.0 | 211.0 | 368.0 | 979.0 | 1393.0 | 1687.0 | 1971.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 529.0 | 77.0 | 113.0 | 169.0 | 304.0 | 845.0 | 1218.0 | 1484.0 | 1741.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 511.0 | 54.0 | 85.0 | 137.0 | 272.0 | 863.0 | 1291.0 | 1601.0 | 1904.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 487.0 | 50.0 | 80.0 | 129.0 | 258.0 | 827.0 | 1240.0 | 1539.0 | 1831.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 467.0 | 57.0 | 87.0 | 135.0 | 257.0 | 770.0 | 1134.0 | 1395.0 | 1650.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 417.0 | 54.0 | 82.0 | 125.0 | 233.0 | 681.0 | 995.0 | 1220.0 | 1439.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 354.0 | 50.0 | 74.0 | 111.0 | 202.0 | 570.0 | 825.0 | 1006.0 | 1182.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 347.0 | 52.0 | 76.0 | 113.0 | 201.0 | 550.0 | 790.0 | 960.0 | 1125.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 336.0 | 57.0 | 81.0 | 117.0 | 201.0 | 522.0 | 737.0 | 889.0 | 1035.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 295.0 | 46.0 | 66.0 | 97.0 | 172.0 | 466.0 | 666.0 | 808.0 | 945.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 280.0 | 39.0 | 58.0 | 87.0 | 159.0 | 450.0 | 652.0 | 796.0 | 936.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 255.0 | 28.0 | 44.0 | 70.0 | 137.0 | 429.0 | 638.0 | 790.0 | 937.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 248.0 | 24.0 | 39.0 | 64.0 | 130.0 | 424.0 | 639.0 | 794.0 | 947.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 231.0 | 20.0 | 34.0 | 56.0 | 118.0 | 401.0 | 611.0 | 764.0 | 914.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 216.0 | 24.0 | 37.0 | 60.0 | 116.0 | 362.0 | 537.0 | 664.0 | 788.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 220.0 | 20.0 | 32.0 | 54.0 | 113.0 | 382.0 | 581.0 | 725.0 | 868.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 217.0 | 20.0 | 33.0 | 54.0 | 112.0 | 375.0 | 568.0 | 709.0 | 847.0 |
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