Prediction 1694
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 50.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 84.0 | 126.0 | 156.0 | 185.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 57.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 91.0 | 130.0 | 159.0 | 186.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 66.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 38.0 | 104.0 | 149.0 | 180.0 | 211.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 73.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 40.0 | 121.0 | 178.0 | 220.0 | 260.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 89.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 44.0 | 157.0 | 242.0 | 304.0 | 365.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 96.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 44.0 | 182.0 | 292.0 | 373.0 | 455.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 136.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 58.0 | 266.0 | 437.0 | 565.0 | 694.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 160.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 69.0 | 311.0 | 507.0 | 655.0 | 802.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 190.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 78.0 | 382.0 | 637.0 | 830.0 | 1024.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 227.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 88.0 | 474.0 | 809.0 | 1065.0 | 1322.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 223.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 79.0 | 491.0 | 864.0 | 1153.0 | 1445.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 209.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 76.0 | 452.0 | 787.0 | 1045.0 | 1305.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 276.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 86.0 | 658.0 | 1209.0 | 1643.0 | 2086.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 364.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 25.0 | 109.0 | 893.0 | 1667.0 | 2280.0 | 2908.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 449.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 41.0 | 151.0 | 1027.0 | 1842.0 | 2479.0 | 3126.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 518.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 57.0 | 187.0 | 1131.0 | 1978.0 | 2632.0 | 3293.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 655.0 | 21.0 | 44.0 | 93.0 | 265.0 | 1331.0 | 2233.0 | 2918.0 | 3604.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 770.0 | 34.0 | 66.0 | 130.0 | 334.0 | 1494.0 | 2438.0 | 3146.0 | 3852.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 890.0 | 51.0 | 93.0 | 172.0 | 410.0 | 1661.0 | 2645.0 | 3376.0 | 4101.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 1024.0 | 75.0 | 128.0 | 225.0 | 498.0 | 1843.0 | 2869.0 | 3624.0 | 4369.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 1159.0 | 102.0 | 168.0 | 281.0 | 590.0 | 2022.0 | 3087.0 | 3865.0 | 4628.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 1278.0 | 130.0 | 207.0 | 335.0 | 672.0 | 2179.0 | 3277.0 | 4073.0 | 4852.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 1471.0 | 180.0 | 275.0 | 426.0 | 810.0 | 2428.0 | 3575.0 | 4401.0 | 5204.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 1589.0 | 214.0 | 320.0 | 486.0 | 896.0 | 2580.0 | 3755.0 | 4597.0 | 5414.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 1622.0 | 224.0 | 333.0 | 502.0 | 920.0 | 2622.0 | 3805.0 | 4652.0 | 5473.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 1700.0 | 249.0 | 364.0 | 543.0 | 977.0 | 2720.0 | 3922.0 | 4779.0 | 5609.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 1692.0 | 246.0 | 360.0 | 539.0 | 971.0 | 2710.0 | 3910.0 | 4766.0 | 5595.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 1562.0 | 206.0 | 309.0 | 472.0 | 876.0 | 2545.0 | 3714.0 | 4552.0 | 5366.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 1410.0 | 164.0 | 252.0 | 397.0 | 766.0 | 2350.0 | 3482.0 | 4299.0 | 5094.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 1232.0 | 119.0 | 191.0 | 314.0 | 640.0 | 2119.0 | 3204.0 | 3994.0 | 4767.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 1030.0 | 76.0 | 130.0 | 227.0 | 502.0 | 1851.0 | 2878.0 | 3634.0 | 4380.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 770.0 | 34.0 | 66.0 | 130.0 | 334.0 | 1495.0 | 2438.0 | 3147.0 | 3853.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 585.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 74.0 | 225.0 | 1231.0 | 2105.0 | 2775.0 | 3449.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 406.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 33.0 | 129.0 | 959.0 | 1754.0 | 2379.0 | 3016.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 304.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 89.0 | 752.0 | 1411.0 | 1935.0 | 2472.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 260.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 81.0 | 619.0 | 1137.0 | 1546.0 | 1962.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 197.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 56.0 | 494.0 | 935.0 | 1287.0 | 1647.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 130.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 46.0 | 289.0 | 509.0 | 680.0 | 853.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 91.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 33.0 | 201.0 | 352.0 | 469.0 | 587.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 74.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 27.0 | 159.0 | 276.0 | 365.0 | 456.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 55.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 120.0 | 209.0 | 278.0 | 348.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 108.0 | 187.0 | 248.0 | 309.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 47.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 92.0 | 151.0 | 196.0 | 241.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 40.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 79.0 | 129.0 | 168.0 | 206.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 39.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 69.0 | 106.0 | 133.0 | 160.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 37.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 62.0 | 92.0 | 113.0 | 134.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 37.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 61.0 | 89.0 | 109.0 | 128.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 37.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 60.0 | 86.0 | 105.0 | 124.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 38.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 65.0 | 98.0 | 121.0 | 144.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 40.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 69.0 | 106.0 | 132.0 | 158.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 44.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 71.0 | 103.0 | 126.0 | 148.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 46.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 73.0 | 105.0 | 127.0 | 149.0 |
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