Prediction 1695
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 111.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 55.0 | 197.0 | 303.0 | 382.0 | 459.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 118.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 | 59.0 | 209.0 | 322.0 | 405.0 | 487.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 130.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 62.0 | 236.0 | 369.0 | 468.0 | 565.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 135.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 61.0 | 254.0 | 406.0 | 519.0 | 631.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 146.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 59.0 | 297.0 | 498.0 | 650.0 | 802.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 166.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 35.0 | 80.0 | 301.0 | 471.0 | 596.0 | 719.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 193.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 81.0 | 385.0 | 638.0 | 829.0 | 1019.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 229.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 90.0 | 472.0 | 798.0 | 1047.0 | 1296.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 288.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 35.0 | 109.0 | 610.0 | 1048.0 | 1384.0 | 1723.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 301.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 29.0 | 103.0 | 680.0 | 1211.0 | 1624.0 | 2043.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 289.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 30.0 | 102.0 | 640.0 | 1128.0 | 1505.0 | 1888.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 256.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 64.0 | 698.0 | 1379.0 | 1931.0 | 2502.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 448.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 41.0 | 150.0 | 1025.0 | 1841.0 | 2477.0 | 3123.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 516.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 56.0 | 186.0 | 1127.0 | 1973.0 | 2626.0 | 3286.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 579.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 72.0 | 221.0 | 1221.0 | 2093.0 | 2762.0 | 3434.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 618.0 | 18.0 | 38.0 | 83.0 | 243.0 | 1279.0 | 2167.0 | 2844.0 | 3523.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 663.0 | 22.0 | 46.0 | 96.0 | 270.0 | 1344.0 | 2249.0 | 2936.0 | 3623.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 682.0 | 24.0 | 49.0 | 102.0 | 281.0 | 1370.0 | 2282.0 | 2973.0 | 3664.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 748.0 | 31.0 | 62.0 | 123.0 | 321.0 | 1464.0 | 2400.0 | 3104.0 | 3806.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 810.0 | 39.0 | 75.0 | 143.0 | 359.0 | 1550.0 | 2507.0 | 3224.0 | 3936.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 888.0 | 51.0 | 93.0 | 172.0 | 409.0 | 1658.0 | 2641.0 | 3373.0 | 4097.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 1023.0 | 74.0 | 128.0 | 224.0 | 498.0 | 1842.0 | 2867.0 | 3622.0 | 4366.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 1172.0 | 105.0 | 172.0 | 287.0 | 599.0 | 2040.0 | 3108.0 | 3888.0 | 4653.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 1214.0 | 114.0 | 185.0 | 306.0 | 628.0 | 2095.0 | 3175.0 | 3961.0 | 4732.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 1302.0 | 136.0 | 215.0 | 346.0 | 689.0 | 2211.0 | 3314.0 | 4114.0 | 4897.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 1458.0 | 177.0 | 270.0 | 420.0 | 800.0 | 2412.0 | 3556.0 | 4379.0 | 5181.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 1401.0 | 161.0 | 249.0 | 392.0 | 759.0 | 2338.0 | 3468.0 | 4283.0 | 5077.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 1360.0 | 150.0 | 234.0 | 373.0 | 730.0 | 2285.0 | 3404.0 | 4213.0 | 5002.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 1372.0 | 153.0 | 239.0 | 379.0 | 739.0 | 2301.0 | 3423.0 | 4233.0 | 5024.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 1286.0 | 132.0 | 209.0 | 338.0 | 678.0 | 2190.0 | 3289.0 | 4087.0 | 4867.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 1240.0 | 121.0 | 194.0 | 317.0 | 646.0 | 2129.0 | 3216.0 | 4007.0 | 4781.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 1120.0 | 94.0 | 156.0 | 264.0 | 563.0 | 1970.0 | 3024.0 | 3795.0 | 4553.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 891.0 | 51.0 | 93.0 | 173.0 | 411.0 | 1662.0 | 2646.0 | 3378.0 | 4103.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 790.0 | 37.0 | 70.0 | 137.0 | 347.0 | 1523.0 | 2474.0 | 3187.0 | 3896.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 665.0 | 22.0 | 46.0 | 97.0 | 271.0 | 1346.0 | 2252.0 | 2939.0 | 3627.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 574.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 71.0 | 218.0 | 1215.0 | 2085.0 | 2752.0 | 3423.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 484.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 50.0 | 171.0 | 1069.0 | 1882.0 | 2512.0 | 3150.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 426.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 48.0 | 156.0 | 921.0 | 1602.0 | 2126.0 | 2655.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 375.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 55.0 | 153.0 | 757.0 | 1265.0 | 1650.0 | 2035.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 296.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 51.0 | 130.0 | 568.0 | 921.0 | 1186.0 | 1449.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 251.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 51.0 | 118.0 | 462.0 | 728.0 | 926.0 | 1121.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 213.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 46.0 | 104.0 | 383.0 | 597.0 | 754.0 | 908.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 194.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 89.0 | 362.0 | 578.0 | 738.0 | 897.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 180.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 32.0 | 80.0 | 344.0 | 555.0 | 713.0 | 870.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 163.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 76.0 | 301.0 | 475.0 | 605.0 | 733.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 145.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 70.0 | 261.0 | 406.0 | 513.0 | 619.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 128.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 65.0 | 223.0 | 340.0 | 425.0 | 509.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 118.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 60.0 | 206.0 | 314.0 | 394.0 | 472.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 120.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 61.0 | 209.0 | 320.0 | 400.0 | 479.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 123.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 62.0 | 217.0 | 332.0 | 416.0 | 499.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 114.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 57.0 | 201.0 | 309.0 | 387.0 | 465.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 117.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 60.0 | 201.0 | 305.0 | 381.0 | 455.0 |
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