Prediction 1696
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 103.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 67.0 | 151.0 | 204.0 | 241.0 | 276.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 105.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 49.0 | 72.0 | 147.0 | 192.0 | 223.0 | 252.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 96.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 49.0 | 68.0 | 129.0 | 165.0 | 189.0 | 211.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 90.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 63.0 | 125.0 | 163.0 | 188.0 | 212.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 103.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 49.0 | 71.0 | 143.0 | 186.0 | 216.0 | 244.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 107.0 | 42.0 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 80.0 | 139.0 | 173.0 | 195.0 | 216.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 107.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | 58.0 | 78.0 | 141.0 | 177.0 | 201.0 | 224.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 110.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 56.0 | 79.0 | 149.0 | 190.0 | 218.0 | 244.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 111.0 | 43.0 | 51.0 | 62.0 | 82.0 | 144.0 | 180.0 | 203.0 | 225.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 110.0 | 35.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 | 78.0 | 150.0 | 193.0 | 222.0 | 249.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 100.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | 64.0 | 146.0 | 197.0 | 233.0 | 267.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 86.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 47.0 | 142.0 | 209.0 | 257.0 | 304.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 126.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 65.0 | 218.0 | 330.0 | 412.0 | 492.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 147.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 36.0 | 75.0 | 257.0 | 391.0 | 490.0 | 586.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 168.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 76.0 | 317.0 | 508.0 | 650.0 | 791.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 197.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 77.0 | 406.0 | 688.0 | 902.0 | 1118.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 246.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 24.0 | 85.0 | 554.0 | 986.0 | 1321.0 | 1661.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 277.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 83.0 | 679.0 | 1267.0 | 1733.0 | 2210.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 345.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 100.0 | 862.0 | 1625.0 | 2233.0 | 2856.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 378.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 28.0 | 115.0 | 915.0 | 1696.0 | 2313.0 | 2944.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 427.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 37.0 | 139.0 | 992.0 | 1797.0 | 2427.0 | 3069.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 478.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 47.0 | 165.0 | 1070.0 | 1898.0 | 2542.0 | 3195.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 522.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 63.0 | 196.0 | 1112.0 | 1916.0 | 2535.0 | 3157.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 501.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 70.0 | 200.0 | 1025.0 | 1725.0 | 2258.0 | 2792.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 463.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 65.0 | 186.0 | 943.0 | 1585.0 | 2073.0 | 2561.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 571.0 | 25.0 | 49.0 | 96.0 | 248.0 | 1108.0 | 1809.0 | 2334.0 | 2858.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 627.0 | 35.0 | 65.0 | 120.0 | 288.0 | 1173.0 | 1872.0 | 2391.0 | 2906.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 637.0 | 39.0 | 71.0 | 128.0 | 299.0 | 1176.0 | 1858.0 | 2364.0 | 2864.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 655.0 | 46.0 | 80.0 | 141.0 | 316.0 | 1186.0 | 1852.0 | 2344.0 | 2830.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 679.0 | 55.0 | 93.0 | 158.0 | 339.0 | 1200.0 | 1845.0 | 2318.0 | 2783.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 670.0 | 70.0 | 111.0 | 179.0 | 355.0 | 1134.0 | 1698.0 | 2107.0 | 2507.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 679.0 | 60.0 | 99.0 | 166.0 | 346.0 | 1183.0 | 1804.0 | 2257.0 | 2702.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 607.0 | 45.0 | 77.0 | 135.0 | 297.0 | 1089.0 | 1691.0 | 2134.0 | 2571.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 594.0 | 49.0 | 82.0 | 139.0 | 298.0 | 1047.0 | 1609.0 | 2020.0 | 2424.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 566.0 | 48.0 | 79.0 | 134.0 | 285.0 | 994.0 | 1524.0 | 1911.0 | 2292.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 502.0 | 48.0 | 78.0 | 128.0 | 261.0 | 862.0 | 1302.0 | 1622.0 | 1936.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 462.0 | 48.0 | 76.0 | 123.0 | 245.0 | 784.0 | 1176.0 | 1459.0 | 1736.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 355.0 | 59.0 | 84.0 | 122.0 | 211.0 | 553.0 | 783.0 | 946.0 | 1104.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 348.0 | 51.0 | 75.0 | 112.0 | 201.0 | 554.0 | 797.0 | 969.0 | 1137.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 331.0 | 46.0 | 68.0 | 103.0 | 188.0 | 533.0 | 772.0 | 943.0 | 1109.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 303.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 94.0 | 172.0 | 489.0 | 710.0 | 868.0 | 1021.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 266.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 79.0 | 148.0 | 434.0 | 634.0 | 778.0 | 918.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 251.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 78.0 | 142.0 | 405.0 | 587.0 | 717.0 | 843.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 256.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 75.0 | 142.0 | 421.0 | 617.0 | 758.0 | 895.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 218.0 | 36.0 | 51.0 | 74.0 | 129.0 | 341.0 | 484.0 | 586.0 | 683.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 182.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 60.0 | 106.0 | 288.0 | 411.0 | 499.0 | 584.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 148.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 44.0 | 82.0 | 242.0 | 354.0 | 435.0 | 513.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 152.0 | 29.0 | 40.0 | 57.0 | 94.0 | 229.0 | 318.0 | 380.0 | 440.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 138.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 | 85.0 | 208.0 | 289.0 | 345.0 | 399.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 122.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 47.0 | 77.0 | 183.0 | 251.0 | 299.0 | 345.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 106.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 44.0 | 69.0 | 155.0 | 210.0 | 248.0 | 284.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 110.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 49.0 | 74.0 | 156.0 | 207.0 | 242.0 | 276.0 |
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