Prediction 1697
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 38.0 | 42.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 33.0 | 47.0 | 58.0 | 67.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 31.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 51.0 | 75.0 | 92.0 | 109.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 34.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 55.0 | 82.0 | 100.0 | 119.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 50.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 83.0 | 122.0 | 151.0 | 178.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 55.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 30.0 | 89.0 | 131.0 | 161.0 | 190.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 62.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 109.0 | 166.0 | 209.0 | 250.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 70.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 34.0 | 124.0 | 192.0 | 242.0 | 291.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 66.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 116.0 | 178.0 | 223.0 | 268.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 56.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 92.0 | 135.0 | 166.0 | 196.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 42.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 89.0 | 152.0 | 201.0 | 250.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 153.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 40.0 | 408.0 | 797.0 | 1110.0 | 1433.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 167.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 44.0 | 442.0 | 859.0 | 1194.0 | 1540.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 174.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 47.0 | 456.0 | 881.0 | 1222.0 | 1574.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 157.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 41.0 | 411.0 | 797.0 | 1107.0 | 1427.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 177.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 53.0 | 430.0 | 800.0 | 1092.0 | 1391.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 163.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 51.0 | 389.0 | 716.0 | 973.0 | 1235.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 182.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 63.0 | 405.0 | 717.0 | 959.0 | 1204.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 145.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 51.0 | 321.0 | 566.0 | 756.0 | 948.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 150.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 58.0 | 314.0 | 534.0 | 703.0 | 873.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 130.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 48.0 | 279.0 | 482.0 | 638.0 | 796.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 132.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 57.0 | 254.0 | 414.0 | 534.0 | 653.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 114.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 52.0 | 214.0 | 341.0 | 435.0 | 528.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 106.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 47.0 | 203.0 | 328.0 | 422.0 | 515.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 107.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 52.0 | 192.0 | 299.0 | 378.0 | 455.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 92.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 41.0 | 176.0 | 283.0 | 363.0 | 443.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 82.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 38.0 | 150.0 | 237.0 | 301.0 | 364.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 68.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 31.0 | 128.0 | 204.0 | 260.0 | 316.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 69.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 124.0 | 194.0 | 246.0 | 296.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 64.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 30.0 | 116.0 | 183.0 | 231.0 | 280.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 55.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 98.0 | 151.0 | 190.0 | 229.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 43.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 80.0 | 127.0 | 161.0 | 195.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 44.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 78.0 | 121.0 | 153.0 | 184.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 39.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 67.0 | 101.0 | 126.0 | 150.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 35.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 60.0 | 92.0 | 115.0 | 138.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 32.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 60.0 | 94.0 | 119.0 | 144.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 37.0 | 53.0 | 64.0 | 75.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 35.0 | 49.0 | 59.0 | 69.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 52.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 44.0 | 50.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | 55.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 44.0 | 50.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 33.0 | 37.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 33.0 | 38.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 32.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 25.0 | 29.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 25.0 | 27.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 21.0 | 24.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 29.0 | 33.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 27.0 | 30.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 45.0 |
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